Posted on 08/02/2020 9:33:25 AM PDT by EyesOfTX
The Trump 2020 landslide is starting to build. Although most of the conventional polls still show Hidin Joe Biden with a lead, there is no question that we have see a noticeable movement in the polling over the past two weeks in President Trumps favor. The absurd Biden leads of 12 15 points being trumpeted in the corrupt news media a month ago have now given way to single digit margins ranging from 4 9 points as pollsters try to make their output somewhat more believable to a knowing public.
Im not a person who obsesses over polls, mainly because the vast majority of polls are now as corrupt as the news media, and designed to create news stories rather than genuinely attempt to reflect public opinion. But one polls released Sunday morning does deserve mentioning, not because it shows President Trump now holding a narrow margin in the national popular vote and a larger edge in several battleground states, but because of its findings on a series of other questions that really do give us an idea of how voter opinions are trending.
The Democracy Institute/Sunday Express poll shows the President with a 48-46% lead in the national popular vote, as well as a 48-43% edge in the swing states of Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire and Wisconsin. Among those states, Biden only leads in Wisconsin, which Trump won in 2016. The deduction of that states electoral votes and the addition of Minnesota and New Hampshire to the Trump column would result in a Trump Electoral College victory of 309 to 229, larger by 3 than his winning margin in 2016.
But lets be honest: This is just another poll, and while it does look at likely voters to give it more validity, it is still more than 90 days before the election. So these numbers, while encouraging, are still just a guess.
The more interesting aspects of this particular poll come in the other questions that are designed to measure the trends in voter attitudes, i.e., that factors that will help determine the way they end up voting in November. Several of them are extremely troubling for the Biden camp, and indicate he will find it almost impossible to actually prevail when voting time comes.
Here are some of those:
The measure of shy voters who are reluctant to be honest with pollsters about how they plan to vote. An astounding 71% of Trump voters said they are actually shy voters. This is a clear indication that many Trump voters actually lie to pollsters when asked who the plan to vote for, which is certainly understandable given the corrupt medias campaign to shame all Trump voters as racists or even worse.
The growing Enthusiasm Gap. 79 percent of Trump voters are enthusiastic about their candidate compared to just 41 percent of Biden voters, two points lower than a month ago. This is by far the largest such gap I have ever seen between two presidential candidates, and I have been following this stuff religiously since 1980. This will presage an enormous turnout advantage for Trump if it holds up.
That Enthusiasm Gap gets even worse for Biden in this followup question:
Q. Is your vote for Trump/Biden a positive vote for your candidate or a negative vote against his opponent?
Trump voters: positive vote = 84%; negative vote = 16% Biden voters: positive vote = 32%; negative vote = 68% The growing recognition by voters that Biden is suffering from advancing dementia. Ive been writing about this reality since before Biden even announced his candidacy last April, and a growing number of likely voters are becoming aware of it. According to this poll, a phenomenal 58 percent believe Mr Biden is suffering from cognitive decline compared to 55 percent last month. Even worse for Biden, 48 percent are less likely to vote for him as a result compared to 40 percent a month ago.
The Expectations Game. Fully 62% of voters expect that Trump will win the first debate against Biden. That expectation, combined with Bidens increasingly obvious mental decline, is why you will never see a debate between these two men this Fall.
Also, by a margin of 54-46%, voters expect the President to defeat Biden.
There is much, much more in this poll, and pretty much all of it is discouraging for Biden.
Thats good news for America.
That is all.
Cool.
Politically, so does Trump who will blast Biden and the DNC to kingdom come because of Americans who love America.
Chris Wallace fervently hopes that Trump will lose to Biden. He’s as leftist as they come. Chip off the old block of his dad.
His conduct during that interview with the president was disgraceful.
I agree that they may feel they're stuck with Biden. I my opinion, if the DNC did decide to pull a switch, they wouldn't replace Biden with Hillary. Hillary is already damaged goods. As you've stated, the Maxwell arrest complicates things further. Biden has already backed himself into a corner by all but guaranteeing that his VP will be a Black female. If Biden is replaced, there will be a huge backlash from Black Democrats if they pick a White replacement. Also, the Bernie Bros will demand that the nomination should now go to Sanders.
Tanned and well rested!
sooooper doooper breaking news
“They hope to take over control of the senate to impeach trump.”
LOL! You know what I think is going on now? They put a hearing aid in his ear, and when he does an interview someone tells him what to say through that hearing aid. I saw an interview with him yesterday, he was broadcasting from his basement, and he was talking exactly as if someone was telling him what to say pausing after every 3 or 4 words. What I’m hoping is he screws up and says “I can’t hear you, can you repeat that?” LOL
Just a small clarification....Harry Truman was buried under 600 FEET of hot ash, rock, and mud, moving at about 600 mph. I’ve been to Mt. St. Helens, and that little tidbit came from a park ranger/volcanologist.
And hopefully, it’ll be just at terminal for Biden.
And I was a coal miner daughter!
“Also, by a margin of 54-46%, voters expect the President to defeat Biden.”
This is almost exactly my personal assessment of the odds of a Trump victory, accounting for everything, including the Fraud Factor. This is somewhat comforting, but a 46% chance that America commits suicide is rather frightening.
And how do you propose they will tear down the country? I cannot see the millions of conservative Patriots, the military and law enforcement (once they realize they are backed by the majority and the majority is willing to get in the fight) just standing by twiddling thumbs while the leftist a$$holes try to pull off riots disguised as protests. I for one will be happy to bag my limit!!!
Vote Red or the Constitutions dead.
i think the Democrat Nazi Communist party bosses will HAVE to switch to another candidate, and soon
they cannot possibly hope to win with Biden and especially not in his most unfortunaate mental state (or rather, lack of it)
This outfit is an off shoot of the Cato Institute; so expect this poll to never be mentioned by the MSM.
The Democracy Institute/Sunday Express poll shows the President with a 48-46% lead in the national popular vote, as well as a 48-43% edge in the swing states of Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire and Wisconsin. Among those states, Biden only leads in Wisconsin, which Trump won in 2016. The deduction of that states electoral votes and the addition of Minnesota and New Hampshire to the Trump column would result in a Trump Electoral College victory of 309 to 229, larger by 3 than his winning margin in 2016.
They did it in New Jersey when they pulled Lautenberg out of mothballs when Torricelli ended his campaign. Even got the NJ Supreme Court to allow a name change on the ballot.
I bet.
I am fully expecting Fox News, ABC/Washington Post etc to come up with a Biden lead of at least 12% in late October, with just a week or so to go to the elections. To suppress the Trump vote.
After all, ABC/Washington Post had Hilary Clinton leading by 12 points in late October 2016, with just 10 days to go to the elections. They gotta do everything possible to totally depress Trump voters in the run up to the elections.
All such attempts must be rejected out of hand by Trump voters.
That's definitely the impression they are trying to create. But because we are familiar with lefists, we know that if Biden gets elected this destruction will accelerate because there will be zero push back. They've got the bit in their teeth ... cowering donation-spewing corporations, complicit mayors and governors, cancel culture shutting down all dissent... they're getting everything they've always wanted. Why on earth would they back down AT ALL?
It is possible that the riots in MN could flip it but I don’t think so.
The Left has had control of the MN media since the 60’s and the only time they were worried was during Reagan.
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