Posted on 09/30/2015 1:54:45 PM PDT by Steelfish
No, Donald Trump, This New Poll Is Not Great News For You. Not Hardly
By Philip Bump September 30 Great news, Donald Trump tweeted Wednesday: The "highly respected" USA Today/Suffolk University poll shows him still leading the Republican field. (Things that are favorable to him enjoy high levels of respect from The Donald.) He added: Enjoy! This is the picture Trump wants to highlight. Since July, he's improved dramatically in Suffolk/USA Today's poll.
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...
Because his critics refuse to see him as a serious candidate, and think he is just a joke that will go away so that the “real” candidates can get back to the dog and pony show they are used to.
He touts them in order to embarrass those know-it-alls and to force them to take him seriously and face up to their own mediocrity.
Those negatives are based on type of questions asked. The pollsters can derive any result they want by skewing the questions.
Examples:
1. Do you think Trump was rude in calling Rubio a clown?
2. Do you think Trump is a good businessman if he filed 4 bankruptcies (never mind those were individual business bankruptcies and not personal bankruptcies, and Trump had several other businesses which did NOT file bankruptcies)
3. Do you approve that Trump has never asked for forgiveness to God?
4. Do you approve that Trump is twice divorced (never mind Reagan was also divorced).
You get my point?
“My understanding of these “negatives” is that the question is asked of all persons of age to vote, not just registered Repubs.”
That is a good point. Do they have the numbers for likely voters? Probably and are sitting on them.
Wow, if it’s not good news for The Donald, just imagine how un-good news it must be for jebtard!
Therefore, Jeb!, who sits around 6%, is leading.
Poll | Date | Trump | Carson | Fiorina | Rubio | Bush | Cruz | Kasich | Huckabee | Christie | Paul | Jindal | Santorum | Walker | Pataki | Graham | Spread |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RCP Average | 9/17 - 9/28 | 23.3 | 16.3 | 11.8 | 9.5 | 9.0 | 6.2 | 3.3 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | Trump +7.0 |
USAT/Suffolk | 9/24 - 9/28 | 23 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -- | 0 | 1 | Trump +10 |
NBC/WSJ | 9/20 - 9/24 | 21 | 20 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | -- | 0 | 0 | Trump +1 |
FOX News | 9/20 - 9/22 | 26 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -- | 1 | 0 | Trump +8 |
Bloomberg | 9/18 - 9/21 | 21 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | Trump +5 |
Quinnipiac | 9/17 - 9/21 | 25 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -- | 1 | 0 | Trump +8 |
CNN/ORC | 9/17 - 9/19 | 24 | 14 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Trump +9 |
who gets the most exposure...of ANY of the candidates Democrat OR allegedly “republican?
That’s RIGHT! Correctumundo...!!! Donnie Name Recognition Trump©
the brilliant folks that Mark Dice get’s all his video material from vote in these polls and about all they KNOW....... are the would be candidates NAME...
as The Donnies BRAND is saturating the airwaves PRINT...and the net....they can easily remember the name
donull...donulll..
yep thats the long and the short of these “POLLS”
UGH I for Donnie
This is terrible news Donald. You are still ahead by a mile. :-)
^^^This
If Bush or Rubio Or FioRino were polling Trumps numbers, WAPO would be orgasmic. And every one of the other candidates would kill to be sitting with Trumps poll numbers at this stage.
Yes this poll is good news. Very good news and there’s much more good news to come. Trump’s tax plan is outstanding.
So Trump has about a +6% increase from July to September in a very crowded field. How is that bad news for him?
_______________________________________
And according to some news outlets in Wisconsin, Trump is beginning to pull in Scott Walker’s voters. So if this trend continues just imagine his numbers after Christie, Jindal, Paul, Kasich, et all begin to drop out............ Yeah, ol Donald Trump is in big trouble.............. LOL.
FR is not an echo-chamber for Trump supporters.
Go Cruz, Go!
This is the new tact by the media. Trump is leading all the polls, so they are trying to say that he’s not anybody’s second choice and therefore he will lose. The argument is ridiculous on it’s face.
First, anyone who drops out now will have no statistical impact on anyone’s support. Second, people have no firm allegiance to any candidate at this point (Trump supporters excepted) so to lock them into a second choice is like trying to get your 5 yo to decide between cake or ice cream. Third, Fiorina has plateaued and will crater after the econ debate. Carson is a nice guy, but has no realistic chance of winning.
So basically we have 6 candidates who are not leaving anytime soon 1) Trump 2) Carson 3) Fiorino 4) Amnestio 5) Yeb and 6) Cruz. If Trump stays in the 25-30 range (depending on poll) and improves his numbers a few points, he’s in great shape going into the first primaries. Once a candidate begins winning, a herd effect takes shape because ppl want to back a winner. So if Yeb or Fiorino drop out, what their supporters say they will do today is no indication of what they do in March.
As a NJ guy I absolutely love Trump’s brashness and confrontational style. However, the last week Trump has toned down the attacks and insults and coupled with the release of his Tax plan, has arrested his slide and is on the upswing. If Trump stays just enough Trump and continues to maintain a strong policy perspective he will attract more supporters. I would love to see him put out a serious policy proposal for reforming the VA and then follow that with some broad based deficit reduction ideas. The people will love it and it will keep the pinheads in the media and GOPe grasping at straws...
“If polls dont matter why does Trump jump up and down about his all the time?”
If polls dont matter why does the Washington Post jump up and down about this all the time?
As a NJ girl I absolutely love Trumps boldness! Go Trump!
I wouldn’t say that they don’t mean anything but they certainly don’t guarantee anything.
Way to go!!!
Trump 2016!!! All the way to the White House!!!
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