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Taxing Sales under the FairTax – What Rate Works?
Boston University ^ | September 2006 | Laurence J. Kotlikoff et al

Posted on 10/19/2006 5:11:50 PM PDT by pigdog

As specified in Congressional bill H.R. 25/S. 25, the FairTax is a proposal to replace the federal personal income tax, corporate income tax, payroll (FICA) tax, capital gains, alternative minimum, self-employment, and estate and gifts taxes with a single-rate federal retail sales tax. The FairTax also provides a prebate to each household based on its demographic composition. The prebate is set to ensure that households pay no taxes net on spending up to the poverty level.

Bill Gale (2005) and the President’s Advisory Panel on Federal Tax Reform (2005) suggest that the effective (tax inclusive) tax rate needed to implement H.R. 25 is far higher than the proposed 23% rate. This study, which builds on Gale’s (2005) analysis, shows that a 23% rate is eminently feasible and suggests why Gale and the Tax Panel reached the opposite conclusion.

This paper begins by projecting the FairTax’s 2007 tax base net of its rebate. Next it calculates the tax rate needed to maintain the real levels of federal and state spending under the FairTax. It then determines if an effective rate of 23% would be sufficient to fund 2007 estimated spending or if not, the amount by which non-Social Security federal expenditures would need to be reduced. Finally, it shows that the FairTax imposes no additional real fiscal burdens on state and local government, notwithstanding the requirement that such governments pay the FairTax when they purchase goods and services.

(Excerpt) Read more at people.bu.edu ...


TOPICS: Heated Discussion
KEYWORDS: fairtax; incometax; itchyandscratchy; taxes; taxreform
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To: Always Right
I figure that there are at least 25 million households that have near $1,000,000 in after tax assets. Heck, a computer operator from my company just retired last year with more than a million $ in retirement savings, a significant portion of which was pre-tax income savings. And it has been a number of years since "The Millionaire Next Door" (1998) has been published. Lots of us quiet guys doing the things that accumulate (actually) modest wealth. Given my guess, that is 25 x 10^6 x 10^6 of assets = 25 trillion, a large portion likely to be spent before the deaths of those who own those assets. Lets say 50% is spent, conservatively. So we are talking about 12.5 trillion that will be subject to a second, onerous tax (30%), thus the government grabs another 3.75 trillion $ from the old guys in this society under the FairTax scheme. Not bad for a day's work.
441 posted on 10/22/2006 11:30:05 AM PDT by GregoryFul (There's no truth in the New York Times)
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To: pigdog
The only reason seniors would sell non liquid assets like that is to consume services like healthcare, or to help their kids/grandkids buy a house, so they get soaked either way. I don't think they're just going to stuff the cash into a mattress. So your point is based (per usual) on false assumptions. They get hosed.
442 posted on 10/22/2006 11:32:16 AM PDT by xcamel (Press to Test, Release to Detonate)
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To: GregoryFul
Here is what Kotlikoff, the Fairtax economist said before the Ways and Means in april 2000:
So what does taxing consumption have to do with achieving a generationally equitable fiscal policy? Again, essentially everything. The reason is that the current elderly as well as the baby boomers, who will shortly retire, have one primary economic activity left to accomplish - consumption. And under a consumption tax, they will pay a lot more in future taxes than they would under the current tax system. Although the elderly as a group would share in the burden of a consumption tax, the poor elderly - those living exclusively on Social Security benefits - would not because their benefits are indexed to the consumer price level and are thus guaranteed in real terms.

To recapitulate, given the likely path of government spending and the inevitable aging of our society, our children and our children's children are in for extremely rough sledding. Indeed, the CBO-FED study suggests they will face lifetime net tax rates (1) that are 80 percent higher than those we face if nothing is done. This generational imbalance, rather than the treatment of the rich versus the poor within a generation, is the fundamental issue of economic justice facing us today. Consumption taxation can address that issue by asking the current and near-term elderly to do their fair share in helping to achieve generational balance.

They want your money.
443 posted on 10/22/2006 11:35:53 AM PDT by lewislynn (Fairtax = lies, hope, wishful thinking, conjecture and lack of logic.)
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To: GregoryFul
"Unfortunately, there is an ignorant hoard out there that falls for this cynical pretense. "

Indeed there are ... but you seem not to realize who they are. As for "the flaw" (as you put it), one has to presume that means that should the income tax laws be changed to tax such accumulated and already-taxed savings that the government would somehow "owe you" and some financial adjustment should be paid. I don't think so. You pays your money and you takes your chances under any tax system, but especially an income based tax system, that the tax laws will NOT be changed so that you can benefit in the future. Yet if you look back you will see that is a fool's game. Income tax laws have frequently been changed in the past - seldom to the benefit of the taxpayer - and will no doubt be changed again in the future should income taxes remain.

To believe that because you have lived and earned under a given tax system and prospered to some degree does not mean that the government "owes you" by refunding all of the taxes you previously paid since, after all you were only following the tax laws and making your choices re taxable vs. nontaxable savings. The tax money you paid was spent by the government on pencils, paper, and pilotless drones as well as many other things. Do you think that these government expenditures (that you, Mr. Taxpayer, have allowed I might add) might somehow be retrieved by the government??? I think not - those tax monies are gone; spent. Why should the government now "owe you" for following the law and now, in effect, double pay for the tax revenue you provided under that law???

The answer is, of course, they not only shouldn't but they won't. Under the FairTax, though, you would have a much better shot at getting back what YOU THINK the government "owes you" since income is not taxed. The fact you choose to blow your funds on a executive boat, a land cruiser, or other expenditure is, however, your choice - and neither the government (not the other taxpayers who provide its tax revenues) owe you a single red cent.

444 posted on 10/22/2006 11:39:39 AM PDT by pigdog
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To: GregoryFul
It's no secret that the FT is aimed squarely at the "Home Simpson" voter/taxpayer who has no clue of just how good he already has it.
445 posted on 10/22/2006 11:45:51 AM PDT by xcamel (Press to Test, Release to Detonate)
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To: GregoryFul
significant portion of which was pre-tax income savings.

I meant post-tax income savings.

446 posted on 10/22/2006 11:48:59 AM PDT by GregoryFul (There's no truth in the New York Times)
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To: RobFromGa
Once again, one of the income tax supporters weighs in.

You do not seem to understand that the existing tax system also taxes "accumulated wealth" but in quite a different manner - and in a way that is even more punitive that the voluntary consumption payments under the FairTax and allows no comparable tax free income provision as does the FairTax.

The income tax measures taxing accumulated wealth now are the confiscatory measures such as the estate and gift taxes and for the income tax itself not only some very high marginal rates but the imposition of what amounts to an additional tax on everything one spends (some of which would not be taxed under the FairTax) in the form of the hidden tax costs embedded in prices of EVERY thing purchaased (plus the effect of having to earn more originally to spend that sum of money).

So trying to pretend that one tax system taxes "accumulated wealth" and the other does not is certainly ill-informed as well as disingenuous. They both do.

447 posted on 10/22/2006 11:56:12 AM PDT by pigdog
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To: pigdog

I believe that I have the right to argue and collect supporters who would oppose the unscrupulous "FairTax" scheme. I believe that showing the group of voters who would be screwed by this scheme that they would be loosers should something like this be enacted, that by numbers, as well as principle, will succeed in defeating this crooked scheme as it is presented, Pigdog.


448 posted on 10/22/2006 11:56:40 AM PDT by GregoryFul (There's no truth in the New York Times)
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To: pigdog
It's hard to understand just why you gather some of the quotes you present to me since some came from or were to others, but I do note that you are one of the status quo supporters who believes that government spending is an investment as you were asked:

Why pigdog, I gathered that quote because you asked for it.

That surely indicates you think it is morally wrong for taxpayers to have charge of their own money and have any decision in when or how it should be taxed but that rather government should take in the funds and then allow the taxpayer whatever it decides is proper. You'll find that most FairTax supporters disagree with your view completely.

Say what? How did you get from an investment in infrastructure (that's stuff like highways, sewers, bridges) to morality? Show me a country that does not invest in infrastructure that is an economic success.

The answer should be obvious and the taxpayer is far better off (as is the government due to the more stable tax base) by having other resources to draw on if required.

Sure, even if I have to borrow more money to buy necessities and pay the 30% sales tax, interest and tax on the interest and financial services to keep money flowing to the government during a time I can't provide a living for myself and my family.

What was that you were saying about morality?

449 posted on 10/22/2006 11:59:17 AM PDT by lucysmom
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To: xcamel
"... the "Home [sic] Simpson" voter/taxpayer who has no clue of just how good he already has it....

... and this once again from Mr. "nothing inherently wrong with and income tax"."

450 posted on 10/22/2006 12:00:16 PM PDT by pigdog
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To: xcamel
And the problem is certainly that our representatives in the federal government are spending way beyond the means of the country. Hence the deficits, evidenced by an increase in tax remittances when a tax rate cut is enacted. Increasing taxes are a productivity drag. That the politicians are spending more than they can productively collect (the perpetual deficit) from the populace means that they are mismanaging the spending side of the equation. They are bleeding the taxpayers dry. They are consuming the seed of the next harvest. Changing the way taxes are collected will only confuse the issue, perhaps until it is too late to do anything about.

Cut the spending you stupid b*%$#tar%$s!

451 posted on 10/22/2006 12:05:47 PM PDT by GregoryFul (There's no truth in the New York Times)
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To: GregoryFul
"I believe that I have the right to argue and collect supporters who would oppose the unscrupulous "FairTax" scheme. I believe that showing the group of voters who would be screwed by this scheme that they would be loosers should something like this be enacted, that by numbers, as well as principle, will succeed in defeating this crooked scheme as it is presented, Pigdog."

Indeed you have such a right provided you can offer a better tax system in its place - and most people realize the income tax system we have ain't it. Just bitching about one aspect of something isn't sufficient. You have a few of those who presently profit in some manner by the present system, but none have been able to offer any valid improvements for most taxpayers as does the FairTax and I doubt you'll do so either but merely - like those others - descend into the attack only mode in your efforts to defeat the FairTax.

As for being "screwed", the present system "screws" far more that would ever be done by the FairTax. Le's also realize that your little apocryphal example of "screwing" is nothing of the sort but merely an indication of the type of "government owes me" mentality that has helped us get to where we are with the income tax. But be sure to document your "facts" with studies from recognized, reputable sources so they may be reviewed and analyzed by others who do not agree with you. The lead-in paper is one example of the type of disclosure expected.

452 posted on 10/22/2006 12:13:38 PM PDT by pigdog
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To: xcamel

It seems to me that an income tax is much more fair than a consumption tax. Those who receive an income are much more capable of paying taxes than those who are dependent on their savings for the necessities of life. All my life, I've managed to pay income taxes, and put some savings aside so as to be able to take care of myself when I will not be receiving income. And now these scumbags want to come along and confiscate what I've put aside so that they may enjoy more current $.


453 posted on 10/22/2006 12:18:22 PM PDT by GregoryFul (There's no truth in the New York Times)
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To: xcamel
"... the after-tax wealth spent by the upper income levels goes toward reinvestment in businesses that create and maintain jobs and payroll for those 'working their way up' ..."

That may be true whatever the percentage, but that reinvested wealth is not taxed under the FairTax nor - unlike the income tax - is the income from it. So all in all the FairTax is clearly the preferable system as shown by your quote.

454 posted on 10/22/2006 12:22:25 PM PDT by pigdog
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To: GregoryFul
All my life, I've managed to pay income taxes, and put some savings aside so as to be able to take care of myself when I will not be receiving income. And now these scumbags want to come along and confiscate what I've put aside so that they may enjoy more current $.

And create the largest entitlement system in history.

455 posted on 10/22/2006 12:25:03 PM PDT by Mojave
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To: pigdog
income tax measures taxing accumulated wealth now are the confiscatory measures such as the estate and gift taxes

I want the estate taxes to be abolished, and there have been bills to accomplish that recently. We re close to permananent repeal.

additional tax on everything one spends (some of which would not be taxed under the FairTax) in the form of the hidden tax costs embedded in prices of EVERY thing purchaased

How much would that be pigdog?

456 posted on 10/22/2006 12:26:17 PM PDT by RobFromGa (Monthly donors rock!)
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To: pigdog
merely an indication of the type of "government owes me" mentality that has helped us get to where we are with the income tax

You are surely joking. I've not dependent on government at all for my livelihood or expectation that "government owes me". If anything, I've been guilty of tolerating leaches in this society to fester and use the government to suck more sustenance from the productive people in this society, time to clean house I guess.

I've been consistently self-dependent. My problem is that I planned on consistency from government - what else can a person do? Presume that government will suddenly reverse policy? Turn things upside down for the heck of it? I'm sure you knew about this all the time! I'll bet you have no after tax savings or assets, and are completely dependent on SS and medicare for your retirement.

457 posted on 10/22/2006 12:31:32 PM PDT by GregoryFul (There's no truth in the New York Times)
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To: pigdog
but that reinvested wealth is not taxed under the FairTax nor - unlike the income tax - is the income from it.
Yes it is, it's taxed when it's spent and it's entire value, not just the interest, is reduced because of the sales tax.

You can look at your savings or you can sit and count it but it has no value untill you spend it and that is exactly when it loses it's value under the Fairtax scam.

458 posted on 10/22/2006 12:32:05 PM PDT by lewislynn (Fairtax = lies, hope, wishful thinking, conjecture and lack of logic.)
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To: GregoryFul
As I showed in post #444, you are "owed" nothing by the government since you paid taxes to cover government expenditures. Since government cannot now "get back" those expenditures by selling that B-1 bomber that crashed, etc. it's not reasonable to think you be paid anything at all that you believe you're owed since you enjoyed the "benefits" of the B-1 bomber etc. as did we all.

If you're "owed" back taxes, then so am I and so are all of the hundreds (or whatever) who've paid their taxes in the past. In fact, those who had to pay estate taxes should also get their "taxes back" I guess.

It's human nature to want special treatment like that, but getting it is quite another matter especially when there's no other reason you should have the special treatment besides being you.

Before you go off the deep end on this matter buying into the rhetoric of the demagogues of "30% tax on everything", I suggest you make an honest effort to us the FairTax Calculator to see what your effective FairTax rate might be under realistic circumstances.

459 posted on 10/22/2006 12:42:55 PM PDT by pigdog
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To: GregoryFul
"Destroy productivity and make everyone a pauper."

Quite the contrary - nor are here any real economic studies that back up your overheated rhetoric. There are, however, a number of them to show just the opposite - more benefit to the taxpayer and greatly increased economic activity.

460 posted on 10/22/2006 12:47:24 PM PDT by pigdog
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