Posted on 06/08/2019 7:13:17 AM PDT by EyesOfTX
Today’s Campaign Update, Part II (Because The Campaign Never Ends)
Hey, remember when Joe Biden’s rationale for running was that he would be the moderate who would appeal to independent voters? – Yeah, that’s all gone now. I’ve told you all along that Joe Biden will not – cannot – be the 2020 nominee for the Democrat Party, and this was the week in which he sealed his own fate.
Honestly, it was inevitable. This man is a dinosaur trying to compete in a modern age with which he is totally unfamiliar. He’s like Phil Hartman’s genius “Un-Frozen Caveman Lawyer” SNL character, an ancient throwback to a time long past who is always confused and frightened by our modern ways and customs. More specifically, Biden is confused and frightened by the ways and customs of his Party’s modern-day voter base, pretty much all of which lies to the left of Fidel Castro and, where abortion is concerned, Margaret Sanger.
Not surprisingly at all, Biden got all caught up in abortion politics this week, and the outcome destroyed the entire rationale for his candidacy to begin with. Margaret Sanger, the founder of Planned Parenthood, wanted all abortions to be legal as a means of controlling America’s black population. Today’s Democrat Party voter base fully endorses Sanger’s beliefs – abortions kill a far higher percentage of African American babies than those of any other segment of U.S. society – but takes it a step farther, to allowing babies born alive after attempted abortions to be left on a table to die.
This is what Democrat politicians refer to as a woman’s right to “healthcare.” You betcha.
Biden, a life-long practicing Catholic, has always supported the Hyde Amendment, a policy which prevents Americans of actual religious faith from having to pay for abortions through their tax dollars. That is, until this week, when the subject was raised. When Biden reasserted his Hyde support, the SJWs in the social media universe went berserk, and almost frightened the eldery man out of what little hair he has remaining.
Less than 24 hours later, Biden gave up, fully endorsing his party’s baby-killing at all costs ways.
Poof! No more reason for Creepy Uncle Joe to be in the race. If Biden’s going to be just another Commie, baby-killing hack, why, the rest of the field is filled to the gills with younger, more attractive, more female and more minority versions of that.
So, again, as I’ve said all along, Biden will not be the nominee. His polling lead will have evaporated by October – really, by September at this rate – and he will leave the race shortly after he fails to win Iowa, New Hampshire or South Carolina. Which means March. He is this cycle’s Jeb!, but he just hasn’t realized it yet.
Elsewhere in the race, things remained pretty static. Bernie the Commie remains ensconced in second place in every poll, though his numbers keep slowly declining as the numbers for Fauxcahontas keep creeping up. Every Democrat nominating race is always won by the best liar, and little Lieawatha was just born to lie. So she is now firmly in third place with a slow-moving bullet.
Kamala Harris is going nowhere fast, and seems to have no idea of how to change that dynamic. She is just a very poor candidate, which is not surprising given the unseemly manner in which she advanced herself to the Senate in the first place. Mayor Pete has also stagnated after having received tens of millions in free media from our fake news outlets, and may have reached the peak of his popularity already. Irish Bob O’Rourke, fresh off of his utterly-failed effort to reboot his campaign, is simply dead in the water.
In fact, the entire field has stagnated at this point, as the fake news media flails about trying to decide which of them will be promoted next, and I suspect that will remain the state of play until the debates begin in a few weeks.
Here is a prediction I will make when that season comes around: The only actually interesting candidate in the race, Tulsi Gabbard, will really stand out on the debate stage. She will then likely become the media’s next “rising star” obsession.
What do I mean by “interesting candidate”? I mean that Gabbard, like Donald Trump in 2016, will stand out on a debate stage because she will be the only person on the stage saying what she truly believes, rather than just reciting a bunch of talking points scripted for her by other people. That was the real reason why Trump ended up becoming the GOP nominee, because most ordinary Americans are sick to death of watching politicians recite talking points. Like Trump, Gabbard tends to directly answer the questions posed to her, and does it in plain language most people can understand.
So, expect her to really stand out among the clutter of political hackery that will surround her on that debate stage. As a woman and minority, Gabbard also has some of the identity politics attributes valued by shallow Democrat voters. She is not, however, a particularly good liar, so while she will likely get a boost out of the debates, she cannot become the eventual nominee.
I had previously thought that Andrew Yang might do similarly well in the debates, but he has completely succumbed to the bad advice from professional communications “experts.” So he sounds no different than Kirsten Gillibrand or Kamala Harris these days. Not a recipe for winning if you are, like Yang, an insurgent candidate looking to stand out in a crowd.
The only other candidate I’d expect to perhaps get a boost out of the early debates would be Texas’s Julian Castro, the only actual Hispanic candidate in the race. Castro is a very smart guy and a very polished speaker. But again, not an especially convincing liar, which will really harm him with Democrat voters.
So right now we are just kind of stuck in a holding pattern until the debates get started. That’s when things will really start to get interesting.
Here are my initial odds on the race, which I plan to update weekly:
Anyone Else – Even
Hillary Clinton – 5 to 1
Joe Biden – 100 to 1
Bernie the Commie – 20 to 1
Elizabeth Warren – 6 to 1
Kamala Harris – 12 to 1
Mayor Pete – 50 to 1
Irish Bob – 1,000 to 1
Spartacus – 20 to 1
Tulsi Gabbard – 50 to 1
Julian Castro – 50 to 1
Kirsten Gillibrand – 6 million to 1
Amy Klobuchar – 1,000 to 1
Bill DeBlasio – Infinity to 1
The rest of the declared field – 100 to 1
That is all.
Follow me on Twitter at @GDBlackmon
Creepy and Crazy Joe.
The already existing memes speak for themselves.
And all of this will lead to Hillary announcing she is running again, whether in Prison or Not.
Enter Stage Right: Michelle obama.
Exactly correct.
Last Democrat presidential candidate who told the truth was Walter Mondull, who promised to raise everyone's taxes if he became President. He lost 49 states to 1.
One of the aspects of being the "best liar" is to look and sound "cool" while lying. Obama and Slick Willy had this characteristic, John Kerry and Hellary didn't.
I don't think Princess Gray Beaver has it either. She's about as cool as the guy who administered my NY State driver's license road test.
I don't know how "cool" PDJT is, but he's capable of being damn funny, which is a sort of "cool."
When you come right down to it, "cool" is just the American form of "strength." Fonzie was "cool," Steve McQueen was "cool," Humphrey Bogart was "cool."
In American culture since the end of WWII, the strength of John Wayne or Dwight Eisenhower was seen as slightly inappropriate, perhaps in some way because of the atomic bomb.
"Cool" is strength with something else: a reassuring sense of humor, particularly in the form of self-referencing irony, but other modalities of humor will also do.
PDJT has that NYC kind of lower-East-Side kind of spontaneous humor that Ed Koch had. For that matter, Telly Savalas's "Kojak" had it too.
PDJT can pull that kind of thing out of his pocket any time he wants, and he's good at it.
Anyone Else – Even
...
I wonder if Anyone Else could be Big Mike?
Biden’s failure was very predictable for those of us who watched him over the years in prior primaries. He has never been a good candidate and the only reason he “looked good” was the media made glow of his association with Obama. Period.
Outside of that, his “lunchbox Joe” routine has not played well for decades. He has been in office so long he has been on the opposite side of almost every issue. He has a thousand videos of previous positions he must explain or denounce. The creepy groping behavior does not help either.
Last, but certainly not least, Joe has a very serious stench of corruption surrounding his own actions to advance and benefit his son’s highly unlikely financial endeavors in the Ukraine and China. It is undeniable that Joe was in charge of negotiations there on behalf of the last administration. It is undeniable that his son reaped a huge amount of money that is impossible to explain - i.e. - no hedge fund track record or expertise in the oil industry. How much of those windfalls trickled to Joe?
They sent Alyssa Milano in to get rid of the old white dude.
You are both right, either Michelle or Hillary.
Biden, a life-long practicing Catholic
His practice hasn’t paid off. Supporters of abortion aren’t in communion with the Church
Biden is good now....IMOW....”sure you can use fetal cells...it’s just a damn kid that didn’t make it.’
LOL ... nice dripping sarcasm :)
I would not put HRC at 5-1 making her the most likely. I think the DNC is done with her. I think the Mooch is waiting in the weeds and if it looks like no one has near certain shot of taking out Trump she may jump in “to save the day”. She might even win the general and even if she doesn’t she would do enormous damage on the down ballot. Then we have the likely-hood of those idiots Flake and Kasich going as 3rd party spoilers. 20 will be another stress filled year my friends.
Most if not all of these Rats are stealing the doaners money...they know they can not win....
Gabbard is the only non-psychotic candidate besides Biden, and the Democrat establishment will never let her or Sanders win the nomination. It’s going to be a new name, I think. Wouldn’t bet against Michelle O.
Castro is a very smart guy and a very polished speaker. But again, not an especially convincing liar, which will really harm him with Democrat voters.
LOL ... nice dripping sarcasm :)
To be honest, I wasn’t being sarcastic. This is the unvarnished truth.
The RAT “debates” are going to be so much fun to watch! The Republicans, in 2016, had a modicum of civility. The RAT Dictionary doesn’t even list that word. I can just see a fleet of Priuses all painted up as clown cars, roaring, en mass, onto the stage where each will disgorge it’s”candidate” clad in a Bozo the Clown Costume, with some flash-bang grenades going off at the same time. Popcorn stocks will shoot through the roof! What follows will be a mid-year reprise of the Festivus element, “the airing of grievances!”
The author is trying to say Biden is Hillary. He just wont admit it. Embrace the suck. Joe will be goosing you and you cannot say anything about it. Let’s just hope he keeps his hands off the space aliens.
If the Mooch were to swoop in and win, it would utterly devastate Hillary, which would be the only good thing to come out of that horrific scenario.
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