Posted on 11/08/2016 7:06:14 AM PST by ChicagoConservative27
It’s not just the presidency that’s at stake in the election — but also bragging rights for two prognosticators that are almost always right.
This year, one of them is absolutely certain Donald Trump will be living in the White House, while the other is just as sure that Hillary Clinton can’t lose.
Moody’s Analytics, which has picked the next president every year since 1980, says Clinton will make history as the first female chief executive, trouncing Trump with 332 electoral votes.
That runs in sharp contrast to a model created by Helmut Norpoth, a political science professor at Stony Brook University, that’s predicting Trump will be running the country.
Norpoth is sticking by the results of his model — which has correctly predicted the winner of every presidential election since 1912, with the exception of 2000 — despite most polls showing Clinton ahead by at least 3 percentage points.
(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...
The guy at SUNY Stony Brook. Works for me!
Hitlery is bad news.
All encouraging news welcome
Good Lord I hope he is right again
Looks good, but I am so tired of the hyperbole (INSANELY, BOOM!, ad nauseam...)
Was the 2000 election a case of calling the popular vote right but missing the electoral count?
Yeah...when somebody says or writes that something is “...insanely (insert adjective here) I feel like I’m reading banner ads on the AT&&/Yahoo home page.
Of the Clinton-picking poll:
“The biggest caveat for this model is it doesn’t take into account any personal characteristics about the candidates themselves,” White explained.
Everything that is not dominated by the MSM or pundit class is predicting a Trump win. Vote!
If you want POSITIVE Trump & voting news today, follow Bill Mitchell’s twitter feed ....
https://twitter.com/mitchellvii
You do not need a twitter account to see it. Bill has been deconstructing the polls for weeks now .... today, he’s getting a lot of first-hand accounts of the crowds at the polls, etc.
Hopefully we will hear our last “BOMBSHELL” too for awhile.
I see what you did there.
Assuming for a moment he gets it right again—and even if he doesn’t—I’ll be interested to hear how he might have factored in the vote fraud potential.
HF
Laura Ingraham is super positive today...she’s a Trump insider....Gooooo TRUMP!
Favorite tweet:
“For dinner tonight, Trump will be feasting on his two favorite Sushi dishes: Tsu and Nami.
Delicious.
6:52 AM - 8 Nov 2016
464 RETWEETS1,145 LIKES”
The dark helmut guy kind of bothers me. He has put himself into an incredibly good risk reward situation where if he is right he is going to prosper greatly and if he is wrong he just kind of fades away. Dark helmut does not make me feels good.
I’ve been following Bill for about 2 weeks because he’s so positive & I am praying he’s right about the polls. He’s got a pretty good sense of humor, too .... I just sent that tweet (via email) to a couple of people to cheer them up (MSM has them depressed, but they’ve voted Trump).
Yes, I noticed that. Quite a change from two weeks ago, when she and Hannity were practically crying in their beer because of the polls.
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