Posted on 10/22/2012 7:27:45 AM PDT by jmaroneps37
Friday’s Fox News poll of Ohio shows Obama leading 46/43 which is a 4 point improvement for Mitt Romney over Fox’s last poll of a month ago.
The good news for Obama stops after the headline. This leaves 11 points of “undecided” voters. History tells us 80% or 8.8 points will eventually go to the challenger giving Romney 51.8%
Fox reports Obama getting 89% of Democrats but Romney getting 85% of Republicans.
This is a very curious finding given the 92% of Republican support for Romney found in the battleground Poll which also finds Obama with 88% of Democrat support nationally.
Moreover just next door in Wisconsin Republicans are backing Romney at 92%.
It should be noted that Rasmussen reported the national Party breakdown as 36.8% Republican, 34.2% Democrat and 29% Independent.
It is important to note a report prepared by Pew and released earlier this year flatly accuses Democrats of lying about their Party affiliation. While Pew says most lying Democrats say they are Independents, the 24 point lead (52/28) Romney has among Ohio’s Independents suggests that any Democrat organized lying campaign might have been adjusted to under sample Republicans.
In 2008 Independents were 30% of the electorate in Ohio and they supported Obama 52/44. This is the same 16 point lead Romney lead with Independents… [been]… in every poll for the past 6 weeks.
The Party breakdown …skewed from reality toward liberal daydreams.
Fox used a 42/34/20 Democrat/Republican/Independent spread. In 2008 it was 39/31/30. Even accepting the 3 point increase in Republicans; the 3 point increase in Democrats and the 5 point decrease of Independents skews the results toward Obama.
“…absentee ballots in Ohio have shown a stronger enthusiasm among Republicans than Democrats. The unanimously accepted 8 to 16 point enthusiasm edge Republicans…
(Excerpt) Read more at coachisright.com ...
Maybe so, but they have more wins than the other “pro” football teams in Ohio... COMBINED!
Since Bengals are half of the pair of which we speak, it is not surprising.
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