Posted on 08/30/2020 7:44:57 AM PDT by EyesOfTX
For those who are into polls, several have come out over the weekend. All show President Donald Trump receiving a significant “bump” from his convention, in contrast to the slightly negative non-bump Joe Biden received from his.
The corrupt news media is covering two polls, both of which of continue to grossly over-sample Democrats. The first, from YouGov, shows Biden holding a six-point lead today after having a 10-point lead prior to the conventions. The second, from Morning Consult, shows exactly the same shift, from a 10-point Biden lead down to a 6-point lead.
A third poll is out this morning, and it shows President Trump moving into the lead nationally and in the “swing” states. This is a poll that had an extremely accurate track record of predicting the correct results in 2016. It is a poll that takes the time to survey likely voters rather than taking the lazy way out with registered voters. And, perhaps most importantly, it is the only poll that correctly predicted both the outcome of the UK’s Brexit vote in July 2016 and the Donald Trump victory in November of that year.
VDO.AI The corrupt news media is not covering this poll, because it doesn’t fit their “standards,” i.e., their narrative.
This poll is from the Democracy Institute, a firm based in Washington, DC and in London. Nationally, the poll shows President Trump holding a seemingly narrow lead of 48-45. But in the battleground states of Michigan, Florida, Iowa, Minnesota and Pennsylvania, where the election will be determined, the President holds a substantial lead of 49-42.
Remember, Biden is likely to run up huge popular vote margins in lost states like New York and California, big population states where the Democrat party dominates. Those states are gone, and there is no reason for the President to spend anytime campaigning in them. The battleground states are called battlegrounds for a reason.
But the internal findings of this polls are even more interesting than its top line. Because the internals show Trump running much stronger than expected among minority voters and that the Democrat Party has badly miscalculated with its “Black Lives are the Only Lives That Matter” brainwashing campaign.
Here are some of those internals:
Better on standing up to China – Trump: 67% Biden 31%
The candidate you trust to do the best job handling the economy – Trump: 59% Biden 41%
Those who are “very supportive” of their preferred candidate – Trump 82% Biden 40%
The Democracy Institute structured its sample for this poll at 37% Democrat, 35% Republican and 28% independents. That breakdown mirrors the actual turnout pattern nationally for the 2016 presidential election. Meanwhile, the national media-approved polls regularly survey 10-12% more Democrats than Republicans. One recent Fox News poll surveyed 51% Democrats in its sample.
If you remember, CNN released a poll two weeks ago showing both that President Trump had a 10% lead among independents, but Biden held a 50-46 lead nationally. Folks, that outcome is statistically impossible without a massive over-sampling of Democrat voters.
The DI poll may or may not be right, but it is unarguably pretty much exactly the result you would expect to see from an accurately-structured sample of likely voters.
That is all.
music to my ears.
Biden/Harris went into a post-convention SLUMP, almost immediately, which made the Trump/Pence post-convention bump all that much more dramatic.
Incumbency has its advantages. So does a very positive message.
How about one for the DNC?
Tom Bevan, The Jackass who runs Real Clear Politics was on WGN last week standing by his numbers that Clueless Joe is still ahead by 10 points Nationally.
It’s been gone for a long time. :-)
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