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Is American Jewry finally waking up from its love affair with the Democratic Party? That, at least, is the question that comes to mind when one considers some very interesting polling data that emerged recently. As odd as it may sound, Republican presidential candidate John McCain may just be poised to capture a significant percentage of the Jewish vote. Early last month, you'll recall, headlines blared in the US and Israeli press trumpeting the results of a Gallup survey conducted back in April which found that American Jews preferred Democratic hopeful Barack Obama by a margin of 61 to 32...

Thursday, August 21, 2008 Barack Obama leads John McCain by five percentage points in Pennsylvania for the second month in a row. Both candidates have lost some support from a month ago, with the Democrat now favored by 45% while his Republican opponent earns the vote from 40%. When “leaners” are included, Obama’s lead is down to just three points, 48% to 45%. A month ago, Obama led by six when leaners were included.

The presidential race in New Hampshire is now a toss-up. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the state finds that Barack Obama's once-double-digit lead over John McCain is down to a statistically insignificant one-point lead, 43% to 42%. When “leaners” are factored in, Obama is ahead 47% to 46%. Full demographic crosstabs are available for Premium Members. Time is running out to save on Premium Memberships. Sign up now and save. Learn More. The Democrat’s support has steadily decreased in the Granite State since he clinched the nomination in early June. Obama fell from an 11-percentage point lead in...

Senator McCain has taken a five-point lead over Senator Obama in the race for President, according to a Reuters/Zogby survey released today. The survey, conducted Aug. 14-16, included 1,089 likely voters nationwide and contained a 3% margin of error.

John McCain has grabbed the lead in a new opinion poll over rival Barack Obama, in the latest sign of accelerating momentum for the Republican as the key phase dawns in their White House battle.

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - In a sharp turnaround, Republican John McCain has opened a 5-point lead on Democrat Barack Obama in the U.S. presidential race and is seen as a stronger manager of the economy, according to a Reuters/Zogby poll released on Wednesday. McCain leads Obama among likely U.S. voters by 46 percent to 41 percent, wiping out Obama's solid 7-point advantage in July and taking his first lead in the monthly Reuters/Zogby poll. The reversal follows a month of attacks by McCain, who has questioned Obama's experience, criticized his opposition to most new offshore oil drilling and mocked his overseas...

Sen. John McCain has pulled a nickel ahead of Sen. Barack Obama in the Reuters/Zogby poll, marking the first time the Arizona Senator has taken any lead in this monthly poll. The poll conducted last Thursday through Saturday came on the heels of the Russian invasion of Georgia -- the same time period that Obama vacationed in Hawaii, giving McCain the advantage of reinforcing his foreign policy positions.

In a sharp turnaround, Republican John McCain has opened a 5-point lead on Democrat Barack Obama in the U.S. presidential race and is seen as a stronger manager of the economy, according to a Reuters/Zogby poll released on Wednesday. McCain leads Obama among likely U.S. voters by 46 percent to 41 percent, wiping out Obama's solid 7-point advantage in July and taking his first lead in the monthly Reuters/Zogby poll.

FReep This Poll! "Should the motto "In God We Trust" be removed from U.S. currency?" Yes. - It's a violation of the principle of separation of church and state. No. - The motto has historical and patriotic significance and does nothing to establish a state religion. Click onto the link provided. Vote your choice. Thank you FReepers.

Obama was once again out there defending his patriotism, this time to the VFW in Orlando. In a sign of desperation, Barry flat out accuses McCain of raising the issue. If anything, McCain is one of the few who is not talking about Obama's patriotism. People can question Obama's patriotism all day long, but they are most definitely not reading from McCain's talking points. Here is Obama whining to a group of military veterans about attacks on his patriotism. I wonder how many in the room wanted to listen to this guy slam a true blue American patriot. [snip] So...

Every Tuesday, I'm generating a map based on pollster.com's running averages of all reported state presidential polls and a map showing the trend. The map shows the states sized in proportion to their electoral votes.

On Eve of Obama Selection of Running Mate, McCain Takes Lead in Indiana Race for White House: In an election for President of the United States held today in Indiana, Republican John McCain defeats Democrat Barack Obama by 6 points, 50% to 44%, according to this latest SurveyUSA tracking poll conducted exclusively for WCPO-TV Cincinnati and WHAS-TV Louisville. Compared to an identical poll released eight weeks ago, Obama is down 3 points; McCain is up 3. Among those who regularly attend religious services, McCain leads by 28 points, up from 16 points eight weeks ago. Among those who occasionally attend,...

The presidential race remains tight, with respondents to a Times/Bloomberg poll choosing Obama by 45% to McCain's 43%, a statistical dead heat. Obama's race remains an issue with many voters. Barack Obama's public image has eroded this summer amid a daily onslaught of attacks from Republican rival John McCain, leaving the race for the White House statistically tied, according to a Los Angeles Times/Bloomberg poll released today. Far more voters say McCain has the right experience to be president, the poll found. More than a third have questions about Obama's patriotism. The survey also illustrates some of the campaign's racial...

Dear Friend, We have to find new sources of energy - here at home. It is difficult for a family to save and nearly impossible to plan long term if they don't know what the price of gasoline will be to fuel their cars when they wake up in the morning. It's clear we need to find more sources of energy. We also need to use less. As you know, Oklahoma native T. Boone Pickens has made news recently promoting wind farms across the great middle of our country. I recently introduced legislation in the Senate to promote the use...

Obama up by one. McCain looking good when this weekend poll ends.

“Over the last 10 years,” the just-released biennial news consumption survey from the Pew Research Center for the People and the Press determined, “virtually every news organization or program has seen its credibility marks decline” and “Democrats continue to give most news organizations much higher credibility ratings than do Republicans.” Based on past Pew polls, CNN touts itself as “the most trusted name in news,” but the percent who “believe all or most” of what CNN reports has fallen 12 points, to 30 percent, since Pew first posed the question in 1998. Yet, in a sign of how far the...

The AOL straw poll obviously tilts more towards McCain than any scientic poll - the latest has an astonishing 3-to-1 (76% - 24%) 50-state lead for McCain. I suspect AOL users are older and more white than the public at large. I think however it is useful for tracking trends - over the last 2 months it has exhibited weekly a consistent trend toward McCain. There was a huge drop-off in the last week for Obama. By way of calibration I found 2004 AOL straw poll data that showed Bush led Kerry by "only" 58% - 40% (48 states) on...

According to a KSTP exclusive new SurveyUSA poll, Barack Obama leads John McCain by two points, 47 to 45 percent in Minnesota. That's well within the three-point-eight percent margin of error. Four percent prefer another candidate. Only four percent are undecided. The poll not only shows a close race, but also points again to Minnesota voters becoming increasingly polarized. In the poll of 682 "likely voters," McCain has the support of 89 percent of republicans. Obama garners support from 86 percent of democrats. McCain has a narrow two-point lead among independents. McCain does have a bit of a gender-gap to...

NEW OPTIONS Last week, in the aftermath of Sen. John McCain's remarks that he might consider a pro-abortion vice presidential nominee for the bottom of his ticket, the Republican nominee's campaign polled identified conservative voters on their perceptions of former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty and Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal. "There has been very weak support from conservatives for Romney for months now, but faced with the prospect of a pro-choice vice president, Romney's numbers improved," says an adviser to the campaign with ties to Romney. "Pawlenty's and Jindal's numbers didn't improve as much." The problem for...

Barack Obama 275 John McCain 263

Raleigh, N.C. – John McCain has pulled even with Barack Obama in Ohio, according to the newest survey from Public Policy Polling. Obama had led in PPP’s June and July polls of the state. It’s 45-45 with 10% undecided. One factor causing Obama problems is that he’s not doing as good a job as McCain of getting folks in his party to vote for him. While McCain leads 89-7 among Republicans, Obama’s lead is a narrower 75-17 among Democrats. Obama has the 45-28 edge with independent voters. The Democrats neglecting to choose Obama are disproportionately white, female, and middle aged,...

Should the motto "In God We Trust" be removed from U.S. currency? Yes. It's a violation of the principle of separation of church and state. No. The motto has historical and patriotic significance and does nothing to establish a state religion.

Obama 228, McCain 163, Toss Ups 147 | No Toss Ups: Obama 295, McCain 243

A political battle for the ages may become a battle of the ages. Republican John McCain and Democrat Barack Obama are neck-and-neck in Colorado, solidifying the state as a key, swing area that will be pivotal in deciding who becomes the next president of the U.S., according to a Rocky Mountain News/CBS4 News poll released Friday. "It's a heck of a horse race in Colorado," said pollster Lori Weigel. "We're officially a purple state now." The poll revealed sharp divisions among voters by age and geography, with the candidates' approaches to economic issues a key to winning the state. "There...

Who do you think you will vote for in the Presidential election in November? Barack Obama: 41% John McCain: 40%

The Gallup daily tracking poll showed Barack Obama and John McCain tied at 44 percent Friday for the third time in two weeks.

Gallup Tracking: McCain 44% Obama 44% (ALL TIED UP)

ANOTHER INSTA-POLL...

Much of Barack Obama’s 12-point lead over John McCain has disappeared in Minnesota. He is now ahead of his Republican rival by only four percentage points 46% to 42%, according to the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Minnesota voters. With “leaners” factored in, Obama leads 49% to 45% (Demographic Crosstabs available for Premium Members.) Last month the Democrat had a 49% to 37% lead on McCain. In June he was ahead 52% to 39%. McCain is now supported by 91% of Republicans, up from 79% a month ago. Obama earns the vote from 89% of Democrats, down two points...

FLASH: RASMUSSEN Poll release at Noon Eastern: 47% Favor Fairness Doctrine for Radio, TV... 31% Want Government Requirement for Bloggers to Abide by Guidelines...

Steve Pearce has a poll on his web site and needs our help. Some libs have been targeting it and skewing it heavily to Obama.

With less than two weeks to go before the start of the presidential nominating conventions, Barack Obama's lead over John McCain has disappeared. Pew's latest survey finds 46% of registered voters saying they favor or lean to the putative Democratic candidate, while 43% back his likely Republican rival. In late June, Obama held a comfortable 48%-to-40% margin over McCain, which narrowed in mid-July to 47% to 42%.

Please grade Barack Obama on his campaign so far. A B C D F

New Poll: (Pew Research) Obama 46% McCain 43% (Mac closes gap over last 2 Pew polls)

Wednesday, August 13, 2008 The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday shows Barack Obama attracting 44% of the vote while John McCain earns 42%. When "leaners" are included, it’s Obama 48% and McCain 46%. (see recent daily results). Tracking Polls are released at 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time each day. Obama is supported by 12% of Republicans while McCain earns the vote from 16% of Democrats. The two candidates are essentially even among unaffiliated voters.

U.S. Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) continues to hold a narrow lead over U.S. Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) in Pennsylvania, edging his Republican rival by 5 points in the race for the state's 21 electoral votes, according to a new poll. The Franklin & Marshall College poll, released today, surveyed 641 registered voters from Aug. 4-Aug. 10. While Obama led 44 percent to 36 percent among all survey respondents, he led 46 percent to 41 percent among likely voters. With both candidates securing support from a large majority of their party's voters, Obama's lead, significantly, comes from the support of almost...

Two New Polls: FL(InAv) McCain 48% Obama 44% NC(SVUSA) McCain 49% Obama 45%

Every Tuesday, I'm generating a map based on pollster.com's running averages of all reported state presidential polls. (I was on vacation last week.) The map shows the states sized in proportion to their electoral votes. I've also added a graph showing the trend.

August 11, 2008 - Monday The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows Barack Obama attracting 45% of the vote while John McCain earns 43%. When "leaners" are included, it’s Obama 48% and McCain 46% (see recent daily results). Tracking Polls are released at 9:30 a.m. Eastern Time each day. Data released this morning shows that a majority of voters see media bias as a bigger problem in politics than big campaign contributions. At noon Eastern today, additional polling data will be released on the energy issue. Premium Members can get an advance look at that data and...

Obama Is Handily Winning...a little deduction from the polling Too many people use inductive reasoning, let's use deductive reasoning to figure this out. Just as a refresher, deduction moves from general to specifics, whereas induction looks at particulars and tries to make a generality. So lets start with assumptions (these are what you'll need to knock down) 1. Polling hasn't been reliable this cycle. 2. Polling companies want to get make correct predictions. 3 Given 1 and 2, polling organizations will be more cautious/conservative in their polling. 4. Getting the winner is far more important than the margin for political...

Almost 20 percent of women who voted for Hillary Rodham Clinton said they were now John McCain supporters, but Barack Obama was still leading in a poll of female voters. The Lifetime Network national poll showed that women were coalescing around their candidates but that neither had sealed the deal by breaking the 50 percent mark: Mr. Obama led Mr. McCain 49-38 percent. "Women will elect the next president," said pollster Celinda Lake, referring to the largest voting bloc in presidential elections. In most primary states, women were 55 percent or more of the electorate. Married women, who most often...

BOSTON, Mass. - August 06, 2008 - In Massachusetts, the presidential race has taken a surprising turn. This week, a Suffolk University poll reveals that Republican candidate John McCain now leads his Democratic rival Barack Obama among Bay State men by a margin of six points. WBUR's Fred Thys canvassed opinion among male voters in Boston to find out why. TEXT OF STORY: FRED THYS: First, the context: this is still a safe state for Democratic presidential candidates. The Suffolk University poll shows that overall, Barack Obama leads John McCain by 9 points. But among Massachusetts men, McCain is now...

In an election for President of the United States in Oregon today, 08/06/08, three months till votes are counted, Barack Obama edges John McCain 48% to 45%, within the survey's 4.0 percentage point margin of sampling error, according to this SurveyUSA pre-election poll conducted exclusively for KATU-TV Portland.

But a funny thing's happened on Obama's way to the White House. This potential game-changing demographic is beginning to sour on its onetime political crush. According to one recent poll, some young voters even appear to be doing the unthinkable - gravitating toward Obama's self-proclaimed "old-as-dirt" opponent. A freshly minted Zogby poll that grabbed headlines by highlighting a dramatic McCain comeback in the overall data also features a fascinating youth vote tidbit: "McCain gained 20% and Obama lost 16% among voters ages 18-29. Obama still leads that group, 49%-38%." ...As more young voters begin to perceive Obama as just another...

Rasmussen: John McCain is now trusted more than Barack Obama on nine out of 14 electoral issues tracked by Rasmussen Reports. The latest national telephone surveys find that McCain has the biggest advantage on the war in Iraq, by a 51% to 39% margin. Perhaps the most interesting finding of these polls is that McCain has expanded his leads on nearly every issue he had previously had the advantage on, while Obama’s leads have diminished over the past two weeks. Yeah, but Obama was soooo awesome in Berlin.

In a tit-for-tat exchange of campaign ads with the presumptive GOP nominee, Barack Obama's latest effort to identify his solutions for high gas prices did little to convince more voters to vote for the Democrat for president. According to a new national study conducted among 295 self-reported Republicans, Democrats and independents there was no movement in voter support after viewing a new energy ad by Obama.

Obama with solid lead in new poll

All the news that's fit to make up, YET AGAIN.... Since AP is LINK ONLY, or whatever, I'll do this as a PERSONAL Item. In this article, released just 5 hours ago, Titled, "Obama leads McCain nationally in AP-Ipsos poll" "A new poll finds Barack Obama is leading John McCain nationally by 6 percentage points thanks to big leads he is enjoying among women, minorities and younger voters. The Associated Press-Ipsos poll shows that Obama is leading his Republican rival 47 percent to 41 percent. McCain has a 10-point lead among whites and is tied with the Democrat among men,...

WASHINGTON (AP) -- Solid margins among women, minorities and young voters have powered Barack Obama to a 6 percentage point lead over John McCain in the presidential race, according to a poll released Tuesday. Obama is ahead of his Republican rival 47 percent to 41 percent, The Associated Press-Ipsos poll showed. The survey was taken after the Democratic senator from Illinois had returned from a trip to Middle Eastern and European capitals, and during a week that saw the two camps clash over which had brought race into a campaign in which Obama is striving to become the first African-American...

Obama builds modest lead