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How dangerous is the COVID-19 coronavirus?
peacebyjesuscom.blogspot.com ^ | 04/02/20 | daniel1212

Posted on 04/02/2020 6:46:30 PM PDT by daniel1212


How dangerous is the COVID-19 coronavirus?  

[slightly edited and restructured answer I originally wrote on Quora, to the question, but which summarily deleted by them without explanation]

That depends on many factors.

The Guardian (March 21) and some other news media stated that about 80% of people who get Covid-19 experience a mild case [WHO said the same] – about as serious as a regular cold – and recover without needing any special treatment.[1]

Also, the amount of the coronavirus that you first take in may play a factor in the severity of your symptoms (other aspects being equal).[2]

CDC (March 18): among patients with COVID-19 in the United States the estimated fatality rate among persons aged 19 years and younger was 0%; 1% among persons aged 20–54 years; 1% to 3% among persons aged 55-64 years, and ranging from 10% to 27% among persons aged 85 and up.[3] 80 percent of US coronavirus deaths are people 65 and older.[4]

Live Science reported (March 30) that,

a recent study of COVID-19 cases in the United States estimated a mortality rate of 10% to 27% for those ages 85 and over, 3% to 11% for those ages 65 to 84, 1% to 3% for those ages 55 to 64 and less than 1% for those ages 20 to 54. South Korea, which conducted more than 140,000 tests for COVID-19, officials found a overall fatality rate of 0.6%[5]

As of March 23 Italy and South Korea had reported no fatalities for the 10 to 19 years old age group. China reported that 0.2 percent of cases for these young people end in death[6]

Another study of COVID-19 cases in Wuhan, China, estimates that the death rate among people who were infected and developed symptoms was 1.4 percent. The study, reported yesterday in Nature Medicine, suggests that the overall CFR—including people who are infected but do not develop symptoms—will prove to be much lower in the United States than many people feared[7] .

The worldwide fatality rate (Feb. 29) for those 80 years old and up was 14.8%, almost twice that of those 70-79 years old (8.0%) and which itself is over twice as much as those aged 60-69 years old (3.6%), which rate is over twice as much as those aged 50-59 years old (1.3%) while for those aged 40-49 years old it is 0.4%, and 0.2% for those aged 10-39 years old. 

As regards health conditions, those must vulnerable are those with Cardiovascular disease, then Diabetes, and after that Diabetes, Hypertension, then Cancer.[8]

Relevant to that, more than 99% of Italy's coronavirus fatalities were people who suffered from previous medical conditions.[9]  Also, three out of four young NYC Coronavirus fatalities had other medical conditions (Mar. 27).[8] 

More on worldwide demographic and health condition fatality rates: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-age-sex-demographics/

Therefore the COVID-19 coronavirus is especially dangerous to the aged and those with certain per-existing conditions, these being the most vulnerable.

However, since you use the word “dangerous” in regards to life then we should consider other dangers to the same. In regard to that, being in the womb means one is very vulnerable as it places one in danger death, especially since America murders over 2,000 of those souls a day[11].

And if we should consider a comparative perspective,  the US death toll from Covid-19 after 2 months (Feb-March) is 5,000[12] (4–1), which is less than the average yearly fatality rate from motor vehicle accidents (over 90 people deaths per day,[13] 39,404 people in 2018 - though many are omitted) which figures to be  a 12.04 death rate per 100,000 population[14]).

And out of 169,936 preventable deaths in 2017, an estimated 125,300 preventable injury-related deaths were in homes and communities, which constitutes about 75% of all preventable injury-related deaths[15].

In addition, obesity and being overweight are together the second leading cause of preventable death in the United States[16].

Meanwhile, though we are to seek to prevent deaths, what is most important is who and what we live for, and where we will spend eternity. May all repent and believe.

Hope this helps. Peace by Jesus 

Footnotes

[1] https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/21/coronavirus-symptoms-how-spread-should-i-see-doctor
[2] COVID-19: Does the amount of virus one gets infected with affect disease severity? Experts weigh in
[3] Severe Outcomes Among Patients with Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19
[4] CDC: 80 percent of US coronavirus deaths are people 65 and older
[5] How deadly is the new coronavirus?
[6] The Covid-19 risks for different age groups, explained
[7] If COVID-19 Killed 1.4% of People With Symptoms in Wuhan, the Overall Fatality Rate Is Likely to Be Much Lower Than People Feared
[8] Coronavirus Age, Sex, Demographics (COVID-19)
[9] 99% of Those Who Died From Virus Had Other Illness, Italy Says
[10] Three Out of Four Young NYC Coronavirus Fatalities Had Medical Conditions
[11] Induced Abortion in the United States
[12] US COVID-19 Cases and Deaths
[13] Crash Deaths in the US: Where We Stand
[14] Introduction - Injury Facts
[15] Obesity: Facts, Figures, Guidelines


TOPICS: Chit/Chat; Education; Food; Government; Religion; Science; Sports
KEYWORDS: covid19; covidcaptivity; falsegodspunishment; flubrodenial; hysteriavirus; quora
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To: Yogafist; tallyhoe; John W

I think i know how you would answer my poll: https://www.strawpoll.me/19615654/r


21 posted on 04/02/2020 7:59:28 PM PDT by daniel1212 ( Trust the risen Lord Jesus to save you as a damned and destitute sinner + be baptized + follow Him)
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To: daniel1212

LoL. I already took it. I think I am in the majority there.


22 posted on 04/02/2020 8:01:15 PM PDT by Yogafist
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To: Salamander

Haven’t you heard? The virus can just show up anywhere with or without a vector. I’m telling you that each day the media invents more horseshit about how it can be transmitted and it’s immortality. They are doing this to maintain their control and ruin our economy.


23 posted on 04/02/2020 8:01:25 PM PDT by chuckb87
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To: John W
More talk on FNC tonight about hospitals not at the model predicted capacity levels. Deaths also trailing.

Much of the media will find that distressing. Need to keep the hysteria going. Soon deaths will be attributed even more indirectly to Covid-19, from drug overdoes (self-medication) to falls and car accidents (impaired judgment), but not to the economic and social effects of the "do not touch your (radioactive) face," "shelter in place for weeks," "be very afraid" response.

"Emergency: Everybody to get from street/striet!"

24 posted on 04/02/2020 8:05:28 PM PDT by daniel1212 ( Trust the risen Lord Jesus to save you as a damned and destitute sinner + be baptized + follow Him)
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To: familyop

25 posted on 04/02/2020 8:11:23 PM PDT by Salamander (Living On The Ledge....)
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To: chuckb87
Haven’t you heard? The virus can just show up anywhere with or without a vector

27 feet now. ICBM: Intercommunal ballistic mucus.

But i do have empathy to those who are very sick by it, and it is the extreme fear and measures that i see as unwarranted and more harmful in the long term.

Death will happen though we should try to delay it, and as said, where we will spend eternity is most imprtant. May all repent and believe

26 posted on 04/02/2020 8:11:51 PM PDT by daniel1212 ( Trust the risen Lord Jesus to save you as a damned and destitute sinner + be baptized + follow Him)
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To: Salamander

Some days....


27 posted on 04/02/2020 8:12:20 PM PDT by Vermont Lt
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To: chuckb87

She is losing her mind.

She’s lost 12 pounds.

I keep trying to be her fearless warrior but then someone tells her some kind of crap like I mentioned.

:(


28 posted on 04/02/2020 8:12:48 PM PDT by Salamander (Living On The Ledge....)
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To: Vermont Lt

Okay..but ditch that ditzy blonde, ‘kay?

:D


29 posted on 04/02/2020 8:13:19 PM PDT by Salamander (Living On The Ledge....)
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To: daniel1212

Well.

That was quite revealing.


30 posted on 04/02/2020 8:15:31 PM PDT by Salamander (Living On The Ledge....)
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To: Salamander

No kidding. Seemed like a good idea at the time.


31 posted on 04/02/2020 8:17:26 PM PDT by Vermont Lt
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To: Vermont Lt
What are they saying in Vermont? Here in MA: Dr. Ashish Jha, director of the Harvard Global Health Institute, said in an interview with WBUR that epidemiologists estimate that between 40 and 70 percent of adults will get the infection. (https://www.bostonglobe.com/2020/03/14/opinion/hospitals-must-now-plan-pandemics-worst/)
32 posted on 04/02/2020 8:24:54 PM PDT by daniel1212 ( Trust the risen Lord Jesus to save you as a damned and destitute sinner + be baptized + follow Him)
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To: Vermont Lt

She ruined an awesome movie.

And then he took up with her.

ick


33 posted on 04/02/2020 8:31:08 PM PDT by Salamander (Living On The Ledge....)
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To: daniel1212

Don’t live in Vermont. It’s been 38 years. Not really interested in going back.


34 posted on 04/02/2020 8:34:59 PM PDT by Vermont Lt
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To: bray

Pretty much. The destruction to American wealth, prosperity, and ultimately our lives has already been far more destructive that this virus.


35 posted on 04/02/2020 8:46:09 PM PDT by vpintheak (Live free, or die!)
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To: Vermont Lt
Don’t live in Vermont. It’s been 38 years. Not really interested in going back.

Oh I see. I can understand. A long cry from where there used to be more cows than people. Now even less people of God and for the nation.

36 posted on 04/02/2020 8:48:55 PM PDT by daniel1212 ( Trust the risen Lord Jesus to save you as a damned and destitute sinner + be baptized + follow Him)
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To: daniel1212

Covid-19 is real. The fear-mongering and useless predictions from “experts” and those in government are not. The following dire predictions and their current status are:

February 11, 2020: “Coronavirus ‘could infect 60% of global population if unchecked.’” Sarah Boseley, theguardian.com, based on comments by Hong Kong’s leading public health epidemiologist
Update: The global population is about 8,000,000,000 people. Sixty percent of that is 4,800,000,000. Currently, about 1,000,000 (0.00125%) people have been infected.

February 11, 2020: “Could the new coronavirus really kill 50 million people worldwide?” Michael LePage and Debora Mackenzie, newscientist.com, based on comments from Gabriel Leung, chair of public health medicine at Hong Kong University
Update: 50,230 people worldwide have died from the virus.

March 7, 2020: “Study: Best-Case Scenario 15M Dead, $2.4T GDP Hit” Eric Mack, newsmax.com, based on comments from Australia National University economics professor Warwick McKibbin
Update: There have been 50,230 fatalities.

March 11, 2020: “Merkel warns Germany ‘up to 70 percent of country could become infected’” www.thelocal.de
Update: With a population of about 80,000,000, Ms. Merkel is predicting that 56,000,000 Germans will be infected. At an assumed Case Fatality Rate of 1%, 56,000 Germans will die. Currently, there have been 81,728 cases in Germany with 997 deaths.

March 12, 2020: “The experts are telling us an average of 3,060 Americans will die every day through the end of this year…” newsmax.com, referring to comments made by Andy Slavitt, the former Medicare, Medicaid chief for Barack Obama
Update: Since the first US death on 2020/01/26, we have averaged about 84 fatalities per day.

March 17, 2020: “Imperial College has advised the government on its response to previous epidemics, including SARS, avian flu and swine flu. With ties to the World Health Organization and a team of 50 scientists, led by a prominent epidemiologist, Neil Ferguson, Imperial is treated as a sort of gold standard, its mathematical models feeding directly into government policies.”
“The report, which warned that an uncontrolled spread of the disease could cause as many as 510,000 deaths in Britain, triggered a sudden shift in the government’s comparatively relaxed response to the virus.”
“American officials said the report, which projected up to 2.2 million deaths in the United States from such a spread, also influenced the White House to strengthen its measures to isolate members of the public.”
Update: There have been 2,921 deaths in Britain and 5,150 in the United States.

March 20, 2020: “We project that roughly 56 percent of our population – 25.5 million people – will be infected with the virus over an eight week period” CA Governor Newsom, letter to the President
Update: If the death rate is 1.0%, 255,000 Californians will die – 4,250 every day. Since January 1, 2020, there have been 9,937 infections and 216 deaths in CA.

March 21, 2020: “I’m definitely going to get it. We all are,’ N.J.’s top health official says as she leads the state’s coronavirus war.” nj.com
Update: If 100% in NJ are infected, and 1% of those die, the NJ population of 9,000,000 will see 9,000 deaths from 9,000,000 infections.
Update: New Jersey has 22,255 infections and 355 deaths among a population of 9,000,000.

March 22, 2020: NYS Governor Andrew Cuomo predicts that 40% - 80% (of New Yorkers) will be infected by Covid-19. cnn.com
Update: If 80% are infected and 1% of those die, the NYS population of 20,000,000 will see 160,000 deaths from 16,000,000 infections; Currently, 84,046 have been infected; there have been 2,220 fatalities.

March 26, 2020: “In recent days, Cuomo has said the state will need to go from its current 53,000 hospital beds and 3,000 ICU beds up to 140,000 hospital beds, 40000 ICU beds, and provide a minimum of 30,000 ventilators to respond to the outbreak.” Sydney Kashiqagi, silive.com
Update: 9,775 people have been hospitalized.


37 posted on 04/02/2020 8:54:27 PM PDT by DennisR (Look around. God gives countless clues that He does, indeed, exist.)
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To: daniel1212

How dangerous is living?


38 posted on 04/02/2020 8:56:43 PM PDT by mulligan (En bbnnEeThe tC)
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To: vpintheak

The Y2K-orona is looking like another fake crisis.


39 posted on 04/02/2020 9:01:22 PM PDT by bray (Pray for President Trump)
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To: daniel1212

I watched Fox news tonight and they had Sweden on and what they were doing.. Moderate changes like when the Flu is ongoing.. Death rate did not explode!


40 posted on 04/02/2020 10:27:54 PM PDT by tallyhoe
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