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New "Tipping Point" numbers (Web bot update)
halfpasthuman.com ^ | Nov. 3, 2010 | Clif High

Posted on 11/03/2010 1:32:28 PM PDT by The Comedian

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To: The Comedian; metmom; MeekOneGOP; Conspiracy Guy; DocRock; King Prout; Darksheare; OSHA; ...

[Thanks to metmom for the heads-up!]



101 posted on 11/03/2010 6:44:21 PM PDT by Slings and Arrows (You can't have IngSoc without an Emmanuel Goldstein.)
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To: The Comedian; Slings and Arrows

I’ve learned one thing for sure.

Don’t cross the streams, Ray.


102 posted on 11/03/2010 6:56:27 PM PDT by paulycy (Demand Constitutionality. Save America From Bankruptcy.)
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To: paulycy

Important safety tip! Thanks, Egon.


103 posted on 11/03/2010 6:58:54 PM PDT by Slings and Arrows (You can't have IngSoc without an Emmanuel Goldstein.)
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To: humblegunner

Are you sure you need a reason?


104 posted on 11/03/2010 7:10:12 PM PDT by JRios1968 (What is the difference between 0bama and his dog, Bo? Bo has papers.)
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To: paulycy


Frowning takes 68 muscles.
Smiling takes 6.
Pulling this trigger takes 2.
I'm lazy.

105 posted on 11/03/2010 7:17:22 PM PDT by The Comedian (I really missed you. Next time, I'll adjust for windage.)
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To: The Comedian
My stuff says somewhere between Nov. 5 and Nov. 15, with Nov. 15 being a significant Timewave Zero novelty spike. Additionally, the 87 day solar cycle lines up perfectly with Jan. 18 and another huge TWZ spike.

Never mind the technical details.

When should I start running naked through the streets with my chainsaw?

106 posted on 11/03/2010 7:20:35 PM PDT by PapaBear3625 ("It is only when we've lost everything, that we are free to do anything" -- Fight Club)
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To: PapaBear3625
When should I start running naked through the streets with my chainsaw?

You haven't started?

Sheesh, I don't know how I'd make it through the day if I didn't start my mornings with a cup of black coffee and a nude Homelite sprint.


Frowning takes 68 muscles.
Smiling takes 6.
Pulling this trigger takes 2.
I'm lazy.

107 posted on 11/03/2010 7:28:02 PM PDT by The Comedian (I really missed you. Next time, I'll adjust for windage.)
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To: PapaBear3625

I started last week.


108 posted on 11/03/2010 7:30:24 PM PDT by paulycy (Demand Constitutionality. Save America From Bankruptcy.)
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To: The Comedian
 


109 posted on 11/03/2010 7:49:19 PM PDT by Responsibility2nd (Yes, as a matter of fact, what you do in your bedroom IS my business.)
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To: Quix

Thanks for the ping!


110 posted on 11/03/2010 8:04:09 PM PDT by Alamo-Girl
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To: The Comedian

Thanks for your kind words.

YOU KNOW better than anyone I’ve just been guessing 99%

You are a treasure.


111 posted on 11/03/2010 8:14:51 PM PDT by Quix (Times are a changin' INSURE you have believed in your heart & confessed Jesus as Lord Come NtheFlesh)
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To: The Comedian

PLEASE

do NOT sprint into your Dissertation defense that way.

Unless maybe your whole committee is made up of escapees from a hot tub at Esalen.

Even then . . .


112 posted on 11/03/2010 8:18:17 PM PDT by Quix (Times are a changin' INSURE you have believed in your heart & confessed Jesus as Lord Come NtheFlesh)
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To: The Comedian

Thank you. Not long to wait.


113 posted on 11/03/2010 8:19:46 PM PDT by Duchess47 ("One day I will leave this world and dream myself to Reality" Crazy Horse)
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To: Quix
PLEASE

do NOT sprint into your Dissertation defense that way.

I don't know. As a friend pointed out, the committee will do whatever it takes to doctorize me just to get me the heck outta there as fast as possible. The nude chainsaw sprint might make it even quicker...


Frowning takes 68 muscles.
Smiling takes 6.
Pulling this trigger takes 2.
I'm lazy.

114 posted on 11/03/2010 8:33:03 PM PDT by The Comedian (I really missed you. Next time, I'll adjust for windage.)
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To: The Comedian

Hmmmmmmmmmmmmmm . . .

Maybe it’s time I talked to the Mrs.

Naw . . . she probably puts you up to such stunts! LOL.


115 posted on 11/03/2010 9:03:52 PM PDT by Quix (Times are a changin' INSURE you have believed in your heart & confessed Jesus as Lord Come NtheFlesh)
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To: The Comedian
Wordle: tipping point© 2009 Jonathan Feinberg Terms of Use subscribe

Does this help make sense of it?

116 posted on 11/03/2010 9:51:31 PM PDT by ApplegateRanch (Not bought, and nobody's bot.)
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To: The Comedian

Here’s an ATS video and thread about a

“NUCLEAR FALSE FLAG ALERT”

the first half of November—maybe a few days away if I understood a quick scan accurately.

http://www.abovetopsecret.com/forum/thread626419/pg1


117 posted on 11/03/2010 9:58:57 PM PDT by Quix (Times are a changin' INSURE you have believed in your heart & confessed Jesus as Lord Come NtheFlesh)
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To: Quix; The Comedian
The "newsletter" thing wasn't serious, just a stupid old Internet saying. :)

I'll be sure to keep an eye on The Comedian's posts.

BTW Comedian, Cliff never wants his analysis posted on any open forum, because he claims that it will foul his webbot runs (some sort of positive feedback, he sez). It seems to me to be a convenient way to keep people paying (which is his right, even though he seems like a flaming commie in some regards). Have you found this to be the case in your work? Thanks

118 posted on 11/03/2010 10:58:49 PM PDT by thecabal (Destroy Progressivism)
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To: The Comedian

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=REy5hOep96E&feature=related

This has nothing to do with webbots - but is just about as understandable. A classic. Rockwell’s Encabulator. Sounds like it might be up your alley.


119 posted on 11/03/2010 11:15:04 PM PDT by 21twelve ( You can go from boom to bust, from dreams to a bowl of dust ... another lost generation.)
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To: thecabal; The Comedian; Amityschild; Brad's Gramma; Captain Beyond; Cvengr; DvdMom; firebrand; ...

TC doesn’t post anything very elaborate; at least hasn’t so far.

A fairly terse summary is more his style.

He doesn’t post the source terms nor the cluster labels, per se; as far as I can see.

And, as noted, FR is his only publishing outlet, besides his . . . uhhhh . . . GROWING Dissertation. HINT! LOL.

IIRC, as in most statistics . . . when data sets get very large . . . and great terrabytes of data is a LARGE data set . . . isn’t there an enormous . . . don’t know the term . . . far from even a decent mathematician . . . an enormous pressure toward the mean?

I don’t recall if TC uses 300,000 emotionally laden search terms or what number . . . but that’s a ton of words.

And there’s likely a great tendency toward the mean usage of every word searched for.

Soooooooo, for any word, much less a great percentage of any cluster of word meanings to raise it’s head significantly above the mean in a dramatic way—there MUST be SOMETHING interesting going on.

I’m very skeptical that Google searches or any other fairly shallow and temporary flash sort of fad could be sufficient to cause the significant peaks TC is looking for—at least in THAT MANY KEY CLUSTERS.

I could certainly be wrong about that as I’m really about as ignorant as a doornob about it all. But that’s my sense.

I think the notion of Jung’s collective unconscious is nonsense from hell.

I do think there gets to be social and cultural and even trend gestalts that build, normally, fairly slowly in social groupings, neighborhoods, cities, counties, States, Nations.

Certainly national media and now the net have influences on such building gestalts, trends, clusters of belief, interest, concern.

Yet those influences all have an enormously weighty flywheel restraining and pulling constantly toward the historical means of belief, interest and concern.

PEOPLE ARE MOSTLY RESISTENT TO CHANGE. Some enjoy change that’s pleasant or exciting. Most resist change.

The RESISTENT-TO-CHANGE flywheel is probably the biggest one.

Another flywheel against a lot of this stuff is a fairly intense resistence to bad news, in any way that applies to every “me” in the country. That is—bad things will always happen to other people, over there. Virtually NO ONE wants to think it will happen to them. They prefer to sleep at night.

Yes, we have a LOT of Dispy Christians and others who have been studying Bible prophecy for decades as well as some others who have been studying the globalist conspiracy for decades. And, no doubt those groups and forces are having an impact in such words, themes, clusters on the net.

However, even there, as we have seen on FR—the biggest, most conservative site on the net—there’s INTENSE FLYWHEEL type pressures to resist even brazenly proven facts about such matters—from the top of the mods down.

All of which leads me to the conclusion that when TC’s software finds terms and more importantly, clusters of terms which are signalling something unique 2-4 standard deviations from the mean, I think it REALLY IS SIGNIFICANT.

Significant in WHAT WAYS and WHY are a whole set of other issues.

I come at this as a somewhat skilled and aware PhD of George Kelly’s Role Construct Theory and the clusters used in analyzing his construct grid—usually used with relationships but powerful with whatever.

That grid and cluster analysis is extremely sensitive to significant change yet extremely durable in terms of the basic structure—normally—over time.

I’m a little skeptical that TC’s software would be quite as quickly sensitive to significant change as the grid is, but that is PROBABLY WRONG to assume. I would guess that significant change in TC’s software analysis of terms on the web would take a massive growing shift—and that it would, in fact, be that time length of that trend change as well as the degree of trend change which would give him key data.

Anyway—enough guessing for now. I need to get some administrivia done for my classes this afternoon.


120 posted on 11/04/2010 5:29:41 AM PDT by Quix (Times are a changin' INSURE you have believed in your heart & confessed Jesus as Lord Come NtheFlesh)
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