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Rudy and the Republican Nomination
http://www.joinrudy2008.com/News/DocumentPrint.aspx?DocumentID=19580 ^ | 2 Feb 2007 | Brent Seaborn, Strategy Director

Posted on 02/02/2007 4:47:11 PM PST by PhiKapMom

Rudy and the Republican Nomination


New York, Feb 2 -

To: Team Rudy
From: Brent Seaborn, Strategy Director
Date: February 2, 2007
Re: Rudy and the Republican Nomination

Over the last month or two there has been a good deal of public opinion polling on the 2008 Republican primary race. I thought it would be helpful to take a step back and take a closer look at how voters – particularly Republican primary voters – feel about Rudy Giuliani and why we think we are well-positioned heading in to the primary season.

Americans Have a Highly Favorable Opinion of Mayor Giuliani
Entering the 2008 primary season, Rudy Giuliani is uniquely positioned among potential Republican candidates because of his extremely high favorability ratings. Recent public opinion polling shows Mayor Giuliani with 61% approval among adults across the country – according to the ABC News/Washington Post poll (Jan. 16-19, 2007). The well respected, bipartisan Battleground Poll (Jan 8-11, 2007) shows the Mayor with 65% favorability among likely voters. More importantly, Mayor Giuliani shows an 81% favorable rating among Republicans and only 10% with an unfavorable opinion.

According to the Battleground poll, Mayor Giuliani also has surprisingly high favorability ratings beyond the base:

The Mayor also enjoys strong approval among white evangelical Christians (76%) and self-described conservative Republicans (82%).

In an even more recent poll, Gallup (Jan. 25-28, 2007) finds Mayor Giuliani also leads among Republicans on 7 of 10 key issues including terrorism, the economy, healthcare and fighting crime. He also leads on 11 of 15 key candidate attributes – including “better understands the problems faced by ordinary Americans”, “would manage government more effectively” and what I believe to be the single most important factor – “is the stronger leader.”

In sum, while we fully expect these polls to tighten in the months and weeks to come, Republican voters genuinely know and like Rudy Giuliani.

The Mayor Performs Well in Opinion Polls
The Mayor’s exceptionally strong approval ratings also translate in to an advantage on Republican primary ballot tests. In 11 of 13 ballot tests in respected national public opinion polls [Fox News, Newsweek, Time Gallup, CNN, NBC/Wall Street Journal, ABC/Washington Post] since last November, Mayor Giuliani has a lead – in fact, his lead is on average, more than 5-points over the next closest candidate. And his ballot strength began to trend upward after the 2006 midterm elections.

Mayor Giuliani Leads in Key 2008 Primary States
Mayor Giuliani also leads in a series of other states that will likely prove critical in the 2008 Republican primary:

State

Mayor Giuliani

Closest Competitor

Source

California 33% 19% (Gingrich) ARG - Jan. 11-17
Florida 30% 16% (Gingrich) ARG - Jan. 4-9
Illinois 33% 24% (McCain) ARG - Jan. 11-14
Michigan 34% 24% (McCain) ARG - Jan. 4-7
Nevada 31% 25% (McCain) ARG - Dec. 19-23, ‘06
New Jersey 39% 21% (McCain) Quinnipiac – Jan. 16-22
North Carolina 34% 26% (McCain) ARG - Jan. 11-15
Ohio 30% 22% (McCain) Quinnipiac - Jan. 23-28
Pennsylvania 35% 25% (McCain) ARG Jan. 4-8
Texas 28% 26% (McCain) Baselice Jan. 17-21

Conclusion

Recent polling continues to suggest Mayor Giuliani is very well positioned within the party – particularly when compared to other potential Republican candidates – to win the nomination.

Mayor Giuliani’s favorable public opinion stems not only from his extraordinary leadership in the aftermath of the 9/11 attacks and in the uncertainty that followed, but also from a remarkably strong record of accomplishments in fighting crime and turning around New York City’s economy in the 1990’s.

Americans are anxious for fresh Republican leadership on a range of issues. Our voters are drawn to the leadership strength of a candidate during an election. Therefore, as we move forward with exploring a run for President and as we continue to share the Mayor’s story of strong leadership and Reagan-like optimism and vision, we hope to see continued growth in our foundation of support.


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: athleticsupporter; electionpresident; giuliani; giuliani2008; medialies; milking911; president; rudy; support
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To: onyx

Hey - you know how they're all upset about Rudy and gun control?

Didn't Reagan sign the Brady Bill?


441 posted on 02/02/2007 7:46:33 PM PST by Peach (The Clintons pardoned more terrorists than they captured or killed.)
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To: dirtboy; Admin Moderator
I was told by a mod that it is NOT a rule here.
From Admin Moderator | 01/18/2007 8:14:50 PM PST replied

If you post on a thread other posters have a right to respond to your comments.

If you are right, I will comply but I will also expect others to do so.

Admin Moderator, what say you?

442 posted on 02/02/2007 7:46:33 PM PST by narses (St Thomas says "lex injusta non obligat.")
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To: Fierce Allegiance

if Hillary wins in 2008, the abortion debate in the US - is over for a generation. Roe will never be overturned, so the pro-life movement can just pack it up for the next 30 years. look at the makeup of the SCOTUS, who will retire, who is getting old. its pretty simple math.


443 posted on 02/02/2007 7:46:44 PM PST by oceanview
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To: Peach

It's a wonder to behold. I cannot explain it or understand it.


444 posted on 02/02/2007 7:46:51 PM PST by onyx (DEFEAT Hillary Clinton, Marxist, student of Saul Alinsky & ally and beneficiary of Soros.)
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To: onyx
..the Iowa Caucuses are on Jan. 14, 2008

After what I have seen the last few days--I wonder if there will be anybody left alive...

445 posted on 02/02/2007 7:46:54 PM PST by WalterSkinner ( ..when there is any conflict between God and Caesar -- guess who loses?)
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To: Howlin; narses
You scream at me if I post to you and you ALWAYS post to me first and say "I'm going to post to you just this one time" or "Truce on this thread."

And forum rules also specify that if you mention a poster on a thread, you ping them.

I am trying to tell narses about that basic moderation guideline of not posting to folks who have said don't post to them or freepmail them. YOU raised that subject on this thread. Since you are the subject, I ping you out of basic FR courtesy.

Apparently, you can't be bothered to just accept it as such and have to attack.

And that is exactly why I asked you to stop posting to me.

446 posted on 02/02/2007 7:46:58 PM PST by dirtboy (Duncan Hunter 08)
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To: Howlin

And you're an old coot! LOL


447 posted on 02/02/2007 7:47:06 PM PST by Reagan Man (Conservatives don't vote for liberals.)
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To: narses
You are a hoot.

C'mon, have a little respect for hoots, will ya!

448 posted on 02/02/2007 7:47:20 PM PST by Fierce Allegiance ("Campers laugh at clowns behind closed doors." GOHUNTER08!)
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To: Peach

Did you also know that Rudy is a winner of the Ronald Reagan Freedom Award? He joins the ranks of Margaret Thatcher, Billy Graham, and Bob Hope.


449 posted on 02/02/2007 7:47:25 PM PST by My GOP (Conservatives are realistic and pragmatic!!)
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To: TheSpottedOwl
I will vote R in the general election. No more third party disasters for me!

I agree. I'm backing Hunter because he is pounding on issues that, IMHO, need to be kept before the party. I will, however, vote for Rudy or whomever makes it to the ticket. Fortunately, I don't see any way that I'll have to worry about dealing with a Hagel or a Brownback.
450 posted on 02/02/2007 7:48:11 PM PST by PerConPat (A politician is an animal which can sit on a fence and yet keep both ears to the ground.-- Mencken)
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To: onyx
Why would she be including you? You don't serial SPAM Rudy pics in COSTUME!

Once again, what charity was Rudy there for?

451 posted on 02/02/2007 7:48:19 PM PST by dirtboy (Duncan Hunter 08)
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To: oceanview

Same deal if rudy wins, too.

Why give up half the battle without even trying for a conservative?


452 posted on 02/02/2007 7:48:19 PM PST by Fierce Allegiance ("Campers laugh at clowns behind closed doors." GOHUNTER08!)
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To: Peach


Reagan signed the Brady Bill? WHO KNEW!!!!


453 posted on 02/02/2007 7:48:22 PM PST by onyx (DEFEAT Hillary Clinton, Marxist, student of Saul Alinsky & ally and beneficiary of Soros.)
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To: TheSpottedOwl

We had to do a no confidence vote so I could open the convention as the VC. He didn't plan precinct meetings -- nothing and I got it dumped in my lap four days before the statewide precinct meetings and had to delay ours in order to get them advertised.

I cannot wait until 18 Feb when I get my normal life back. Anyone thinking of becoming a County Party official needs to freep mail me to get the lowdown -- my advice DON'T!


454 posted on 02/02/2007 7:48:25 PM PST by PhiKapMom (Broken Glass Republican -- Rudy/Newt -- Take back the House and Senate in 2008)
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To: dirtboy

Well, too bad; your old pal, The Spammer, narses, just proved I CAN post to you whenever I want to.

So prepare for me to respond whenever the hell I feel like it.


455 posted on 02/02/2007 7:48:41 PM PST by Howlin (Honk if you like Fred Thompson!!!)
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To: My GOP

Isn't that grand? I know he was deeply honored to receive that award.

And Reagan liked him and trusted him enough to appoint him as his #3 person in DOJ.


456 posted on 02/02/2007 7:48:47 PM PST by Peach (The Clintons pardoned more terrorists than they captured or killed.)
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To: narses

See Post 50 and 113.


457 posted on 02/02/2007 7:49:23 PM PST by My GOP (Conservatives are realistic and pragmatic!!)
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To: Reagan Man

You're an embarassment to Ronald Reagan and conservatives.


458 posted on 02/02/2007 7:49:42 PM PST by Howlin (Honk if you like Fred Thompson!!!)
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To: onyx

Imagine Reagan signing gun legislation. It's so shocking I'm stunned he wasn't drummed out of the party by the perfect conservatives.


459 posted on 02/02/2007 7:49:54 PM PST by Peach (The Clintons pardoned more terrorists than they captured or killed.)
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To: dirtboy
The desperate housewives of FR don't have to follow any rules. They're above silly rules.

Btw, did you also know that Rudy is a winner of the Ronald Reagan Freedom Award?

460 posted on 02/02/2007 7:49:54 PM PST by Reagan Man (Conservatives don't vote for liberals.)
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