Sounds more like a screech owl to me.
Turn out in off year elections is not easy to predict. Dems will try to stoke fires to motivate their voters and discourage GOP voters.
Because BHO was hurt by 2010 and 2014 , Dems expect Trump hurt now. But no talk of Red Wave in those years.
One thing I think Michael Medved got right before the end of the primaries:
Hillary was the only candidate that could not beat Trump.
Trump was the only candidate that could not beat Hillary.
Trumps win had more to do with Hillary than Trump. But make no mistake, if he had taken the typical politican’s stand when things like the “grab em’...” remark became public, Hillary just might have won.
And at the end of the day, I think it had more to do with God, than anyone. A strong argument can be made that this election was decided by divine intervention. Too many high profile democrats (and indiependents and even republicans) just assumed Hillary would win. It is as if the fix was in, except God decided it wasn’t.
This may explain the refusal to accept the results - to this day.
No wonder Cuomo and Holder want Black felons to vote.
Blacks are backstabbed and ignored by the Dems almost as routinely as Conservatives are by the GOP
I would say that there is a golden opportunity here for the Republicans here. While the left is trying to maintain power by conditioning their constituency to interpret *everything* through a lens of racism, the Republicans could be hammering the left on its destructive policies and pointing out how Republican ideals benefit everyone.
But, sadly, the Republicans are too cowed to take such an opportunity.
Democrats are already talking about Slave Reparations and claiming Republicans don’t want African Americans to vote.They know there is a Black Swan flying over their house but they don’t know how to keep it from landing or even whether they should acknowledge its presence.
—
Who do the descendant of Anthony Johnson (b. c. 1600 – d. 1670), America’s first black slave owner pay (one of over 3700 black slave owners)?
Who do the Tribes pay?
Who do the black Africans that sold their slaves which were brought to America pay?
Whites ended the Muslim-originated chattel slavery, so why do they own anything?
Why are many blacks so eager to become muslims - do they want to own slaves or become slaves as they are in the Democrat inner-city vote plantations?
Tail Risk Measurement Heuristics
Nassim Nicholas Taleb 2016
https://youtu.be/SEAcmRZUM5M
54:45
“The first part of this talk – The Law of Large Numbers in the Real World – presents fat tails, defines them, and shows how the conventional statistics fail to operate in the real world, particularly with econometric variables, for two main reasons: 1) we need a lot, a lot more data for fat tails; and 2) we are going about estimators the wrong way. The second part – Detecting Fragility – presents heuristics to detect fragility in portfolios. Fragility is shown to be ‘anything that is harmed by volatility’. The good news is that while (tail) risk is not measurable, fragility is.”
[the opposite of a “fragile,” System isn’t ‘robust,’ it’s “anti-fragile,’ that which gains from disorder/volatility.)
Nassim Taleb -
“The Black Swan” (2012)
https://youtu.be/33kET2YPWls
1:05:09
‘the extreme impact of rare and unpredictable events’
The young black man who requested 'reparations' in Starbucks the other day was mocking white liberal 'elites' like Howard Schultz. Bryan Sharpe, AKA “Hotep Jesus, is 'one of us - a deplorable'... conservative.
Dems own the media outlets and the education system K-PhD.
Never estimate them to be dead or defeated.