Posted on 02/02/2007 4:47:11 PM PST by PhiKapMom
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
New York, Feb 2 -
To:
Team Rudy
From:
Brent Seaborn, Strategy Director
Date:
February 2, 2007
Re:
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
Over the last month or two there has been a good deal of public opinion polling on the 2008 Republican primary race. I thought it would be helpful to take a step back and take a closer look at how voters – particularly Republican primary voters – feel about Rudy Giuliani and why we think we are well-positioned heading in to the primary season.
Americans Have a Highly Favorable Opinion of Mayor Giuliani
Entering the 2008 primary season, Rudy Giuliani is uniquely positioned among potential Republican candidates because of his extremely high favorability ratings. Recent public opinion polling shows Mayor Giuliani with 61% approval among adults across the country – according to the ABC News/Washington Post poll (Jan. 16-19, 2007). The well respected, bipartisan Battleground Poll (Jan 8-11, 2007) shows the Mayor with 65% favorability among likely voters. More importantly, Mayor Giuliani shows an 81% favorable rating among Republicans and only 10% with an unfavorable opinion.
According to the Battleground poll, Mayor Giuliani also has surprisingly high favorability ratings beyond the base:
In an even more recent poll, Gallup (Jan. 25-28, 2007) finds Mayor Giuliani also leads among Republicans on 7 of 10 key issues including terrorism, the economy, healthcare and fighting crime. He also leads on 11 of 15 key candidate attributes – including “better understands the problems faced by ordinary Americans”, “would manage government more effectively” and what I believe to be the single most important factor – “is the stronger leader.”
In sum, while we fully expect these polls to tighten in the months and weeks to come, Republican voters genuinely know and like Rudy Giuliani.
The Mayor Performs Well in Opinion Polls
The Mayor’s exceptionally strong approval ratings also translate in to an advantage on Republican primary ballot tests. In 11 of 13 ballot tests in respected national public opinion polls [Fox News, Newsweek, Time Gallup, CNN, NBC/Wall Street Journal, ABC/Washington Post] since last November, Mayor Giuliani has a lead – in fact, his lead is on average, more than 5-points over the next closest candidate. And his ballot strength began to trend upward after the 2006 midterm elections.
Mayor Giuliani Leads in Key 2008 Primary States
Mayor Giuliani also leads in a series of other states that will likely prove critical in the 2008 Republican primary:
|
State |
Mayor Giuliani |
Closest Competitor |
Source |
| California | 33% | 19% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 11-17 |
| Florida | 30% | 16% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 4-9 |
| Illinois | 33% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-14 |
| Michigan | 34% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 4-7 |
| Nevada | 31% | 25% (McCain) | ARG - Dec. 19-23, ‘06 |
| New Jersey | 39% | 21% (McCain) | Quinnipiac – Jan. 16-22 |
| North Carolina | 34% | 26% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-15 |
| Ohio | 30% | 22% (McCain) | Quinnipiac - Jan. 23-28 |
| Pennsylvania | 35% | 25% (McCain) | ARG Jan. 4-8 |
| Texas | 28% | 26% (McCain) | Baselice Jan. 17-21 |
Mayor Giuliani’s favorable public opinion stems not only from his extraordinary leadership in the aftermath of the 9/11 attacks and in the uncertainty that followed, but also from a remarkably strong record of accomplishments in fighting crime and turning around New York City’s economy in the 1990’s.
Americans are anxious for fresh Republican leadership on a range of issues. Our voters are drawn to the leadership strength of a candidate during an election. Therefore, as we move forward with exploring a run for President and as we continue to share the Mayor’s story of strong leadership and Reagan-like optimism and vision, we hope to see continued growth in our foundation of support.
Follow the debate. Thanks.
Sure she did. /s
You're sure trying to help calm the waters, I see.
You are a hoot.
They seem to be getting entirely too much enjoyment out of repeatedly posting those pictures. For a day or two we asked why but we've figured it out.
A shrink would have a field day with these guys.
Gawd, I was telling FR policy to a poster, and you were involved, so I pinged you out of FR policy.
And you are too ungracious to not try and make a point against me in return.
Forgive me for once again failing to realize that you have no graciousness.
Yeah, I can understand being passionate about who is going to run the country, but we haven't even gotten to the debate stage yet : (
Was that hoot, or coot.
"I see the Rudy boosters, not being content to cut down the Reagan legacy, have now decided to take on the Bush legacy as well. Are you really sure you want to go down that path?"
I haven't cut down or say anything about the Reagan legacy or the Bush legacy. Heck, I haven't said one thing about Reagan at all. And the only thing I said about Bush is he isn't a great speaker, which is true, but that has nothing to do with his legacy. Now you're going beyond taking things out of context, you're telling me I'm saying something I haven't even talked about or said. Do you want to continue down this dishonest path of yours?
where have i ever tried to stop any discussion about Rudy? Find one post or forever be considered a liar (that's one of your phrases if you don't remember.)
The more Rudy is discussed, the more people will realize that by supporting him, the support abortionists, the gay agenda, stripping sonstitutional rights and illegal immigration.
Please tell me what part of "male freepers" excludes any male freepers.
I was so happy to see that the Hoover Institute, at which Reagan is an Honorary Fellow, thinks that Rudy is good for the GOP and would make a good president.
Look, I proved you're a hypocrite.
You scream at me if I post to you and you ALWAYS post to me first and say "I'm going to post to you just this one time" or "Truce on this thread."
And we all realize what you are.
Seriously, if she says do not respond, do just that. That is forum rules.
Tuesday, June 20, 2000 MAYOR GIULIANI AND SPEAKER VALLONE ANNOUNCE CITY LAWSUIT AGAINST GUN INDUSTRY
And grabbing our guns. And abortion on demand. And illegal immigrants being free from worry. And Ginsburg style appointments. And "gay rights". Gee, a RINO.
Why would she be including you? You don't serial SPAM Rudy pics in COSTUME!
Isn't it fascinating how the forum has suddenly modified the rules and suddenly spam is all the rage?
See Post 50, 113 and now 398.
And you're an sanctimonious a$$, but that's not news to anybody around here.
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