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WHY NO SPIKE AS STATES REOPEN?
Powerline ^ | May 17, 2020 | John Hinderaker

Posted on 05/18/2020 5:27:07 AM PDT by CheshireTheCat

...My problem with the shutdown orders wasn’t that they couldn’t slow the rate of infection; I assumed they did. My argument has been that 1) the cost of the shutdown orders in human sickness, death, poverty and misery is far too high for any marginal benefit they might confer, and 2) temporarily slowing the disease’s spread is of little or no value, since the shutdowns must inevitably end, and when they do, the disease will still be there, continuing to infect people.

If the rate of infection actually fails to rise when the shutdowns end, it implies that my view of the shutdowns was too generous. If infections don’t increase, it suggests–proves, arguably–that the shutdowns were absolutely useless, as they failed even to slow the spread of the Wuhan virus.

So what is going on here? Glenn Reynolds says, “It’s looking like this is going to turn out to be a seasonal virus that will fade away over the summer.” And might come back in the fall...

(Excerpt) Read more at powerlineblog.com ...


TOPICS: Conspiracy; Government; Health/Medicine
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To: V_TWIN

Meanwhile, Swampscott, Massachusetts is spray painting one-way scarlet red arrows on their sidewalks!

They will have these nice paint reminders on their sidewalks for a decade or more.


21 posted on 05/18/2020 6:25:33 AM PDT by ProtectOurFreedom
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To: CheshireTheCat

“...the Left is using overblown hype about this virus to attempt to destroy the economy so that Trump will not be re-elected and they, the Left, can take over...”

But, but, the trendy set say there is no such conspiracy because, England, South Korea, and many countries are engaged in lockdowns too.

Of course places like Hong Kong have a tradition of pulling out face masks every time there is a bug going around. Angela Merkle pumped up Europe for shutdowns and she is part of the Leftist hive. Yes, there is a concerted effort in the USA to use the Wuhoo flu to dump Trump. It is more and more obvious.


22 posted on 05/18/2020 6:34:46 AM PDT by Monterrosa-24 (...even more American than a Russian AK-47 and a French bikini.)
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To: Harpotoo

I am living like you, with the exception of protests. There are none in my area as we have a reasonable approach going (even though my neighbor is not happy that she has to go to the office and I get to “stay home” and work).

I also shop at times that are known to have less people in the stores anyway.


23 posted on 05/18/2020 6:34:48 AM PDT by PrincessB
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To: CheshireTheCat
1) Aerosolized spread is less likely than the "experts" stated. The virus - just like SARS before it - is most commonly spread by touching contaminated surfaces, as are commonly found in hospitals, nursing homes, and New York subways.

2) It's getting warm and/or humid over a large swath of the USA, and COVID-19 - like all coronaviruses - does not live as long on surfaces in such environments:

The one-size-fits-all lockdown solution was based on an alleged high potential of random, aerosolized transmission, and constitutes criminal madness if such transmission is actually not occurring at the predicted rates. Which is exactly what the evidence so far is suggesting.

24 posted on 05/18/2020 6:38:15 AM PDT by Mr. Jeeves ([CTRL]-[GALT]-[DELETE])
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To: CheshireTheCat

Time to get back to work and #rebuidtheeconomytogether


25 posted on 05/18/2020 6:38:15 AM PDT by 1Old Pro (#openupstateny)
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To: 1Old Pro

Because it was a scam!


26 posted on 05/18/2020 7:01:53 AM PDT by RBW in PA
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To: CheshireTheCat; gas_dr

Thank you for clarifying your positions.. It sounded like high risk people were being attacked for taking precautions..
We need to stop dividing ourselves.. The only people guilty of contributing to a potential collapse are the Establishment Republicans and Marxist Leftists.. The rest of us are contributing and carrying on the best we can. We need each other now more than ever. God bless the protesters all over the country. So far Bellmawr, NJ is a success!!


27 posted on 05/18/2020 7:09:13 AM PDT by DivineMomentsOfTruth ("There is but one straight course, and that is to seek truth and pursue it steadily." -GW)
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To: CheshireTheCat
The press here in Alabama tried to create a crisis the last few days, but failed miserably under scrutinization - Friday the Montgomery Advertiser (Gannett) and WSFA (NBC) both had multiple stories about how "TWO WEEKS AFTER REOPENING" that DoH had identified Montgomery as a "potential new hotspot" and "Hospitals were inundated with patients"

The truth - the 110% increase in cases was due to a 400% increase in testing in Montgomery. In Alabama - the actual numbers we went from 6800 cases with 65,000 tests before reopening - to 2600 cases in 84000 tests after reopening. An actual DROP to 1/3 the positives.

The truth - Montgomery's SEVENTY-EIGHT hospitalized patients were across FOUR LARGE HOSPITALS, and over 60 of the patients were from over 10 counties in the area that only have Clinics and funnel all patients to Montgomery ICU facilities.

28 posted on 05/18/2020 7:19:40 AM PDT by commish (Freedom tastes Sweetest to those who have fought to preserve it!)
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To: ClearCase_guy

Just be prepared for >150,000 deaths in total when this is finally all over.


29 posted on 05/18/2020 7:34:58 AM PDT by logi_cal869 (-cynicus the "concern troll" a/o 10/03/2018 /!i!! &@$%&*(@ -)
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To: logi_cal869

“Just be prepared for >150,000 deaths in total when this is finally all over.”

When the next Census numbers come out, we’ll know how many people are currently in America. The last count was over 325,000,000. So yes, I’m prepared for 150,000 deaths (even if one of them is mine) and no, it hasn’t been worth killing our economy over.

The fear porn isn’t working anymore.


30 posted on 05/18/2020 8:20:24 AM PDT by LateBoomer
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To: CheshireTheCat

But the models say.....


31 posted on 05/18/2020 8:47:17 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration
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To: LateBoomer

Exactly! People die from disease, that is a reality of life!


32 posted on 05/18/2020 8:49:38 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration
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To: fortheDeclaration

< Archie bunker voice > Would youse be happier if they was pushed out windows, little girl?< / archie bunker>


33 posted on 05/18/2020 8:57:37 AM PDT by going hot (happiness is a momma deuce)
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To: CheshireTheCat

Spike is a character in the “Nancy” comic strip. What does he have to do with the lockdown?


34 posted on 05/18/2020 9:51:45 AM PDT by Verginius Rufus
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To: LateBoomer

Here either.


35 posted on 05/18/2020 2:14:01 PM PDT by logi_cal869 (-cynicus the "concern troll" a/o 10/03/2018 /!i!! &@$%&*(@ -)
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