Free Republic

Excerpt from first post So now that the primaries are essentially over, it's a great time to make bold predictions and hot takes about how the general election will turn out. EC results, vice presidential picks, indictments, whatever predictions you have go here. If you're good, you can achieve everlasting 2p2 glory much like Dvaut and his incredible Trump prediction. Or like that time goofball beat Nate Silver. You can make your own map at http://www.270towin.com/. I made one based only on the latest RCP polling results, and, boy howdy it does not look good for Republicans. I **** you...

It looks to me, now that Trump is looking like he can beat HRC, the administration is starting to cut her loose. The State Department is setting her up for an indictment. This will clear the way for Biden to run in November. Am I wrong? We'll see.

Moody's Analytics has released its election model and is predicting that Hillary Clinton will be the next president of the United States.  Moody's Analytics has correctly predicted the winner of the presidency since 1980, basing its predictions on a two-year change in economic data in home prices, income growth, and gasoline prices, according to an NPR report.  Moody's analyst, Dan White, said that those three things affect a person's daily life the most.  "Things that affect marginal voter behavior most significantly are things that the average American is going to run into on an almost daily basis," White said.  The Moody's analyst told NPR...

In an interview with Chris Hedges in 2010, Noam Chomsky, the world-renowned linguist and dissident intellectual, remarked that he has “never seen anything like this.” By this, he meant the state of American society, relative to the time in which he was raised — the Depression years — and to the tumultuous state of Europe during that same period. “It is very similar to late Weimar Germany,” Chomsky said. “The parallels are striking. There was also tremendous disillusionment with the parliamentary system. The most striking fact about Weimar was not that the Nazis managed to destroy the Social Democrats and...

Former Texas Gov. Rick Perry predicted during a private phone call Wednesday that presumptive Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump could carry more than 35 states in the November election. “The more I spend time with him, the more I talk with him, the more I see how he has analyzed this country properly at this point in time, I feel very comfortable that we’re going to win,” Perry told donors during a conference call hosted by the pro-Trump Great America PAC. “I think we have the potential to win overwhelmingly,” he added. “I’m talking a 35, 36, 37-state victory. Just...

As I said, predicting a VP choice is nearly impossible until the last minute because the situation is fluid. A candidate might need some help in a key state, based on current polling. Or the opponent might open up a new line of attack that needs a defense. A lot can change in a few weeks. But as of today, and according to the Master Persuader filter, I put the odds at 90% than Trump picks Brown as his running mate.

But we'll get into all that. Let me give you one little thing: My instinctive feeling right now is that Trump is gonna win, beat Hillary badly, that it could be landslide proportions. I still don't think people understand why Trump won this. I don't think they understand at all the reason people support Trump. And the deeper people are entrenched in politics, and the more they are accustomed to the templates and the handbooks and the theories and the playbooks, the less they're gonna understand it. The more they try to plug Donald Trump and his campaign and his...

Long before Donald Trump descended the grand escalator at Trump Tower to declare his candidacy for the Republican presidential nomination last June, conservative pundits and nonpartisan clairvoyants alike had laughed off the possibility of the real-estate mogul turned reality TV star ascending to the party’s pinnacle, joining the ranks of Ronald Reagan, Dwight D. Eisenhower, Theodore Roosevelt and Abraham Lincoln. (And, to be fair, Mitt Romney, Alf Landon and John C. Frémont.) And for months, as Trump gained droves of followers and delegates, their laughter continued. They’re not laughing Wednesday. Hours after Trump routed his rivals in Indiana and all...

Schmidt Predicts Trump Wins Nomination on First Ballot — Will Clear 1,237 ‘By at Least 50 to 60 Delegates’ “[I] think when you look at the math of this race and look at states ahead, you look at the winner take all states, Donald Trump is going to be the first-ballot nominee of the Republican Party,” Schmidt said. “He will clear the 1,237 mark by at least 50 to 60 delegates by the time the votes are counted on June 7...

Polling begun and completed after the March 10 debate shows radical changes in Ohio and Illinois ahead of their March 15 primaries. In both primaries, Ted Cruz is surging, on the strength of a strong debate performance. In Ohio, a winner take all primary with 66 delegates on the line, the latest poll by CBS, conducted from March 9-11, shows Trump and Kasich tied at 33% each with Ted Cruz surging to 27% up from his pre-debate showing of 19%. Easy to dismiss as an outlier? Not if you also look at CBS' Illinois poll that has Trump leading by...

Back in late 2014, Bill Kristol foresaw that Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky wouldn’t get very far in the forthcoming Republican primary season. He also forecast that Jeb Bush, then the presumed Republican front-runner, would struggle to secure the nomination. He was correct in both instances. This is newsworthy in the same sense that a man biting a dog is newsworthy. It’s an unusual, even aberrant event, a violation of the usual order of things. Kristol, 63, the eminent conservative commentator, has made so many wrong predictions that he’s become a kind of cult figure of wrong, at least among...

Hong Kong (CNN)If Donald Trump believes his victory is written in the stars, he may just be right. With the Year of the Monkey and the New Hampshire primary upon us, CNN asked Hong Kong fortune teller Priscilla Lam to divine the fates of the candidates battling it out for the U.S. presidency. A practitioner of feng shui, the ancient Chinese system of summoning good luck, she combined the art of face reading with analysis of the candidates' birthdays and current life cycles according to the Chinese Zodiac. She says the new lunar year will fuel good fortune for "earth...

Let's make our predictions for who wins the GOP caucus in Iowa. Name at least the candidate you think will win and by how much you think they will win.

Republican strategist Karl Rove said Friday that the Republican Party will lose the White House and many seats in Congress if Donald Trump wins the presidential nomination. “If Mr. Trump is its standard-bearer, the GOP will lose the White House and the Senate, and its majority in the House will fall dramatically,” Rove wrote in an op-ed for the Wall Street Journal. Rove also said that Republicans will lose the White House if Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) becomes the nominee. “If the nominee is Ted Cruz the situation is still dicey,” he wrote. Rove said that all of the Republican...

The 2016 predictions are starting to look very good for Donald Trump, with a growing number of political pundits seeing the Republican front-runner as having a very good -- or even the best -- chance at winning the presidential election. Trump took over the lead in Republican polls this summer and has held onto it through a series of controversies, including a call to ban all non-U.S. Muslims from entering the country. Through all that, his lead has actually grown, and as the calendar turns to 2016, he has started to put rivals Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio in his...

Donald Trump will win the GOP presidential nomination and pick Mike Huckabee as his running mate. The FBI will file criminal charges related to Hillary Clinton's use of a home-brew email server as secretary of state. ... One Iowa Republican offered a quasi-apocalyptic prediction: "The Beltway chattering class gets back from the holidays and the first week of January they are in meltdown panic mode with one question: What in the world are we going to do with Trump? Until now he's been an illusion. He's been off their radar. Why? Name one presidential candidate who has spent less time...

Let's recap my 2008 Predictions National/Political: >Rudy Guiliani/Haley Barbour will defeat Hillary Clinton/Bill Richardson in November 52-47-1 WRONG >Republicans will take back the House; Net -2 in the Senate. WRONG >Bush will pardon Scooter Libby, Ramos and Campeon Christmas eve 2008. TBD World: >The US will hit Iran nuclear program hard causing the regime to fall in Tehran. WRONG >Israel and Hezbollah will take the gloves off in 2008, by early spring. WRONG >Major upheavals in North Korea. Upheavals, yes - Major, unknown >OBL will be declared dead by 01/31/08. WRONG >Terrorist attack in Europe, probably italy. WRONG >More details...

"A time for choosing: It appears that a significant number of our members are so disgusted with the GOP's failure to secure our borders against illegal aliens that they are willing to risk all by voting them out of office, even if it means Pelosi, Reid, Hillary, et al, are allowed to take charge. Is this the best course of action or should we be working harder than ever to hold the line and actually try to make a difference by getting more constitutionally-minded conservatives elected? Are you willing to give it all up or are you more determined than...

News/Current events: US will balk at military actions in Iran, but Israel will strike the nuclear facilities by October. Israel will be at war with Syria by November. OBL and Zarahiri will be officially listed as dead by the US by June. John McCain will be considered the front runner by this time next year. Bush's popularity will be about 48% by this time next year. The Democrats in the new congress will be about the same. Scooter Libby will have all charges dropped against him. No terror attacks on US soil. I think one will happen against US interest...

Sterling has fallen sharply against the dollar as yet more bad economic data points towards a prolonged recession and further interest rate cuts. The pound was down 5.2 cents to $1.486, its largest one day fall in percentage terms since sterling crashed out of the Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) in 1992. Sharp falls in the FTSE 100 index - down 5.2% on Monday - also served to undermine the currency. The pound was also down 3.5 cents against the euro, at 0.851 pounds. The poor economic data increases the likelihood that the Bank of England will cut interest rates on...