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Taxing Sales under the FairTax – What Rate Works?
Boston University ^ | September 2006 | Laurence J. Kotlikoff et al

Posted on 10/19/2006 5:11:50 PM PDT by pigdog

As specified in Congressional bill H.R. 25/S. 25, the FairTax is a proposal to replace the federal personal income tax, corporate income tax, payroll (FICA) tax, capital gains, alternative minimum, self-employment, and estate and gifts taxes with a single-rate federal retail sales tax. The FairTax also provides a prebate to each household based on its demographic composition. The prebate is set to ensure that households pay no taxes net on spending up to the poverty level.

Bill Gale (2005) and the President’s Advisory Panel on Federal Tax Reform (2005) suggest that the effective (tax inclusive) tax rate needed to implement H.R. 25 is far higher than the proposed 23% rate. This study, which builds on Gale’s (2005) analysis, shows that a 23% rate is eminently feasible and suggests why Gale and the Tax Panel reached the opposite conclusion.

This paper begins by projecting the FairTax’s 2007 tax base net of its rebate. Next it calculates the tax rate needed to maintain the real levels of federal and state spending under the FairTax. It then determines if an effective rate of 23% would be sufficient to fund 2007 estimated spending or if not, the amount by which non-Social Security federal expenditures would need to be reduced. Finally, it shows that the FairTax imposes no additional real fiscal burdens on state and local government, notwithstanding the requirement that such governments pay the FairTax when they purchase goods and services.

(Excerpt) Read more at people.bu.edu ...


TOPICS: Heated Discussion
KEYWORDS: fairtax; incometax; itchyandscratchy; taxes; taxreform
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To: Dimples
If you want to make taxpayers painfully aware of their tax burden, simply eliminate withholding and force Joe Taxpayer to write a monthly check ... rather than receive one.

Like many ideas on their face, brilliantly simple but impossible to impliment. It is similar to saying the secret to a happy life is to find happiness.

61 posted on 10/19/2006 7:51:15 PM PDT by Mind-numbed Robot (Not all that needs to be done, needs to be done by the government.)
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To: Beagle8U
You have it exactly backwards. A "hidden" tax is when the government gets your money without you ever seeing it happen. A tax is not "hidden" when the money must come directly from your pocket, and you can see the amount on the receipt.

FICA and income taxes are hidden. The hundreds of taxes buried in the price of a new car (except the sales and registration taxes) are hidden. Got the distinction?

John / Billybob

62 posted on 10/19/2006 7:51:29 PM PDT by Congressman Billybob (Have a look-see. Please get involved.)
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To: Extremely Extreme Extremist
You don't think states will magically mail 50 checks to the federal government simultaneously, do you.

Please tell me why not.

63 posted on 10/19/2006 7:52:15 PM PDT by groanup (Limited government is the answer. What's the question?)
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To: Congressman Billybob
When you pay a tax at the grocery store, you've already gotten the money and know when you are paying it out.
And then what, stop buying groceries?...Oh wait I know, we can complain to tax loving deaf ears in Congress.
64 posted on 10/19/2006 7:53:36 PM PDT by lewislynn (Fairtax = lies, hope, wishful thinking, conjecture and lack of logic.)
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To: Beagle8U

That's not an argument. That's rhetoric. But I can respond to one part of it. The items brought here haven't been taxed. They would be under the FairTax. Border adjustment.


65 posted on 10/19/2006 7:54:39 PM PDT by groanup (Limited government is the answer. What's the question?)
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To: MaDuce
Believe it or not, when the Income Tax Amendment was in Congress the Republicans had the votes to put a 10% cap on income taxes. They declined to do that, on the grounds that such a cap would "encourage" later Congresses to raise the rate all the way up to that high level.

Now there's a classic example of Congress failing to predict accurately what Congress would do in the future.

John / Billybob

66 posted on 10/19/2006 7:55:07 PM PDT by Congressman Billybob (Have a look-see. Please get involved.)
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To: Always Right
Completely delusional. The fairtax will take a significant effort to enforce, especially trying to collect from the millions of self-employed.

Perhaps you would like to expand on my delusion. Why can't 50 clerks do the job of the IRS? I'll give you a thousand auditors.

67 posted on 10/19/2006 7:56:07 PM PDT by groanup (Limited government is the answer. What's the question?)
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To: Beagle8U
"... OK. Now I get it. You mean if the tax is partially hidden and misleading people may buy into it being a good deal.

Kinda like the Fairytax when they say its going to be a 23% sales tax, but when you buy a $1 item, after the tax is added it wont be $1.23. It will be more.

Great idea, hiding what the real tax will be. I'll bet that will help to get people on board with this."

No, obviously you DON'T get it. You're seriously misinformed on almost every point you make. You'd help yourself a great deal just by reading the first 3 or 4 pages of the report and then the paragraph headed "3.3 Tax-Inclusive versus Tax-Exclusive Rates" that starts at the bottom of page 10 of the paper.

There is no "hiding" of the tax rate - quite the opposite since a receipt is required with each taxable sale that shows the rate clearly.

68 posted on 10/19/2006 7:57:52 PM PDT by pigdog
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To: pigdog

If you were really worried about "people's time" you'd resign from FR now, instead of waiting to get banned again.


69 posted on 10/19/2006 7:59:04 PM PDT by xcamel (Press to Test, Release to Detonate)
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To: Congressman Billybob
"When you pay a tax at the grocery store, you've already gotten the money and know when you are paying it out"

Even if they are pissed off at all the extra they will have to pay at the grocery store, what can they do about it?

Do you think they can buy "used" food to avoid the tax?

How about a "used" doctors visit? Some "used" gas for their car?

The little welfare check "prebate" wont cover the taxes the average Joe will be spending. Not when it takes all they earn to live.
70 posted on 10/19/2006 8:00:47 PM PDT by Beagle8U (Demonrats want the Gays out of Congress.....stand back and let them purge their base.)
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To: groanup
Perhaps you would like to expand on my delusion. Why can't 50 clerks do the job of the IRS? I'll give you a thousand auditors.

It is not the complexity of the code which makes the requirement for having thousands of tax collectors. It is the incentive to cheat the system. There will still be millions of people trying to avoid taxes and it will still take the watchful eye of an intrusive and abusive tax collection agency to collect 2 trillion in taxes. If you think having a few clerks sitting in Washington DC can do the job, you are delusional.

71 posted on 10/19/2006 8:03:22 PM PDT by Always Right
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To: groanup; Congressman Billybob
Because the 'poll' had just one question for the 'room temperature IQ crowd'...

"Do you hate the IRS? (yes) (no)"

Even a politician isn't that stupid.

72 posted on 10/19/2006 8:04:03 PM PDT by xcamel (Press to Test, Release to Detonate)
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To: groanup
The gov't taxes itself now in that it taxes the wages it pays its own employees...

Actually, it doesn't tax itself, it taxes its employees and directly withholds the money from them. If the tax rate was 10%, instead of paying a $100 wage to an employee, the Federal government only has to pay $90 though it accounts, on the books, the full $100. In effect, it pays a discounted actual wage and inflates both the "wage paid out" and the "tax received in" entries in the Federal books by the same amount: the amount of the tax. In doing so it generates no net revenue. The actual spending burden it only 90% of the accounted burden. The tax out/in exactly balances and is, in effect a virtual accounting gimmick.

For simplicity, let's assume that under the FairTax, the magnitude of the tax base is the same, and the revenue requirements are the same. In essence, the $100 income that used to generate $10 of tax still needs to generate $10 of tax.

Working under the "keep all your paycheck" scenario, the government has to pay the full $100 wage, in cash, to the employee. That alone raise the cash required to operate by 11%. Of course, since the FairTax used the "virtual tax received" under the Income Tax to set the rate, you'd think: "No problem the tax rate is sufficient to generate the additional cash the Federal Government didn't need before because of the accounting gimmick." Well, if the tax base was entirely in the private sector, you'd be right.

The problem arises because that $100 wage is part of the FairTax base but is "consumed" in the public sector. "Revenue neutrality" demands that the $100 still generate $10 of tax ... it's part of the tax base. But, NO MATTER WHAT THE TAX RATE, the $100 generates NO net tax revenue to the Federal Government ... just as before. If the Rate is 10% (exclusive) the government pays the $100 out, pays an additional $10 in tax, and receives the additional $10 as tax: NO NET TAX REVENUE!

That is why the FairTax is flawed from a Revenue Neutrality perspective.

BTW, the problem is a bit different at the state and local level, but Kotlikoff, in the very paper cited above, agrees that S&L governments will need to raise their own tax rates to collect enough money to pay their FairTax.

73 posted on 10/19/2006 8:06:26 PM PDT by Dimples
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To: groanup
And 20 million business owners, and another 40 million "whopper flopper's" behind cash registers. - all now federal tax agents.
74 posted on 10/19/2006 8:07:11 PM PDT by xcamel (Press to Test, Release to Detonate)
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To: lewislynn
"... >"any government" employee's wages salaries and benefits would also cost 30% more under the "Taxable Employer" clause ... "
Untrue - both as shown in the paper and has been explained to you many, many times. Why continue to post something you know is not true?

The tax on governmental non-education employees is a tax paid by the government on the gross wages of those employees and it is 23% less the 7.65% ER FICA less another adjustment for the educational employees ER FICA that no longer is paid either. That is all accounted for in the 23% revenue neutral derivation the paper presents.

Actually taxing government IS a good idea and it's done at present (as has also been explained to you many times) but we've decided to shortcut all of that and just you pay the entire tax amount for all taxpayers ... OK???

75 posted on 10/19/2006 8:07:22 PM PDT by pigdog
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To: xcamel
If you were really worried about "people's time" you'd resign from FR now, instead of waiting to get banned again.

And if you were really worried about the method of taxation you'd debate instead of jabbing about banishment and personal attacks. Have you ever thought about the issue? Do you have an opinion? Have you given serious consideration to methods of taxation? Have you studied these issues? Have you ever added anything to these debates other than poking around trying to get someone banned? Are you nothing more than a groupie hanging on to every word your fellow SQL's spout? Buck up man. Read something.

Rather than hovering around the abuse button may I suggest reading a book on taxation?

76 posted on 10/19/2006 8:08:46 PM PDT by groanup (Limited government is the answer. What's the question?)
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To: pigdog
" You'd help yourself a great deal just by reading the first 3 or 4 pages of the report and then the paragraph headed "3.3 Tax-Inclusive versus Tax-Exclusive Rates"

You would help yourself in selling your idea if you would $hit-can all the 'tax inclusive" double talk and put out information that wasn't designed to confuse people that wont know it means it will be a 30% tax, not a 23% tax.

I've read the stupid plan. I know what it means.
77 posted on 10/19/2006 8:09:12 PM PDT by Beagle8U (Demonrats want the Gays out of Congress.....stand back and let them purge their base.)
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To: Dimples
I declare you second in line to Your Nightmare. It escaped me that you too are learned about things. Your point is taken. So. In your world, is taxing income better than taxing consumption? If so fine, though I would like to know why. If not, how would you design a revenue neutral consumption tax? How would you convert the tax that Fed employees now pay on their salaries when the tax is purely consumption?

And with this outburst, I am going to puff meagerly on a cigar and be off to bed. I'll look forward to communicating tomorrow.

78 posted on 10/19/2006 8:15:00 PM PDT by groanup (Limited government is the answer. What's the question?)
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To: lewislynn
Ah, but it's much easier to do for most people under the FairTax since income is not taxed, nor savings, nor investment nor expenditures such as mortgage and other load payments such as credit card debt, political contributions, education tuition/student loan payments, state and local taxes including property taxes, money in or income from savings accounts, stocks and bonds, donations to church or charities, political donations, purchases of used goods - and other things ... all in the list are not taxed.

Having those things not taxed helps reduce your effective FairTax rate considerable which you'd see if you were to use the rate calculator linked to earlier.

79 posted on 10/19/2006 8:15:47 PM PDT by pigdog
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To: Beagle8U

read the paper or the first 8 or 10 pages and you'll see it's a carefully worked out amount.


80 posted on 10/19/2006 8:18:22 PM PDT by pigdog
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