Posted on 09/17/2010 7:36:05 AM PDT by Reaganite Republican
The GOP's emerging 2012 frontrunners... take our poll
Included in my list below are the Intrade odds for each: the ultimate devil's advocate, as these are people who make a living guessing this stuff- and in a business not kind to fools. The Intrade number represents what a share costs for a chance at a $100 payout... so it's roughly the assigned % chance for the candidate winning the Republican nomination in 2012 according to their oddsmakers.
Sarah Palin
+ Natural political talent, huge charisma, tough, principled conservative, a real fighter, building a lot of support with her winning touch in the primaries
- Too good-looking by half, slightly silly accent, establishment GOP/MSM/entire Left out to destroy the poor gal... and Levi Johnston needs to get a job on a rig in Siberia
Intrade: 18.6
Sum: Hard to hold this one down... just like the powerful grassroots movement she's so closely allied with
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Mitt Romney
+ Highly competent manager, economic expert, previous runner-up, looks and acts presidential
- Too good-looking by half, dull on the stump, hiding/laying low while waiting his turn, mostly absent from today's battle for the future of the nation... disappointing, where's some courage and sense of urgency here? The tipping-point is now, not two years too late...
Intrade: 31.2
Sum: apparent front-runner to this point, and the establishment's dream candidate. For the rest of us, the father of RomneyCare has got some 'splainin to do... and we haven't heard a peep yet. _________________________________________________
Tim Pawlenty
+ social conservative, respected governor, no apparent skeletons
- Lacks charisma and national political base, has been tepid in support of TEA Party movement... 'Cuda left him in the dust
Intrade: 12.8
Sum: already running, basically
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Bobby Jindal
+ Wiz-kid Reaganite with a resume/record of success that puts most others to shame, impressive manager in most ways, novel background
- still not 40 yrs old, pretty-much choked in his big national TV debut
Intrade: 4.6
Sum: I really like Bobby Jindal... for 2016-2020, though.
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John Bolton
+ Great strategic mind, true conservative -and patriot- all the way
- Pugnacious nature, honest to a fault, lack of campaign experience, distaste for for inside-the-Beltway DC political games
Intrade: n/a
Sum: Love the man... but I dunno if he's serious about recent hints, and came as quite a surprise to most.
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Runners-up: Barbour, Daniels, or maybe Newt- although he's a non-starter for me personally due to heavy, heavy baggage and a number of poor choices from working with race-hustler Al Sharpton to total loser moves in NY-23... Scozzafava really made fool of him.
As a defense hawk, I don't stand take Ron Paul serious... at all.
Sure like Petraeus, would like to hear more from him on some key issues. But the good General seems fairly resolute about not entering politics anyway, and if the politically inexperienced Petraeus did go that way, perhaps a better fit as a VP alongside -say- a Sarah Palin...
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If you've got a minute today, please take our poll and tell us who's your five at Reaganite Republican
-TIA-
Courtesy PING to #77
I voted for Duncan hunter in the TN primary in 2008..
he woulkd have made a good president..
Romney and his ilk shut him out of the debates..
Duncan who make a great Sec of State..
or Sec of Def or over national security
who=would
I’ll take a realistic stab at this.
Accepting certain truths:
1.) Mayors, Local Congressmen, Ambassadors aren’t going to get the nod.
2.) Certain people I like aren’t running (Jindal, DeMint, et al).
3.) Realistic choices are of Governors first, Senators second.
4.) Some folks have no chance in hell (Pawlenty).
Here is my list, based on those truths:
1.) Sarah Palin
2.) Haley Barbour (may or may not run, I say 50/50 right now)
3.) Rick Santorum (might be most radioactive of everyone, though)
4.) Newt Gingrich (Not the enemy some make him to be; very effective)
4.) Jim Thune (safe choice; not a likely nominee, though)
Romney - Not a chance in hell. He can't wait to offshore another 20-40 million American jobs, bring in another 20-40 million foreigners to take remaining American jobs, and split the profits with his small circle of people. More politics of envy and revenge completely masked behind a RINO facade. It is not religious motivation; it is economic and political.
Jindal - Nice guy, but not a Natural Born Citizen; yes, he was born in Baton Rouge; no, that doesn't make him a NBC because neither of his parents were citizens when he was born. The Dems will let him get the nomination, then have him disqualified, and all their homework is already done.
Pawlenty - nice guy, not strong enough to fight for our national survival. Neither is any other Republican male politician. If you don't have the gonads to call a spade a spade, you surely don't have the gonads to go to war against the communists, and nothing less will suffice;
Too funny. I’ll take your tagline for my vote;)
We’re so screwed...lol.
J/K
It’s got to be Sarah.
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