Posted on 10/26/2016 2:21:04 PM PDT by DrDude
I follow everything to the best of my ability. I doubt Trump can win the Electorial Vote without taking Pa. He must flip a state or two. What will these states be.
The rest of the state is basically right. All it would take is Lane county plus the rest of the state. Who gives a shit about Linn.
California
Isn’t that illegal?
I agree. I changed on the create your own map. Made both Colorado and Nevada RED. Not so sure about Va. Hoping and praying.New Mexico???Don’t have alotof information about NM.
I think that PA is the key. If Trump wins there he is likely to win OH, NC, GA, FL, and the usual Midwestern states. If Trump doesn't win PA he could still theoretically, but unlikely, win with VA or WI, assuming no other unexpected losses.
Yes, Portland ruins the rest of the State.
What states can Trump flip?
I’m going bold, I say he maintains/flips to RED:
AZ, AK, NV, UT, MT, WY, CO, TX, OK, KS, NE, SD, ND, IA, MO, AR, MS, AL, FL, GA, SC, NC, TN, KY, IN, OH, PA, NH.
He may even get: OR, WI, MN, NJ, NY, another New England state or two.
I’m praying people go to vote and God takes them over in the moment and they don’t even know why they are doing so but they choose to vote Trump! They may feel guilty or weird about it but by 2018 they are glad they did :) KNOWING full well by then that Hillary would have doomed the USA and what it has stood for as a nation, opportunity, good work ethic, responsibility for yourself and family, less Govt control of people and business etc.
Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Mexico, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Virginia, West Virginia, Wisconsin and Wyoming.
Which one of those 31 do the Freepers think might flip to Hillary? Trump does not have to win Pennsylvania, but he CAN! George H. B. Bush was the last Republican to do so.
Early voting suggests Minnesota of all places MIIIIIGHT turn red.
This really shocked me.
Latest poll had him within the margin of error in New Hampshire, he’ll definitely pick up at least one, potentially three EV’s in Maine. I saw that he was up in Nevada. I think if you put some of those together with of course Iowa, Florida, Ohio, North Carolina, you end up with enough to put him over the top without Pennsylvania. Pennsylvania would certainly be a big help though.
MI is a possibility.
Illegal has never stopped union leaders.
Michigan will be the surprise.
Bernie won this state, and there are STILL Bernie 2016 signs in people’s yards.
Trump appeals to the blue-collar SE Michigan vote very well. West Michigan is de-facto red, as well as the northern lower (outside of Traverse City) peninsula and the UP.
And I think Detroit vote totals will be down and split 70/30 for Trump, which will be enough.
True. Very true.
Man....if that happens.
I’m going to have to call in to work the next day, because I’m going to have partied until 4 am!
Let’s review:
Using simplest path, Trump needs to flip 63 electoral votes over Romney in 2012. The closest states where Obama edged Romney were:
(lost by % of vote) (EVs) EV total
Florida (<1%) (29) 29
Ohio (1.9) (18) 47
Virginia (3) (13) 60
Colorado (4.7) (9) 69
next five closest
Pennsylvania (5.2) (20) 20
Iowa (5.6) (6) 26
New Hampshire (5.8) (4) 30
Nevada (6.6) (6) 36
Wisconsin (6.7) (10) 46
[North Carolina -2.2] Romney (15) The only ‘close’ state that went GOP in 2012.
Michigan
“Apparently some workers in MI and PA must show proof to union stewards that they voted the Democrat ticket. Is this correct?”
That would be highly illegal. Plus how are you going to prove anything
I heard Al Franken is going to have to come up with more than a trunk full of ballots to help Hillary carry St Louis County (Duluth) Minnesota. I wouldn’t be surprised if Minnesota flipped. Wouldn’t that be something.
Trump isn’t spending much if any time in MI these days. I wouldn’t hold your breath on that one. Let’s hope FL/NC/OH firm up in his column and he can expand the map in the last two weeks.
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