Free Republic

A FRiend recently pointed out that the opposite of 'trickle down' economics is 'trickle up'. How true! In any banana republic [such as the 'U' SA] the tyrant tops the economic food chain -- that's where the economy trickles up. And sometimes the minions are even more dangerous, such as Obama's 'subordinate', Hillary. View what she achieved already and then imagine her in the Oval Office [with her husband's experience to guide her] ... 1. Watered down AIDS medication [*a*] which should come as no surprise after their ... 2. Tainted prison blood scandal. [*b*] Anyone greedy enough to infect...

Capt'n obvious here again, but Ryan is a cowardly IDIOT and has his head up his arse! If Hillary is allowed to win the presidency, America as a free nation is over. Amnesty and open borders will allow millions of unvetted foreigners, Muslims, drug pushers, gangsters, criminals, terrorists, etc., who will not assimilate to flood into our country to Balkanize and colonize us. And she will stack the court with God-hating, constitution-hating liberal activist judges to destroy our individual liberties. She will complete Obama's plan to transform America from a free nation to a totalitarian communist third-world hellhole. Trump MUST...

I’m going to link an article as an example of the point I want to make here, even though this article is probably already a FR link. It’s from the LA Times: Transcripts: What the mics caught Donald Trump saying in 2005 and what he said in his taped apology. And it’s very nasty - not because it doesn’t tell the truth, but because of how it lies with the truth. It slams the transcript of Donald 11 years ago directly in to the transcript of his apology, same text, no visual or layout breaks. In other words, it very...

Matthew 7:3-5 “Why do you look at the speck of sawdust in your brother’s eye and pay no attention to the plank in your own eye? How can you say to your brother, ‘Let me take the speck out of your eye, when all the time there is a plank in your own eye? You hypocrite, first take the plank out of your own eye, and then you will see clearly to remove the speck from your brother’s eye. So the media is outraged by another Republican with yet another gotcha tape. With Romney it was the humiliation of women...

Previous Editions:September 24, 2016September 17, 2016September 10, 2016 (Premier Edition) Purpose of the Model This was asked of me earlier this week. Here is my reply. The purpose of my model over the years has never been to predict the outcome, as I am not a pollster gathering my own data. The purpose of my model has always been to reflect back the aggregate implications of the various polls that do exist, and leave it to the reader to draw insights and implications. Polls from different states with different margins of error are hard to conceptualize at an aggregate national...

Exodus 14:14 The Lord shall fight for you, and ye shall hold your peace. The sun came up in the east and the Establishmedia claimed Hillary the victor in the debate. Not having watched it as I was working on a log cabin on Smith River in California I heard that Trump blew it and had a horrible night. After watching the replay I questioned the validity of his losing the debate since his answers were actually very good. The next morning it was confirmed when an older guy named Phil, who nobody would ever notice in a crowd, but...

"When the issue of Mr. Obama's birth-right citizenship was first raised, it wasn't just my concern. It was concern for tens of millions of Americans. Quite frankly, there were legitimate questions, and the president could have answered all those questions in 24 hours. All he had to do was tell the officials in Hawaii to release his birth certificate. But he didn't. He dragged the issue on through the courts for almost 4 years, before he finally released a copy of his birth certificate. Why he dragged America through this for 48 months, rather than solving the problem overnight, we...

Those who are satisfied with business as usual will say Hillary won. Those who want higher taxes and bigger government will say Hillary. Those who think the Iran Nuke deal is a good deal will say Hillary. Those who think trade deals like NAFTA and TPP are great for America will say Hillary. Those who think inner city blacks and minorities have been treated great by the democrats and their socialist policies will say Hillary. Those who think Hillary will appoint great judges will say she won. Those who think Hillary can securely safeguard our nation's classified information and will...

Previous Editions:September 17, 2016September 10, 2016 (Premier Edition) Model Changes Since Last Week This week, I'm bringing back the "Tilt" designation. The Toss-Up category is being split into Tilt Democrat and Tilt Republican, but will not count towards the candidates' total. This will give visibility into how the toss up states are leaning. Maine has been split into the state and its two Congressional districts, in order to properly account for the likelihood that Maine CD-2 breaks with the state. I made a small change to the poll weighting algorithm to correct for turned off polls that were not outright...

John 14:6 Jesus saith unto him, I am the way, the truth, and the life: no man cometh unto the Father, but by me. Have the Pundiots declared Harpy the debate winner yet or are they going to wait til Monday, but enough about FOX SNOOZE. There is no question just like the primaries the experts are going to say she won on points, demeanor and knowledge while Trump failed in every phase of the contest. The Echo Chamber will get all wonky and completely miss the point of the debate and declare Trump the loser while the people will...

For weeks we have been treated to "Its his right to free speech" as Colin Kaepernick and a few others have taken a knee for the National Anthem (or in the case of the Philadelphia Eagles, a black power salute by three players). The NFL has backed these "protestors" even though the NFL has lost significant viewership, and hence, revenue, because of these antics. In addition, on a moral level, Kaepernick and company's "protest" has been on behalf of a hate group--black lives matter as well as other thugs who have called for murdering of policemen (several policemen have been...

Previous Editions:September 10, 2016 (Premier Edition) I made another significant change to the model from last week, as I continue to tweak the new system: I am aging the polls, giving more weight to recent polls. Last week, I was using the starting date of the poll as the basis of weighting. This week, I changed this to be the mid-point of the poll as the basis of weighting. Based on some targeted feedback, I added Ipsos/Reuters polls to the model. I was sourcing from Real Clear Politics, but they are not comprehensive in the polls they average. That said,...

I keep writing Trump's site that he should drop "the wall" terminology and replace it something a little more benign sounding...open to suggestions. California (of all places) built a double-fence with razor wire atop, lights, sensors, and a road in-between for BP patrols on less than a third of our border. It reduced Cali's illegal immigration by over 90%. That's why Arizona became such a big deal during the Minutemen days. From Yuma to Tucson there is nothing but wasteland and the Mexican border is far from the nearest hwy (I-8). It would take army size logistics to get the...

Like some of you, I've been a bit puzzled how this subliminal Clinton/Democrat partisan and ersatz political pollster Larry Sabato character found his way to Thomas Jefferson's UVA. Turns out old Larry, like Bill Clinton and many other left leaning double dome "experts", was a RHODES SCHOLAR! Jefferson must be whirling in his grave up the hill there in Charlottesville! Don't have bandwidth to explore that here but if YOU want to explore the Marxist roots of where we find ourselves today, pick up a copy of "Tragedy and Hope" (available several on-line sellers)) by Bill Clinton's old chum and...

One expert witness, Paul Rosenzweig, predicts fireworks during the First Panel: "I will be testifying as well, but on the second panel—the fireworks will be on the first panel, I'm sure." The first panel will include many in favor of multinational oversight for ICANN, and the questioning will likely get hot. While many in congress trust President Obama's plan, Paul Rosenzweig noted: "The Chairmen of the four relevant committees (Senate and House, Judiciary and Commerce), however, have called for the administration to reconsider its decision." ** Get that -- ALL FOUR chairmen [who are most informed about the controversy], and...

Well, Team Hillary has decided what "they" - and just WHO "they" are and WHO chose who "they" are is never asked - are going to do about Hillary's near-continual collapses and failures to finish events even during a sleepy, near comatose campaign schedule. The phrase is "Power Through" .... And you will see her slavishly devoted national press corpse suddenly use "Power Through" in dozens of excerpts and headlines the next few hours. All expressed in actual terms of relief and enthusiasm by a breathless propaganda national press corpse. It is a common, now routine Clintonian pattern. An event...

NEVER NEVER FORGET NEARLY 3,000 INNOCENT AMERICANS WERE MURDERED ON 9/11 IN THE NAME OF ISLAM BY EVIL COWARDLY MUSLIMS Click link below for the world's most famous 9/11 tribute video: Steve Golding VideoThis fantastic, moving website memorial was created by a survivor of 9/11, Steve Golding of New York City. It is the most viewed of all 9/11 memorials. It is now in the Smithsonian Museum. Music by Enya.

The media, the Democrat Party, Hillary's handlers, and the turncoat #NeverTrump'ers are reminiscent of the shopkeeper in the Monty Python "Dead Parrot" sketch.

Previous Editions:November 6, 2012 Post Mortem This is the premier edition of my 2016 state-by-state presidential election model. I made several significant changes to the model from the previous election cycle: The model no longer uses Rasmussen as the polling source. I moved to a poll averaging model based on the polls listed at Real Clear Politics. I do not use their poll averaging, I use my own method, but I use their listed polls. I am not using a random Monte Carlo simulation of 32,000 iterations. I now use a 1,000 iteration methodology based on Stochastic Information Packages developed...

On September 9th, at a Democrat fundraiser in New York City, Hillary Clinton labeled half of Donald Trump's supporters as a "basket of deplorables" made up of "racist, sexist, homophobic, xenophobic, Islamophobic" people. Many opinion and news commenters have called it Hillary's "47% Moment", likening her comments to Mitt Romney's comment that 47% of the population would never vote for him. They express distaste for her comments and reject her premises and conclusion. I would like to take a different tack: I feel we should embrace her comments, and wear them with pride. The German Kaiser Wilhem II called the...