Free Republic

Polls this year show that Democratic voters have become "energized" enough to swing control of at least one branch of Congress in the coming midterm election. But data from past midterm "waves" suggest that Democrats could be headed for a disappointing November.

'The deeper the swamp, the more popular the bulldozer' Do not be reassured by the apparent unpopularity in Saskatchewan of Donald Trump. A provincial poll commissioned by the CBC from the University of Saskatchewan Social Science Research Lab suggests a fraction less than 20 per cent of respondents are on side with Trump. Those on the other side are nearer to 75 per cent. Some will be horrified to learn Trump has any support here at all, but these are landslide numbers. If Trump were to run in Saskatchewan for public office, the poll says he'd get creamed. But wait...

A new poll has bad news for Democrat Andrew Janz, who is running against Republican Rep. Devin Nunes in the November election. Pollsters at the University of California, Berkeley, Institute for Governmental Studies surveyed more than 5,000 likely voters in eight California congressional districts and found that Democrats were “well positioned to capture a number of GOP-held seats considered by neutral observers to be in play in this year’s congressional elections.” But in the 22nd District, the trend doesn’t hold: Incumbent Nunes, a Tulare Republican, had the support of 53 percent of likely voters, while Democratic challenger Janz had 45...

October is National Lie to Your Pollster Month! It's time to put an end to polling madness. Before there was fake news, there was polling. Virtually all polling results released to the public is agenda driven astroturfing. We the public should lie to our pollster no matter what the issue or the questions being asked. It doesn't matter if you're right or left or libertarian. The goal is to make polling so inaccurate and fallacious that the media gives up on this not so subtle form of propaganda and manipulation. Remember, so-called poll results are not news, they are the...

he Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows that 51% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Trump’s job performance. Forty-eight percent (48%) disapprove. The latest figures include 38% who Strongly Approve of the president is performing and 39% who Strongly Disapprove. This gives him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -1. (see trends). This is Trump’s highest Presidential Approval Index rating since early March of last year, shortly after he first took office.By comparison, Barack Obama earned a presidential approval index rating of -11 on October 5, 2010, in the second year of his presidency.

UPDATE: Uh Oh. Dems had a 10% edge in July on registered voters who said the election was very important. That edge was 2% Monday https://t.co/QpWRgOXm6L— James Arkin (@JamesArkin) October 3, 2018 ***Democrats needed something for 2018. For most of 2017-2018, the Left has just complained. Trump is doing this, that, or the other—and it’s wrong. Also, we’re in a constitutional crisis. If we were, and we weren’t, folks, then we’ve survived some 400 crises thus far. For a party that says institutional integrity has come under attack, they’ve remained firm despite the Trump White House’s phantom attempts to undermine...

A new round of Fox News battleground polls shows a Republican trend in the fight for the U.S. Senate. The GOP candidates are helped by increased interest in the election among Republicans and pro-Donald Trump sentiment. Arizona Kyrsten Sinema: 47% Martha McSally: 45% Indiana Joe Donnelly: 43% Mike Braun: 41% Missouri Claire McCaskill: 43% Josh Hawley: 43% North Dakota Kevin Cramer: 53% Heidi Heitkamp: 41% Tennessee Marsha Blackburn: 48% Phil Bredesen: 43%

WASHINGTON, D.C. -- During a week in which Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh defended himself before the Senate against sexual assault allegations, a growing percentage of Americans now have an opinion about whether he should be confirmed. Currently, 46% of Americans are in favor of the Senate confirming Kavanaugh and 45% are opposed, with 9% having no opinion. Three prior polls conducted between July and mid-September showed close divisions of opinion, but with more than twice as many as now having no opinion.

In slang terms a “beard” is someone who helps a homosexual hide his/her sexual preference. Permit me to take a journalistic liberty and say pollsters are using the Democrats’ disgusting conduct in the Kavanaugh hearings as a “beard” to hide their lies. Since the early spring Democrat leaning pollsters have been lying about the sentiment of the American electorate. They have repeated the same kind of “Hillary Clinton has a 95% chance of winning” lies over and over. They have insisted they were finding a blue wave coming and Democrats would take back the House and Senate. Because of its...

TALLAHASSEE, Fla. (WCTV) -- A recent survey of 800 likely voters in Florida shows that many of the races in the upcoming November election may be very close. The survey, conducted for Gray Television by Strategic Research Associates, LLC, collected results from Sept. 17 through Sept. 30. Here's a breakdown of the results: Governor's Race In the race for Governor, Democrat Andrew Gillum leads Republican Ron DeSantis 44% to 43%, with 12% undecided.

If the FBI finds no corroboration of the charges, 60 percent believe that Kavanaugh should then be confirmed, according to a weekend Harvard CAPS/Harris poll of 1,330 registered voters. In terms of the overall needle, after the testimony was heard, 37 percent say confirm the nomination, 44 percent say reject it, and 18 percent remain undecided, with Democrats going one way and Republicans the other. But once the voters are told that the named witnesses deny any knowledge of the allegation, this shifts to 57 percent who favor confirmation — and that goes up to 60 percent, if the FBI...

I haven't found any Polls since Thursday - I was hoping for a focus group or such. Should I read into that that perhaps they aren't going the media's way?

Judge Brett Kavanaugh’s Supreme Court confirmation has been top news for weeks, but voters don’t think the media is trying to do him any favors. A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that 47% of Likely U.S. Voters think when most reporters write or talk about Kavanaugh, they are trying to defeat his confirmation. Just eight percent (8%) think most reporters are trying to help Kavanaugh win the Senate confirmation, while 37% think most reporters are simply interested in reporting the news in an unbiased manner. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Political analyst Bill Schneider said on Monday that one of the biggest mistakes made by state pollsters in the 2016 presidential election is that they didn't give enough consideration to differences in voters' education. "One other mistake the pollsters made is they didn't weigh the results in the states by education," Schneider told Hill.TV's Joe Concha on "What America's Thinking." "Education has become a bigger and bigger factor in our politics, and it's been there for a while, differences by education, but [President] Trump has exaggerated them. There's a huge difference between the college-educated white voters and the non-college educated...

In a newly released YouGov poll about Brett Kavanaugh’s nomination to the Supreme Court, only 26 percent of respondents agreed that “the allegation of sexual assault against Brett Kavanaugh” made by California professor Christine Blasely Ford is “generally credible.” Conversely, 28 percent of respondents reported thinking that the allegation is “not credible” while the plurality of those polled either were “not sure” about the credibility of the allegation (14 percent) or hadn’t heard enough information to come to a conclusion (32 percent). YouGov pollsters conducted the survey with one thousand respondents on Monday and Tuesday, so the results represent Americans’...

Oh well another day, another pile of wishful thinking crap from a NeverTrumper, CNN or some polling “expert.” All of them are lying and trying to get you to decide there is no sense in voting. If you’ve already been convinced and are not voting skip the rest of this piece. For the others, those who want to think and not hyperventilate, please just don't accept this premise. In absolutely startling numbers Americans have told two polling companies the same thing about America’s satisfaction with the state of our economy. Two surveys that spoke to thousands of people found exactly...

Friday, September 14, 2018 Democrat Andrew Gillum holds a six-point lead over Republican Ron DeSantis in the race to be Florida’s next governor. The first Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey of the race finds that Gillum earns 48% support to DeSantis’ 42% among Likely Florida Voters. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, and eight percent (8%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.) Among voters who say they are certain to vote in the upcoming election, Gillum leads 49% to 44%.

With the midterms less than two months away and the economy firing on all cylinders, the Democrats, and their handlers, also known as the American media, are entering the panic zone. The midterms are the last chance for the left to stop the Trump train. Robert Mueller's investigation is shooting blanks. Mueller's Deep State cronies in the FBI and DOJ may be facing legal troubles of their own. Trump's popularity remains solid despite Hurricane Florence-strength media attacks against him each and every day. CNN and MSNBC are currently at Category 4 hurricane strength against President Trump. Expect to see this...

The NY Times and Siena College are polling the "tossup" Midterm districts. Of the polling done in September so far, 7 REPs are leading, 3 DEMs are leading and 1 tied race out of 11 districts polled (DECENT RESULTS FOR REPUBLICANS!) 5 more districts are being polled right now. Results can be viewed in Real Time. Republicans are leading in 3 of the 5. What is shocking to me is the very low response rate. For example, in Colorado 6, there have been 489 responses out of 26,456 phone calls. That is less than 2% taking the poll. How can...

Arizona's Senate race is in a dead heat, with Rep. Martha McSally (R) narrowly leading Rep. Kyrsten Sinema (D) by 1 point, according to a new poll. A Gravis Marketing poll found McSally ahead of Sinema 49 to 48 percent, a lead within the survey's 3.3-point margin of error. Three percent of voters are still undecided. Monday's survey is the first one this year where McSally, who recently won a competitive three-way primary, is polling slightly ahead of Sinema, who didn't face a fierce primary fight.