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With the 2020 Presidential election a few weeks away, opinion polls dominate the news, unlike real news of one of the candidates and his family involved in a massive pay-to-play scandal, selling US interests to hostile foreign governments, dutifully ignored or censored by cable news and social media giants. Polls show Joe Biden ahead by double digits, portending a landslide victory the likes of which we haven’t seen since the electoral tsunamis of Nixon and Reagan decades ago. If the polls are to be believed, Trump should be packing and preparing for life as a private citizen come late January....

The polls are once again delivering feel-good boosts to Democrats: Joe Biden beats President Trump by 10, 11 or 12 points nationally, depending on the day. His edge in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin averages eight. Propeller-heads promise better than 4 in 5 odds of a new president next year. But then the partisans remember they have been here before, four years ago this week. The conflicting emotions can be overwhelming. “I am feeling anxious and trapped between a sense of unbridled optimism and sheer dread,” said Abington Township, Pa., Commissioner Bill Bole, who like many Democrats never thought Trump could...

For those who may be interested in two previous, related posts:State of the 2020 electionState of the 2020 U.S. House ElectionsThere are 100 seats in the U.S. Senate, two per state. Washington D.C. has no senators, nor do the U.S. territories. As of today the U.S. Senate is comprised of 53 Republicans, 45 Democrats, and two independents (Bernie Sanders of VT, Angus King of ME) that caucus with the Dems. So numerically it’s a 53-47 GOP advantage, while recognizing that certain unnamed Republicans are reliably problematic when push comes to shove. So the GOP majority is functionally a bit tenuous....

This is my follow-up article about the presidential election polls and predictions about the election results. You can read the first article here. The best tool we have to determine the outcome of elections is polls. Each poll has its own bias and we can get rid of some of the bias in individual polls by combining the results of each individual poll in one giant poll. Fivethirtyeight is a website that does this for us. Its method isn't fool proof though. We can get rid of some of the bias, but not all of it. Right before the 2016...

Former Vice President Joe Biden said Friday that he knew a month before the 2016 election that Hillary Clinton would lose key battleground states. Biden made the comment during a closed-door appearance with Mitt Romney at the annual Romney-hosted E2 Summit, reports Politico. Based on his assessment of campaigning in those key battleground states, he said, he knew a month before the election that Clinton would lose them. Biden also stepped on Hillary just last month, saying he never thought she was a “great candidate” during a conference in Las Vegas. …

Robert Barnes explains how bad the polls are. As well as being an attorney, Barnes has wagered on elections for decades. He has never been wrong on a presidential election. In 2016 he won 500k betting on Trump. He puts his money where his mouth is. Ignore the polls and focus on the election fundamentals.

MUSKEGON, Mich. — President Trump told supporters here Saturday that early voting trends in Michigan show that he’s defying polls and will win the state, while he tangled with Democratic Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, the target of an alleged kidnapping plot, calling her an aspiring “dictator.” “We’re leading,” Mr. Trump said at a campaign rally in this town on the shores of Lake Michigan, calling it an early signal of his comeback. “We’re supposed to be way behind, until Election Day when all the Republicans go and you’re going to have a ‘red wave’ like you’ve never seen before.” White House...

the poll of 1,009 likely voters saw Biden’s support slip by just over 2 percentage points since Monday — and found an increase of just under 1 percent for the incumbent

(Oct. 16, 2020) — The deception polling game has blanketed the country with “Biden is way ahead” and “It will take a miracle for Trump to win.” Most of the media does, and pollster gurus act as if they are the 4th person of the trinity. They know what will happen and expect us “stupid people in America” to understand Trump has already lost because of the telemarketer questions they ask at dinner time. Just a small thing that Americans already know is that pollsters don’t get real information by calling night and day into our homes. Only this week,...

Really excellent in depth interview of Robert Barnes covers polls, election history, best indicators of results. It is 40 mins. long; but worth every minute of it. An education that it would take years to get on you own. And best of all he breaks down in detail why Trump is definitely going to win.

President Donald Trump holds a slim lead over Democrat presidential candidate Joe Biden in battleground Arizona among likely voters, a Targoz Market Research/PollSmart survey released Thursday found. The survey, fielded September 23 to October 2 among 1,045 likely voters, showed Trump narrowly leading Biden in the Grand Canyon State by two percentage points — 45 percent to the former vice president’s 43 percent, among likely voters, specifically. The gap narrows one percentage point for “likely with leaners,” with Trump garnering 46 percent to Biden’s 45 percent. Trump also holds a one-point advantage in a low turnout scenario. “While many other...

Former Vice President Joe Biden’s lead shrunk in Hillsborough County since the last poll conducted in late September, according to a new survey from St. Pete Polls released Saturday. The latest poll shows Biden with a 9-point lead over Donald Trump in the county at 53% to 44%. The previous poll, by the same pollsters, showed Trump with a 13 point deficit in the county at 55% to 42%. ... ... One of the biggest take-aways from the latest poll is the crossover appeal for both candidates. In the Sept. 29 poll, Biden claimed 16% support from Republican voters, a...

Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden’s campaign manager warned against trusting inflated national polling numbers released this week, which showed Biden in a double-digit lead over incumbent candidate President Trump. "Please take the fact that we are not ahead by double digits,” Jen O’Malley said Friday, according to a New York Times reporter. “Those are inflated national public polling numbers.” Polls released this week by NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist and NBC News/Wall Street Journal show Biden ahead of Trump in national polls by 11 percent.

On Friday a Michigan Court prevented Democrats from accepting late ballots 14 days after the election. This is wonderful news for election integrity.

Former Trump Campaign Chairman Corey Lewandowski joined Sean Hannity on Friday night to discuss the latest state of the race.According to Lewandowski President Trump’s internal polls and Real Clear Politics are better today than in 2016. The Trump Campaign is very confident. Corey rattled off a number of swing states where President Trump is doing VERY well.And Corey even let slip that Ohio is in the bag for President Trump! Corey Lewandowski: Sean, our polls today internally and even in Real Clear Politics are better today than they were four years ago… And you know Sean when we looked...

DETROIT (AP) — Absentee ballots must arrive by Election Day to be counted, the Michigan Court of Appeals said Friday, blocking a 14-day extension that had been ordered by a lower court and embraced by key Democratic officials in a battleground state. Any changes must rest with the Legislature, not the judiciary, the Republican-appointed appeals court judges said in a 3-0 opinion. Absentee ballot extensions in Wisconsin and Indiana have also been overturned by higher courts. Michigan’s ability to handle a flood of ballots will be closely watched in a state that was narrowly won by President Donald Trump in...

Pennsylvania has rejected hundreds of thousands of applications for mail-in ballots ahead of the 2020 election. About 372,000 ballots were denied, mainly because many of them, about 90 percent (334,000 ballots) were duplicates. WATCH REPORT...

The 2020 presidential race may be closer than the polls suggest, according to an analysis of voter registration trends by JPMorgan Chase. Changes in the number of voters registered to each of the major parties have proven to be a significant variable in election outcomes in the past, according to strategists at the New York-based bank, which analyzed trends in some of the battleground states that will be crucial to an electoral college victory.

Mayors in the mining country, who once supported Democrats, say the party no longer advocates for the working class

Biden campaign manager is warning Dems that their polling does not show the former vice president up by double-digits: