Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Shock Poll: Trump Leads National Popular Vote as Biden’s Dementia Becomes More Obvious
DB Daily Update ^ | David Blackmon

Posted on 08/02/2020 9:33:25 AM PDT by EyesOfTX

The Trump 2020 landslide is starting to build. – Although most of the conventional polls still show Hidin’ Joe Biden with a lead, there is no question that we have see a noticeable movement in the polling over the past two weeks in President Trump’s favor. The absurd Biden leads of 12 – 15 points being trumpeted in the corrupt news media a month ago have now given way to single digit margins ranging from 4 – 9 points as pollsters try to make their output somewhat more believable to a knowing public.

I’m not a person who obsesses over polls, mainly because the vast majority of polls are now as corrupt as the news media, and designed to create news stories rather than genuinely attempt to reflect public opinion. But one polls released Sunday morning does deserve mentioning, not because it shows President Trump now holding a narrow margin in the national popular vote and a larger edge in several battleground states, but because of its findings on a series of other questions that really do give us an idea of how voter opinions are trending.

The Democracy Institute/Sunday Express poll shows the President with a 48-46% lead in the national popular vote, as well as a 48-43% edge in the swing states of Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire and Wisconsin. Among those states, Biden only leads in Wisconsin, which Trump won in 2016. The deduction of that state’s electoral votes and the addition of Minnesota and New Hampshire to the Trump column would result in a Trump Electoral College victory of 309 to 229, larger by 3 than his winning margin in 2016.

But let’s be honest: This is just another poll, and while it does look at likely voters to give it more validity, it is still more than 90 days before the election. So these numbers, while encouraging, are still just a guess.

The more interesting aspects of this particular poll come in the other questions that are designed to measure the trends in voter attitudes, i.e., that factors that will help determine the way they end up voting in November. Several of them are extremely troubling for the Biden camp, and indicate he will find it almost impossible to actually prevail when voting time comes.

Here are some of those:

– The measure of “shy” voters who are reluctant to be honest with pollsters about how they plan to vote. An astounding 71% of Trump voters said they are actually “shy” voters. This is a clear indication that many Trump voters actually lie to pollsters when asked who the plan to vote for, which is certainly understandable given the corrupt media’s campaign to shame all Trump voters as racists or even worse.

– The growing Enthusiasm Gap. 79 percent of Trump voters are enthusiastic about their candidate compared to just 41 percent of Biden voters, two points lower than a month ago. This is by far the largest such gap I have ever seen between two presidential candidates, and I have been following this stuff religiously since 1980. This will presage an enormous turnout advantage for Trump if it holds up.

– That Enthusiasm Gap gets even worse for Biden in this followup question:

Q. “Is your vote for Trump/Biden a positive vote for your candidate or a negative vote against his opponent?

Trump voters: positive vote = 84%; negative vote = 16% Biden voters: positive vote = 32%; negative vote = 68% – The growing recognition by voters that Biden is suffering from advancing dementia. I’ve been writing about this reality since before Biden even announced his candidacy last April, and a growing number of likely voters are becoming aware of it. According to this poll, a phenomenal 58 percent believe Mr Biden is suffering from cognitive decline compared to 55 percent last month. Even worse for Biden, 48 percent are less likely to vote for him as a result compared to 40 percent a month ago.

– The Expectations Game. Fully 62% of voters expect that Trump will win the first debate against Biden. That expectation, combined with Biden’s increasingly obvious mental decline, is why you will never see a debate between these two men this Fall.

Also, by a margin of 54-46%, voters expect the President to defeat Biden.

There is much, much more in this poll, and pretty much all of it is discouraging for Biden.

That’s good news for America.

That is all.


TOPICS: Conspiracy; Humor; Politics; Society
KEYWORDS: 2020election; clowncar; delaware; dementiajoe; fakenews; florida; iowa; joebiden; joeclowncarbiden; mediabias; michigan; minnesota; newhampshire; pennsylvania; trump; trumppoll; trumpwinsagain; wisconsin
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-80 ... 121-129 next last
To: gundog
I’ve got part of a volcanic bomb

Cool.

Politically, so does Trump who will blast Biden and the DNC to kingdom come because of Americans who love America.

41 posted on 08/02/2020 10:01:44 AM PDT by Jim W N (MAGA by restoring the Gospel of the Grace of Christ and our Free Constitutional Republic!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 30 | View Replies]

To: DesertRhino

Chris Wallace fervently hopes that Trump will lose to Biden. He’s as leftist as they come. Chip off the old block of his dad.

His conduct during that interview with the president was disgraceful.


42 posted on 08/02/2020 10:02:04 AM PDT by Deo volente ("When we see the image of a baby in the womb, we glimpse the majesty of God's creation." Pres. Trump)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: IDFbunny
Plan B was a Clinton Obama ticket. The Maxwell arrest casts doubt on that now. They may be stuck with Biden now. For what ever reason they won’t run Sanders, never did understand why.

I agree that they may feel they're stuck with Biden. I my opinion, if the DNC did decide to pull a switch, they wouldn't replace Biden with Hillary. Hillary is already damaged goods. As you've stated, the Maxwell arrest complicates things further. Biden has already backed himself into a corner by all but guaranteeing that his VP will be a Black female. If Biden is replaced, there will be a huge backlash from Black Democrats if they pick a White replacement. Also, the Bernie Bros will demand that the nomination should now go to Sanders.

43 posted on 08/02/2020 10:02:10 AM PDT by GreenHornet
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: EyesOfTX

Tanned and well rested!

44 posted on 08/02/2020 10:03:07 AM PDT by xp38
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: EyesOfTX

sooooper doooper breaking news


45 posted on 08/02/2020 10:04:21 AM PDT by Phillyred
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: MIA_eccl1212

“They hope to take over control of the senate to impeach trump.”


Conviction requires 2/3rds vote. But with control of the Senate, they would be able to stop SCOTUS/Federal judge appointments.


46 posted on 08/02/2020 10:04:27 AM PDT by hanamizu
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 24 | View Replies]

To: reg45

LOL! You know what I think is going on now? They put a hearing aid in his ear, and when he does an interview someone tells him what to say through that hearing aid. I saw an interview with him yesterday, he was broadcasting from his basement, and he was talking exactly as if someone was telling him what to say pausing after every 3 or 4 words. What I’m hoping is he screws up and says “I can’t hear you, can you repeat that?” LOL


47 posted on 08/02/2020 10:04:37 AM PDT by GrandJediMasterYoda (As long as Hillary Clinton remains free equal justice under the law will never exist in the USA)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 29 | View Replies]

To: GrandJediMasterYoda

Just a small clarification....Harry Truman was buried under 600 FEET of hot ash, rock, and mud, moving at about 600 mph. I’ve been to Mt. St. Helens, and that little tidbit came from a park ranger/volcanologist.

And hopefully, it’ll be just at terminal for Biden.


48 posted on 08/02/2020 10:05:39 AM PDT by hoagy62 (DTCM&OTTH)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 26 | View Replies]

To: reg45

And I was a coal miner’ daughter!


49 posted on 08/02/2020 10:05:44 AM PDT by Dr. Ursus
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 29 | View Replies]

To: EyesOfTX

“Also, by a margin of 54-46%, voters expect the President to defeat Biden.”

This is almost exactly my personal assessment of the odds of a Trump victory, accounting for everything, including the Fraud Factor. This is somewhat comforting, but a 46% chance that America commits suicide is rather frightening.


50 posted on 08/02/2020 10:09:26 AM PDT by rightwingcrazy (;-,)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: hoagy62

And how do you propose they will tear down the country? I cannot see the millions of conservative Patriots, the military and law enforcement (once they realize they are backed by the majority and the majority is willing to get in the fight) just standing by twiddling thumbs while the leftist a$$holes try to pull off riots disguised as “protests”. I for one will be happy to bag my limit!!!


51 posted on 08/02/2020 10:12:56 AM PDT by Conservinator (It's okay to be close-minded IF you are right!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: Deaf Smith

Vote Red or the Constitutions dead.


52 posted on 08/02/2020 10:13:57 AM PDT by Husker24
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: EyesOfTX

i think the Democrat Nazi Communist party bosses will HAVE to switch to another candidate, and soon

they cannot possibly hope to win with Biden and especially not in his most unfortunaate mental state (or rather, lack of it)


53 posted on 08/02/2020 10:19:15 AM PDT by faithhopecharity (Politicians are not born, theyÂ’re excreted. Marcus Tullius Cicero (106 to 43 BCE))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: EyesOfTX

This outfit is an off shoot of the Cato Institute; so expect this poll to never be mentioned by the MSM.


54 posted on 08/02/2020 10:21:13 AM PDT by KC_Conspirator
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Arthur Wildfire! March; Berosus; Bockscar; cardinal4; ColdOne; ...
The Democracy Institute/Sunday Express poll shows the President with a 48-46% lead in the national popular vote, as well as a 48-43% edge in the swing states of Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire and Wisconsin. Among those states, Biden only leads in Wisconsin, which Trump won in 2016. The deduction of that state’s electoral votes and the addition of Minnesota and New Hampshire to the Trump column would result in a Trump Electoral College victory of 309 to 229, larger by 3 than his winning margin in 2016.

55 posted on 08/02/2020 10:25:38 AM PDT by SunkenCiv (Imagine an imaginary menagerie manager imagining managing an imaginary menagerie.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: allendale

They did it in New Jersey when they pulled Lautenberg out of mothballs when Torricelli ended his campaign. Even got the NJ Supreme Court to allow a name change on the ballot.


56 posted on 08/02/2020 10:30:37 AM PDT by Crolis ("To have a right to do a thing is not at all the same as to be right in doing it." -GKC)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: DesertRhino
Not according to Chris Wallace on Fox news this Sunday morning. He says Biden leads Trunp by 10 nationwide!

I bet.
I am fully expecting Fox News, ABC/Washington Post etc to come up with a Biden lead of at least 12% in late October, with just a week or so to go to the elections. To suppress the Trump vote.
After all, ABC/Washington Post had Hilary Clinton leading by 12 points in late October 2016, with just 10 days to go to the elections. They gotta do everything possible to totally depress Trump voters in the run up to the elections.
All such attempts must be rejected out of hand by Trump voters.

57 posted on 08/02/2020 10:34:18 AM PDT by SmokingJoe
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: hoagy62
I also wouldn’t put it past them to say “You WILL vote for Biden, or we’ll destroy the country! And you can’t stop us!”

That's definitely the impression they are trying to create. But because we are familiar with lefists, we know that if Biden gets elected this destruction will accelerate because there will be zero push back. They've got the bit in their teeth ... cowering donation-spewing corporations, complicit mayors and governors, cancel culture shutting down all dissent... they're getting everything they've always wanted. Why on earth would they back down AT ALL?

58 posted on 08/02/2020 10:35:53 AM PDT by Lizavetta
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: EyesOfTX

It is possible that the riots in MN could flip it but I don’t think so.
The Left has had control of the MN media since the 60’s and the only time they were worried was during Reagan.


59 posted on 08/02/2020 10:36:26 AM PDT by Zathras
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: EyesOfTX

60 posted on 08/02/2020 10:37:47 AM PDT by Libloather (Why do climate change hoax deniers live in mansions on the beach?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-80 ... 121-129 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson