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The Democracy Institute, a politically independent public policy research organization, published a poll on Monday showing Donald Trump leading Hillary Clinton by five points. Democracy Institute was the only public poll to correctly predict Brexit, according to the organization’s press release. In the survey conducted Nov. 3 to Nov. 6 with 1,390 likely voters, Trump leads Clinton 50 percent to 45 percent. The results have a 2.5 percent margin of error.

It’s not just the presidency that’s at stake in the election — but also bragging rights for two prognosticators that are almost always right. This year, one of them is absolutely certain Donald Trump will be living in the White House, while the other is just as sure that Hillary Clinton can’t lose. Moody’s Analytics, which has picked the next president every year since 1980, says Clinton will make history as the first female chief executive, trouncing Trump with 332 electoral votes. That runs in sharp contrast to a model created by Helmut Norpoth, a political science professor at Stony...

Headline of the Day Poll When will the election be over? Early evening Late evening Wednesday Days or even weeks from now Read more: http://www.headlineoftheday.com/#ixzz4PQNsAKOw

MADISON - Wisconsin election officials have now received nearly 800,000 early ballots, far exceeding the number tallied in the two previous presidential elections. The latest figures from the Wisconsin Elections Commission show early voting continued to pick up steam last week in the ultra-conservative “WOW” counties – Waukesha, Ozaukee and Washington – and in Dane and Milwaukee counties, historically liberal strongholds. Early voting also spiked in Brown and Outagamie counties, which has a heated congressional race on Nov. 8 ballots.

The political consensus is virtually unanimous: If Hillary Clinton wins North Carolina, Donald Trump has to win every other competitive state to take the White House.

Interesting poll linked on Drudge. The crosstabs show Trump getting 26.22% of black vote, 40.71 of Latino vote, and 48% of Asian vote and almost 50% of female vote!

Headline of the Day Poll Final Pre-election Poll: Who are you voting for? Hillary Clinton Donald Trump Gary Johnson Jill Stein View Results Read more: http://www.headlineoftheday.com/#ixzz4PLENvR5t

Rasmussen Reports’ final White House Watch survey shows Democrat Hillary Clinton with a two-point lead over Republican Donald Trump with less than 24 hours to go until Election Day. Among early voters, Clinton has a double-digit lead. The latest national telephone and online survey of Likely U.S. Voters shows Clinton with 45% support to Trump’s 43%. Libertarian Gary Johnson picks up four percent (4%) of the vote, while Green Party candidate Jill Stein gets two percent (2%). Three percent (3%) still like some other candidate, and four percent (4%) remain undecided. Just 88% of all likely voters say they have...

With one day to go, Donald Trump extended his lead over Hillary Clinton, 43% to 41%, according to the latest IBD/TIPP presidential tracking poll. That comes after a third bombshell from FBI Director James Comey, who announced Sunday he would not indict Clinton for her email scandal. Trump's two-point lead now matches his largest so far during the 20 days of polling. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson gets 6% of the vote, Green Party candidate Jill Stein just 2%. In a two-way matchup that excludes the two third-party candidates, however, Clinton still holds a 43% to 42% lead over Trump, with...

Looking back at the polls in 2012, some predicted that Romney will win the popular vote...They were taken right before the election... Rasmussen: Obama 48% Romney 49% Gallup: Obama 49% Romney 50% They turned out to be wrong. Some were correct... ABC NEWS: Obama 50% Romney 47% Investor's Business Daily: Obama 50% Romney 49% http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html Only two polls showed Romney winning...Others showed either tie or Obama victory... On election day in 2012, I did not really have too much confidence that Romney will win...Do you remember what your feelings were 4 years ago on election day? In 2016, I am...

Donald Trump has pulled level with Hillary Clinton in Pennsylvania, at 46 percent each, according to a new poll by Harper Polling. The poll shows “signs of the race trending Trump in the waning days of the campaign, Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are tied in the Keystone state (46-46%, 2% Johnson, 1% Stein, 4% Undecided),” said a statement by Harper Polling, which earns a good score in Nate Silver’s ranking of polling firms. Trump’s gain in Pennsylvania could be decisive, because he needs to win one of the traditionally Democratic states to reach the victory line at 270 Electoral...

Headline of the Day Poll Why won't the FBI recommend charges over the Hillary emails? There has been no crime committed FBI Director Comey is a coward FBI Director Comey is corrupt Poll Location: http://www.headlineoftheday.com/#ixzz4PGapXK4B

Loudonville,NY . Hillary Clinton continues to lead Donald Trump by double digits, although the gap has narrowed a little to 17 points (51-34 percent), down from 24 points(54-30 percent ),according to a new Siena College poll of likely New York State registered voters released today.

CBS/YouGov Poll, Among Those Who Plan Voting On Election Day: Ohio: Trump 49 (+8) Clinton 41 Florida: Trump 51 (+16) Clinton 35

Donald Trump has moved into the lead over Hillary Clinton, 44% to 43% with two days left before Election Day, according to the latest IBD/TIPP presidential tracking poll. And the number of states in play is expanding.

Donald Trump has moved into the lead over Hillary Clinton, 44% to 43% with two days left before Election Day, according to the latest IBD/TIPP presidential tracking poll. And the number of states in play is expanding. The GOP and Democratic nominees had been tied for the prior four days. Libertarian Party pick Gary Johnson is at 5% while the Green Party's Jill Stein is at 2%. The readings for all candidates are the same in the unrounded IBD/TIPP poll data. A day earlier, Clinton led by 0.5 point. In a head-to-head matchup excluding third-party candidates, Clinton is ahead by...

Donald Trump has moved into the lead over Hillary Clinton, 44% to 43% with two days left before Election Day, according to the latest IBD/TIPP presidential tracking poll. And the number of states in play is expanding. The GOP and Democratic nominees had been tied for the prior four days. Libertarian Party pick Gary Johnson is at 5% while the Green Party's Jill Stein is at 2%.

A new Morning Call/Muhlenberg College poll shows Democrat Hillary Clinton with a 6-point lead among likely Pennsylvania voters, who also expressed some concerns about potential violence as the tense and tumultuous election draws to a close. When third-party candidates are included, Clinton's lead narrows to 4 points. She drew 44 percent, with Trump at 40 percent, Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson at 7 percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein at 2 percent.

http://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/iowa-poll/2016/11/05/iowa-poll-trump-opens-7-point-lead-over-clinton/93347134/?hootPostID=244ad51ae6af519614281eb8c6904b90

Trump Trails Clinton by Only 3 Points In New Mexico. Making up 2 Points Over The Last Week, 7 over the last 3 weeks. Johnson’s Polling Numbers Continue to Decline http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2016/Zia_Poll_November_4th_2016.pdf Johnson's home state