Posted on 01/02/2020 5:19:04 PM PST by Godzilla
Threat Matrix 2020
Established in 2001 after the 9/11 attack on America, this thread is designed to identify threats to America, both internal and external, and evaluate the probability of those threats occurring and the extent of potential damage. Discussions may stray into ‘tinfoil’ territory, but the goal is to peel back and confirm information so we can make founded decisions and actions.
Big thanks for these updates that you do!
Now is the time to work off those excess calories fighting through the crowds on Black Friday.
Wuhan Virus -
Pfizer has announced that its COVID-19 vaccine is being prepositioned for distribution, pending its approval by the Food and Drug Administration.
Much is being made about the article associated with Johns Hopkins University and the lack of ‘excess deaths’. First, the article appeared in a student published NEWSLETTER, not the peer reviewed publications of the University. Second, as such, the attempt to link it to the more rigorous publications is an intellectually dishonest effort. Now, with that said the material of the article - the essence there of - does raise some questions that should be placed to peer - review level as I don’t think the student who authored the article was a nut job either. Hopefully, a detailed review of the issues raised will be done. Similar examinations of the records have noted flu deaths apparently being absorbed into the wuhan death count.
New Mexico’s closures of grocery stores has continued to snowball, with people waiting hour in line in many places. Hardest hit are smaller communities where the only store has been closed. The democrat governor’s office issued a statement proclaiming that the state is “not forcing anyone to stand in a crowded line.” Photographic evidence says otherwise.
Not to be out done by LA, San Francisco has ordered a three week long shutdown. The curfew requires non-essential businesses to close and prohibits members of different households from gathering between 10pm and 5am until December 21. Santa Clara County just tightened its restrictions to include: “A new mandatory directive on travel will require people to quarantine for 14 days upon return to the County from travel of more than 150 miles. Healthcare workers and patients traveling to provide or receive care are exempted.”
Economy -
I mentioned yesterday that Black Friday sales were dismal. Now the numbers have been crunched and traffic at stores on Black Friday fell by 52.1% compared with last year, according to preliminary data from Sensormatic Solutions. However, online spending on Black Friday surged 21.6% to hit a new record, according to data from Adobe Analytics.
2020 Election-
Pennsylvanian legislature, controlled by republicans, is taking steps to reclaim its authority to appoint electors to the Electoral college.
CW2/Civil Disturbances -
Fallout from Minneapolis’ coddling of rioters, defunding of police and the resultant exodus of police has resulted in increased crime in more prosperous neighborhoods. The city councils’ response? Cut the police budget even more.
Iran -
As mourning begins for Fakhrizadeh’s, Iranian leadership ratchet up the rhetoric, calling for fire to be brought down on those who executed the kill. Meanwhile, none of the twelve individuals who allegedly participated in the Fakhri Zadeh assassinations have been arrested arrested. Another interesting detail that has come out is that 30 minutes prior to the hit, power in the neighborhood was cut off. This prevented him from being treated by a local emergency room, forcing him to be transferred to a hospital in Tehran.
The UN has called for restraint by Iran to prevent further escalation of regional tensions. Israel has remained silent on the operation.
There are no flu deaths, Citizen.
It's all COVID...
So crowded grocery stores with long lines are going to reduce the spread?
Part of the New Mexico requirements involve substantial fewer people allowed in the store as well.
The clock is running out, only a couple more weeks available to right this election.
Wuhan Virus -
Panic buying has hit scattered markets across the nation - primarily those with significantly increased strictness of lockdowns. Stores proactively placed limits on purchases of many items, but the supply chain is being stressed again. If a nation wide run occurs as in March, the system could implode since it hadn’t even reached any where near pre-wuhan virus levels.
Economy -
Small business confidence has fallen to an all-time low after the election of former Vice President Joseph Biden, according to the Q4 CNBC|SurveyMonkey Small Business Survey. A significant component of the sentiment comes from the indications that a biden administration will unleash even stricter shut down measures, reversing the current effort to reopen the economy. Those measures will result in an even bigger number of small businesses going bankrupt - with a cascading effect of increasing unemployment and some sort of government subsistence. Though the verdict is not out - concerns that this could cause an economic crash of great depression size.
2020 Election-
Judge Timothy C. Batten, Sr. issued an order on Sunday to freeze ALL Dominion voting machines in the state of Georgia. Via Attorney Linn Wood: “Defendants are ordered to maintain the statue quo & are temporarily enjoined from wiping or resetting any voting machines in the State of Georgia until further order of the Court.” Swimming against this are the GA governor and SoS pushing to wiping out the machines as soon as possible - even against court orders. Further, GA is maintaining the same voting procedures that are clearly against GA law.
In response to SoS Raffensperger’s push to wipe the memories of the election machines, a coalition of Republican groups are calling for an occupation of the Georgia State House in response to Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger ordering the Dominion voting machines in the state to be wiped.
MY OPINION: They need to occupy all the county locations where these machines are stored, to prevent local officials from executing the erase. A protest at the capitol would be more show than go.
CW2/Civil Disturbances -
BLM/Antifa activity levels are relatively low. Smaller groups still causing problems in the hell holes of Seattle and Portland. Nationwide, BLM/Antifa and affiliated marxist/socialist groups continue logistical and intelligence preparation of the battlefield (IPB) equivalent planning and preparation.
Strategic Developments -
US Navy released photos indicating that the aircraft carrier USS Nimitz (CVN 68) and Carrier Air Wing 17 are back in the Arabian Sea and conducting flight operations as of November 27, 2020.
Israel -
There are reports surfacing that Prime Minister Netanyahu is planning a summit with Egypt’s President Abdel Fattah Al-Sisi to take place in Cairo in the coming weeks.
Likud and the Blue and White alliance is about to blow up if B & W submits three bills advancing the gay agenda, opposed by Likud. Netanyahu is reported to be considering calling for early elections in response. Remember, Israel has just recently passed through an election marathon that took a better part of a year before a government could be formed.
IAF reported that militarily forces in N Israel ready for any action that Hezbollah may do in response to the assassination of Fakhrizadeh.
Iran -
Nuclear scientist, Mohsen Fakhrizadeh’s funeral taking place today in Tehran. There is considerable anger,and calls for action.
Lebanon -
Hezbollah chief Hassan Nasrallah is reportedly “sheltering in place” even more (interesting, since he’s been essentially living underground for years) and is cancelling any movements following Fakhrizadeh’s assassination, fearing he is targeted as well (Mossad says “well, duh!”)
Maritime border talks between Lebanon and Israel scheduled for Wednesday have been postponed, and U.S. mediators will now contact the two old foes separately, Israeli and Lebanese officials said on Monday. These negations began in October and have been challenging in that according to Israel sources, Lebanon kept changing its positions and the current demands have been rejected by Israel. Part of those new demands consist of moving the boundary southwards into current Israeli areas that have been developed for oil and gas.
Saudi Arabia -
US delegation is enroute to meet with SA leadership, primarily to focus on normalization of relations with Israel.
Black Swans -
This category is open again due to a substantial increase in solar activity this month. The sun woke up from its century level lack of sun spots with vengeance and even more this week. Earth-orbiting satellites detected the biggest solar flare in more than 3 years yesterday (Nov 29th). The blast site is located just behind the sun’s southeastern limb. As a result, the explosion was partially eclipsed by the body of the sun. It might have been an X-class event. X-class events are of a great concern, as these caused events like the famous Carrington event in the 1800’s that resulted in telegraph stations catching on fire and auroral activity far south towards the equator. In 1985 a slightly smaller X-class event crashed the power grid in Quebec. Needless to say, this is 2020 and an X-class CME direct hit is not what we need to be dealing with now.
Right this without violence.
They can steal enough votes to "vote" us into socialism, but if they do, we will have to fight our way out.
Black Swans -
This category is open again due to a substantial increase in solar activity this month. The sun woke up from its century level lack of sun spots with vengeance and even more this week. Earth-orbiting satellites detected the biggest solar flare in more than 3 years yesterday (Nov 29th). The blast site is located just behind the sun’s southeastern limb. As a result, the explosion was partially eclipsed by the body of the sun. It might have been an X-class event. X-class events are of a great concern, as these caused events like the famous Carrington event in the 1800’s that resulted in telegraph stations catching on fire and auroral activity far south towards the equator. In 1985 a slightly smaller X-class event crashed the power grid in Quebec. Needless to say, this is 2020 and an X-class CME direct hit is not what we need to be dealing with now.
Fascinating. I remember ‘85 well. I did not know of any of this stuff of which you speak. Thanks, Godzilla. BUMP!
Aargh, typo. the 1984 quebec event was actually March 6, 1989. my bad
No worries. I remember the event well, I was unsure myself on the date. Certain things in my family and sister’s family were taking place at that time. I don’t know how much of it we put pencil to paper on. I can go back and look at archives from my wife. She notes a lot of stuff.
Thanks for all of your work over the years, Godzilla.
RUMINT, RUMINT, RUMINT
Active RUMINT - Sources are suggesting that Iran has decided to retaliate against Israel and that the target it Haifa, in N Israel. Attacked is reported to be imminent. I’m trying to track this rumor down, but right now most of the released info is coming from an iranian news source - suspect. Source claimed Iron Dome was deployed to Haifa, Israeli sources on the ground deny that. Hence the suspect quality of the reports.
Lebanese media is reporting “intense” overflights by Israeli military aircraft near Sidon, Jezzine, the Jbeil District, Hasbaiyya, Arkoub, and Beirut—as other sources report “abnormal movements of Iranian militias in the Damascus area” of Syria. Such levels of activity is common before an IAF airstrike into Syria.
Today was the funeral of Fakhrizadeh, a retaliatory strike would not be ruled out now that the funeral is over.
RUMINT follow up
The interweb sources have gone quiet so this may have been some propaganda from Iran to make Israel jumpy. Keep an eye on this area as Iran WILL do something - they have to in order to save face.
ources are suggesting that Iran has decided to retaliate against Israel and that the target it Haifa, in N Israel. >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
We have B-52s on standby. Every nuclear research facility in Iran will be reduced to rubble.
1. Soros - Destabilizer
2. Gates - Depopulator
CHYna is azzhole
“Lawmakers” don’t care.
Buy more ammo.
Rough road ahead.
Religious fanaticism doesn’t care about b52s.
I do maintain a ping list for those who want to follow these posts. Just ask.
Wuhan Virus -
Moderna says that its vaccine is 100% effective in preventing what they call “severe forms” of the illness. I’m assuming those cases that result in hospitalization. It has applied for emergency authorization to distribute in both the US and EU.
Dr. Scott Atlas has resigned as special adviser to President Donald Trump on the coronavirus, submitting a resignation letter dated Dec. 1. His term was temporary to begin with, so this is not unexpected, but he was a thorn in the side of the wuhan ‘experts’ on the panel.
These same ‘experts’ are saying that ANYONE who joined in Thanksgiving celebration should consider themselves INFECTED and need to be tested. This is nothing short of a shaming effort to punish those sheeple who disobeyed their edicts. Expect the same for Christmas.
Kalifornia Gov Newscum is looking at imposing even stricter, “drastic action” that could be coming within days in the form of a new stay-at-home order. Such an order will likely accelerate the collapse of the Kalifornia economy, denying businesses the Christmas related sales necessary to keep the doors open into 2021.
A new study suggests England’s Covid-19 infections have dropped by “roughly” 30% during the second national lockdown. I would like to see if the economic impacts were worth it.
Economy -
Dangerous mixed signals on 2021 still on the horizon.
2020 Election-
Legal dances continue, time running out.
CW2/Civil Disturbances -
The Revolutionary Abolitionist Movement (RAM) is calling for a week of disruptions across the country from 03-10 December to avenge the death of Michael Reinhoel. Reinhoel is the individual who shot a Proud Boys member during an event in Portland the end of August 2020. Police attempted to arrest him at his home in Lacy WA, were he attempted to flee police, pulled out a gun and police open fire. BLM/Antifa have been trying to make him into a martyr for the cause.
Leftist groups are getting organized and funded up ahead of their planned counter-protest to Right-wing groups at the March for Trump in Washington, D.C. on 12 December. They are specifically preparing for counteraction against the Proud Boys who stood up to the leftists after the last Pro-Trump rally and sent them running in clashes. WARNING - any patriot attending the Dec 12 event better be prepared for violence.
Strategic Developments -
So far, only the USS Nimitz’s battle group is in the Arabian sea region, no other surface units appear to be mobilizing towards a potential Iranian crisis response.
N Korea -
Questionable reports that NK has reestablished stringent quarantine measures to stem an outbreak.
Israel -
See Iran below. Israel military, particularly in N Israel, continued at a higher readiness status.
Iran -
Last night there was RUMINT of an impending Iranian attack targeting Haifa. This rumor was pushed by Iranian “news” sources (read propaganda) and created quite a stir on the net for several hours while various claims were run down by observers. Hence the RUMINT listing - serious but unverified. I will post RUMINT when the situation suggests there is a possibility of being valid given the situation in the region. Believe me, there is a lot of wild stuff out there. Just so you understand my reasoning.
The situation is tense and Iran will strike out at Israel or Israeli interests in the region. What they, and their Hezbollah henchmen also realize is that Israel will not sit back and play the punching bag, nor will the US sit idly by.
Iraq -
Badr Organization’s (Iraq) al-Ghadeer TV web page has been seized by the U.S. government as well as Harakat Hizballah al-Nujaba’s (HHN) TV network’s (Nujaba TV) website was seized. The group emerged in 2013 as an Akram Ka’abi-led faction off of AAH. It was one of the major recruiters for Shia militiamen to fight in Syria.
Armenian / Azerbaijan -
Turkey and Russia have agreed to monitor a truce over the disputed Nagorno-Karabakh region from a joint peacekeeping center, Ankara’s defense ministry said on Tuesday.Turkey and Russia have agreed to monitor a truce over the disputed Nagorno-Karabakh region from a joint peacekeeping center, Ankara’s defense ministry said on Tuesday. The truce deal ended more than six weeks of fighting that claimed more than 1,400 lives and saw ethnic Armenians agree to withdraw from large parts of the contested region of Azerbaijan.
Religious fanaticism doesn’t care about b52s.>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
Then let martyrdom reign.
I do maintain a ping list for those who want to follow these posts. Just ask.
Wuhan Virus -
UK became the first country in the world to approve the Pfizer/BioNTech coronavirus vaccine for widespread use.
First shipments of Pfizer vaccine are scheduled to be delivered to the US on December 15, according to an Operation Warp Speed document. Still pending FDA approval.
The Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices, an outside group of medical experts that advises the CDC, voted to direct the first vaccine doses to be administered to health care workers and long-term care facility residents. Some estimates that it could take as much as three months just to get all the health care workers the shot.
Economy -
Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell rejected a proposed bipartisan virus relief package, pushing instead for what he calls a “targeted relief bill,” CNBC’s Jacob Pramuk reports. The $908 billion plan was put together by members of the GOP-controlled Senate and Democratic-held House. The relief bill seems to be tied to a continuing resolution to fund the government due by December 11th to avoid a government shutdown.
Fewer than half of households with kids in the U.S. are “very confident” they can afford food over the next four weeks while 5.6 million households with children reported struggling to afford food in the last seven days, according to new Census survey data.
Fed Chairman Powell is on record saying that more than half of jobs lost in March, April have been recovered. IMHO those gains are now threatened by the tyrannical new rounds of lockdowns.
2020 Election-
AG Barr stepped in it by saying there is no evidence of election fraud. From all counts, DOJ has done virtually no investigation into the evidence out there to make such an unfounded claim. His credibility has slipped to that of the other swamp dwellers in DC.
CW2/Civil Disturbances -
Violent crime has skyrocketed following the BLM/Antifa rioting and the liberal mayors/governors condoning those riots and even drastically cutting police budgets. Police department in major, liberal cities across the country are hemorrhaging blue at an incredible rate. Synergizing with emptying out jails and no effective prosecution of criminals (essentially catch and release) lives are becoming increasingly dangerous as criminals move outward from the inner cities into nearby more affluent suburbs.
BLM/Antifa and affiliated groups are expanding plans to memorialize martyred Antifa killer Michael Reinoehl. One of these groups “The Base” in Brooklyn is calling for riots. The campaign by these marxists is to run from 3 - 10 December.
Hong Kong -
Hong Kong democracy activists Joshua Wong, Agnes Chow and Ivan Lam have been sentenced to jail for their involvement in mass protests last year. The trio had been found guilty of unlawful assembly. The pro-democracy movement has been stifled since Beijing introduced a controversial security law with harsh punishments.
Israel - Looks like Gantz has pulled out of the alliance with Likud and announced that his party will vote tomorrow in favor of dissolving the Knesset and having early elections. The Knesset later voted 61-54 to dissolve itself. More election hell on the way for Israel.
NOTE - This will create a very dangerous period for Israel’s security, facing a very hostile Iran and uncertain support from the US should biden take the presidency.
Iran -
Iranian Government Spokesperson Ali Rabi’ei has reported that the Ministry of Intelligence for Iran have identified the people who imported the equipment and tools for Mohsen Fakhri Zade’s assassination. One step towards setting up an international justification for any action against Israel.
Low on the radar screen is this report. Al-Arabiya News cited Iraqi intelligence sources as saying that a senior member of Iran’s Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) was killed in a drone strike along the Syria-Iraq border on Sunday while driving in his car with three bodyguards. Iran has denied this loss.
Afghanistan -
Afghan government and Taliban representatives said on Wednesday they had reached a preliminary deal to press on with peace talks, their first written agreement in 19 years of war. The question is will the Taliban keep its loose cannons reigned in and cease the violence?
Syria -
Pro-Assad forces have slowly nibbled away rebel territory in southern Idlib. This is due in some part to Turkey backing off its aggressive support of the rebels over the past few months.
Turkey -
Greece is in negotiations to acquire F35s to counter the increasing Turkish threat. The request for 18 - 24 of the stealth fighters seems to be on a fast track.
Al-Qaeda (/ æ l ˈ k aɪ d ə, ˌ æ l k ɑː ˈ iː d ə /; Arabic: القاعدة al-Qāʿidah, IPA: [ælqɑːʕɪdɐ], translation: "The Base", "The Foundation",
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.