Posted on 10/31/2004 6:10:25 PM PST by hawaiian
Guys, imagine if you were a Kerry supporter. There wasn't ONE SINGLE NATIONAL POLL that showed him ahead today. NOT ONE.
In summary: 3 polls showed the race tied (though the ABC version of the Washington Post/ABC poll has Bush at 49, Kerry at 48), and Zogby's poll showed a 1 point gain + 2-point surge for Bush.
2 POLLS: Bush +1
1 POLL: Bush +2
2 POLLS: Bush +3 (including the CBS poll with Bush's approval rating having jumped 5 points
1 POLL: Bush +5
POLLS WITH KERRY LEADING: ZERO
ALSO OVER THE WEEKEND: 1 Poll with Bush +5, another with Bush +6
EVEN BETTER NEWS: Bush's job approval rating is at 49.7. Presidents tend to get 2-3 points more than their job approval rating, and TODAY'S NUMBERS HAVE BUSH AT HIS HIGHEST NUMBERS IN MONTHS.
Be happy --- things are going to turn out the way we want them. Furthermore, the state polls by Zogby/Gallup are an absolute embarrassment. They're all over the place (Gallup showing Bush up 8 on the same day that Kerry is down 8 IN THE SAME STATE). The only credible state polling is Mason-Dixon's, and those numbers are FANTASTIC -- just compare the favorable/unfavorable numbers between Bush/Kerry on those: http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/6369953/ (NOTE: they're still showing the typo with 41% "neutral on Kerry" and 14% negative on Kerry in the Ohio numbers).
The Fox Dynamics poll is also a joke, showing Bush losing among men. Also, don't forget, Zogby and Rasmussen weight their polls 39-35 (D-R), not taking into account that incumbents have tended to add 4% on average, on to their parties' totals, in reelection bids (this is historical fact!) Let's just do all we can do over the next 36 hours, and trust me, Kerry will be a goner on Tuesday night.
I think you are right.
Good perspective on the numbers, I am with you and quietly confident in a W victory Tuesday.
How's it looking in Hawaii?
Fingers crossed!
All weekend polls too!
Good news ping.
I'd see how the DUmmies are taking this, but I don't want to spoil my supper.
Wow! I hope you are right! And I hope your state comes through for Bush too!
I heard Gingrich say that Republicans poll better mid week.
Very well said---I would much rather be in our shoes than theirs!!
Yep. I'm thinking of CNN/Gallup and even when "undecideds" are tossed into the mix, Kerry does NOT come out into a lead. Its over.
That was very encouraging. Thanks for the good news!
I love that perspective. Excellent news indeed.
Thank you for some sanity in looking at the polls. The trend is favorable to President Bush and it has been for a long time. Go out and vote and that will take care of everything.
I did an analysis of the Bush JA and how they correlate to MAson-Dixon's State by State #'s --- Forget the National Polls - Look at JOB APPROVAL for guidance
Every place Bush is pulling 49% JA, he is winning the state.
All great news so far this weekend!!!
As long as we work the ground game and GOTV, Bush will win!!!
We have the momentum, we have the lead, and we have the EV!!! NOW GET OUT THERE AND VOTE!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Do not hold your breath waiting for those words from sKerry. Nonetheless, clear unequivocal victory for GWB Tuesday night!
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