Posted on 04/22/2020 4:24:43 AM PDT by grundle
This medical paper states:
The COVID-19 death risk in people <65 years old during the period of fatalities from the epidemic was equivalent to the death risk from driving between 9 miles per day (Germany) and 415 miles per day (New York City).
If this is true, then it seems to me that healthy children and healthy adults under 65, who live in places with low or middle population densities, who don’t live with an elderly parent, never should have been told to stay home.
“..was equivalent to the death risk from driving between 9 miles per day (Germany) and 415 miles per day (New York City)....”
What does that even mean?
NY issues do-not-resuscitate guideline for cardiac patients amid coronavirus
I think it was clear early on that people who were of retirement age should have considered not going to work.
And people who were of working age should probably go to work.
It doesn’t get more straightforward than that.
And, of course, in a free society, people should decide for themselves how much risk they want to take on.
That your chance of dying from WuFlu is equivalent to the chance of your croaking in a motor vehicle accident while driving those distances in those locales?
Pothead drivers have killed a number of people in my neck of the woods.
NYS still wants to legalize pot.
Go figure.
Both are in their 80s.
The husband has COPD and the wife has tons of issues. The husband was hospitalized, never put on a ventilator (key point) and has now recovered.
The wife recovered at home on HCQ, AZR and Zinc.
So much for the scientists and media telling me who is at risk. Nothing that comes from DC and it's "specialists" can be trusted or relied on.
Preview is really easy. It shows you what you’re about to post before you post it. Try it sometime.
9 miles in Germany?? I can see walking 415 miles in Germwny vs 9 in NY.
So our overall death rate should go down.
“The absolute risk of COVID-19 death ranged from 1.7 per million for people <65 years old in Germany to 79 per million in New York City. “
Thanks for the April 4th article with 3 week old data, just what we need, recycled stupidity.
I hope the checks you are getting from the Chinese Government are large, but they will be disappointed in you today.
NYC death rate is not 79 per million. There are 9 million people and there have been 3,328 deaths AMONG THOSE UNDER 65 YEARS OLD so the death rate is 375 per million not 79 per million.
Math test - find the larger number
a) 79
b) 375
https://www1.nyc.gov/site/doh/covid/covid-19-data.page
We keep talking about death rates, but most people would also prefer not to be near death for 2 weeks, trying to breath. Even if they recover, who wants to go to the hospital and fight for life in misery?
That is the real statistic that is missing, that I'll bet they don't want to show you.
Wow. Driving in Germany is dangerous.
The paper is talking about absolute risk, not risk once infected.
Absolute risk is with mitigation strategies in place, shut downs, masks, distancing. It goes up when mitigation is relaxed.
Ever been on an Autobahn?
Indeed. And safe in NY.
Well, currently it's 58 deaths total for all ages with no complications in NYC (note: 50 of these were males, and ages 45 to 64 show the most deaths at 44 out of 58, but that is likely due to that being the most predominate age of the population, and thus the infections).
The same source shows 2,263.00 total deaths for those under 65 with complications, which include Diabetes, Lung Disease, Cancer, Immunodeficiency, Heart Disease, Hypertension, Asthma, Kidney Disease, GI/Liver Disease, and Obesity.
And 5,004.00 total deaths for those over 65 with complications, April 21, 2020 at 6:00 PM. https://www1.nyc.gov/assets/doh/downloads/pdf/imm/covid-19-daily-data-summary-deaths-04222020-1.pdf
Or 3.08 uncomplicated per million.
And just why are we Shutting down the Economy for such a low rate as this??
Remember, the plague got 2 out of every 3 people in Europe.
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