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The following is an analysis of the 17 state polls adminstered by Rasmussen during the final days of the 2004 election, consisting of mainly "contested" and toss-up states. Findings: 1)In 17 Polls, Bush Was Underestimated in all 17, Kerry was Overestimated in 4 and correctly predicted in 2. Note that these polls also included a percentage of "undecided" voters. So to be "overestimated" is actually extremely difficult when 5-10% of voters do not even participate with a Bush/Kerry answer. If you remove "no comment" voters from the sample, Kerry's support is overestimated in almost every single state poll, while Bush...

Report just issues, mapes finally fired

COLUMBUS, Ohio, Dec. 5 -- When Ohio Secretary of State J. Kenneth Blackwell certifies the state's final presidential election results, declaring President Bush the winner by about 119,000 votes, critics say they intend to present two challenges. Lawyers representing voters upset about problems at the polls plan to contest the results with the Ohio Supreme Court, citing documented cases of long lines, a shortage of machines and a pattern of problems in predominantly black neighborhoods. In addition, third-party candidates, bolstered by a favorable federal court ruling, plan to file requests for a recount in each of Ohio's 88 counties. About...

Friday, Nov. 5, 2004 I hate it when they do that - write a column that not only says what I planned to write but also has almost the same title I had in mind. But when the writer is Ron Marr, one of the best down-to-earth columnists on the Internet, I simply doff my hat. Ron sets off his column with a quote from what he called a "well-coifed anchor" whose voice dripped "with derision and condescension" when he told his viewers: "What we don't realize is that there's a huge segment of the country that doesn't think like...

Scattered Thoughts as We Near the Election Do you sometimes get the feeling you are right and everyone else is wrong, that everyone is stupid except for you? We sure do. We get that feeling a lot. So when our story quoting a senior GOP veteran saying the presidential race would tighten and Kerry would actually enjoy a slight, marginal lead this week as voters took one last peek at the alternative to President Bush was greeted with jeers around the blogosphere, you could say we were aggravated. Our aggravation has only been accentuated when we consider that at least...

With the sad news of Chief Justice Rehnquist’s diagnosis of thyroid cancer, pro-life websites are abuzz about potential Supreme Court appointments. At 80, it is likely Justice Rehnquist will retire shortly and with G-d’s help and many prayers make a speedy recovery. Tuesday is the big day, and conservative pro-lifers must unite behind President Bush and re-elect him. Even if you disagree with many of the President’s more liberal policies (and I do) a Kerry victory would be disastrous. His contempt for our President, his inability to get past a “plan” for national security, his inexcusable voting record on the...

A couple of readers also are concerned about Democratic National Committee Chair Terry McAuliffe's comments on ABC that their exit polling shows democrats ahead by “double digits” in Florida and “ahead” in other parts of the country including in Iowa. I will see if anyone can confirm what McAuliffe is saying, but I offer you some relevant previous comments by McAuliffe on the final “Meet the Press” before Election Day 2002:

The newspapers have given their endorsements, the pollsters are agog over their daily tracking inconsistencies and I am immersed in reading something much more interesting. Community Magazine is “the most widely circulated Sephardic Magazine in the world,” as their website states, serving the Jewish community at large. The October issue’s cover story “Who’s Your Man?” by Dave Gordon reviews the issues of most concern to the Jewish people and which candidate would be more supportive of Israel. For opinions and a candidate comparison, they consulted four experts on Middle East policy: Joseph Farah, journalist and publisher of World Net Daily,...

Interesting Results, while Bush won nationlly 52-47, and comments were made that Ohio and Florida were close, it stated Pennsylvania went with Bush at 57%. Generally kids follow thier Parents leads. Now I know that doesn't include all seniors, singles etc.. But that is a pretty wide percentage and possibly telling.

MSNBC Online Poll Bush 59% Kerry 41% Ralph Nader 1% 707,892 votes

Sorry for the "Vanity" post, but this might be significant: New Zogby poll being conducted today includes several pages of very well thought out "Ad Research Focus Group" stuff. Majority of entire poll form devoted to researching effective Political Ad potential of simi-subliminal points. Many "Freedom vs. Safety" & "US Dominance vs. Global Approval" etc. Most bizzare question: "For President would you vote for: (1) The Tin Man, who has a brain but no heart, - or (2) The Scarecrow, who has a heart, but no brain. I did not make that up -- it was on the form. I...

The top 5 points: Bush won 3 of them.

Rumours have been, that there is a force out there created by the Democratic National Committee, encouraging (strongly), Democrats to manipulate internet polls, immediately after the debates. This strategy seems to be working, and the left-leaning media, continues to report their "un-scientic" polls (as they call them) without dismissing them as they should. Even smaller political websites, such as www.rightliner.com, have been influenced dramatically, along with msnbc.com, cnn.com, etc. It is possible that an impression might be made by the left, that Kerry is in fact winning these debates - overwhelmingly, while in fact not doing so at all. This...

See Poll

October 5, 2004 ADVERTISING Kerry Ads Draw on Saudis for New Attack on Bushes By JIM RUTENBERG n the final month of the campaign, Democrats are increasingly tying the White House to the Saudi Arabian royal family, a line of attack that they say is highly effective, but it has stirred concern among Saudi officials. Senator John Kerry and the Democratic Party introduced two new advertisements this weekend that criticize President Bush's administration as giving the family "special favors" and as having an overreliance on Saudi Arabia for oil. And the Media Fund, a Democratic group, said yesterday that it...

Insight's "Bush Won!!" Posted October 1, 2004 By Adam Yoshida "As has been pointed out at length over recent days, the final verdict on any debate takes two or three days to be rendered. But let me try and pre-empt that now: Bush won not only the debate but, in all probability, the election. Senator Kerry stood up well but, once more, he didn't say anything. In fact, coming out of the debate, I'm less clear as to what Kerry actually thinks about Iraq and the broader War on Terrorism than I was before I went in. Kerry's managed to...

Several indicate they will not be bound by limits on cameras Although the Bush and Kerry camps have meticulously crafted an agreement on the rules for this year's presidential debates, the television networks broadcasting them refuse to go along with the plans.

President Bush has set a debate trap for John Kerry that will force him to take positions opposed by a large percentage of his backers, former top Clinton strategist Dick Morris said Monday. "What's happened is that Bush has set up a trap for Kerry," Morris told Fox News Channel's "Hannity & Colmes." "He has so emphasized Kerry's flip-flopping, so-called weakness, vacillation, all that stuff, that Kerry has to take strong positions in the debate." That will force Kerry to make his position clear once and for all on Iraq, the top strategist said - which will inevitably cost him...

SPRING GREEN - Invoking images he hoped would resonate with local voters, presidential candidate John Kerry talked Monday of America's love for the Green Bay Packers, his memories of working on his uncle's dairy farm and fishing trips as a child during a 90- minute town-hall style meeting at River Valley Middle School. Kerry even held up a copy of the Wisconsin State Journal and answered three questions posed by readers. And he tried out his humor on the local crowd with a jab at President Bush's leadership - and the fact that he's 5 inches taller than Bush. Kerry...

Cal Thomas advises Kerry & Bush on debate strategy Cal Thomas Debate advice and questions Will many people watch the "debates," which resemble joint news conferences? The rules are so strict that the candidates don't engage each other. One-third of homes with television sets watched the first 2000 presidential debate between Gov. George W. Bush and Vice President Al Gore. The first debate traditionally draws the most viewers, possibly including those precious "undecideds," so here is some unsolicited advice and suggested questions for both candidates. For Sen. Kerry: You have the most to prove. You are a rich, elitist Massachusetts...

When it comes to presidential debates, it seems size does matter. John Kerry, a 6-foot-4-inch Democrat, poked fun on Monday at George W. Bush, the 5-foot-11-inch Republican president for reportedly insisting that podiums be set far apart to offset his opponent's five-inch height advantage. The Massachusetts senator told a town hall meeting in Spring Green -- where he is rehearsing -- that voters should not be afraid of changing commanders in chief in the midst of war with Iraq and the battle against terror. "You know when your horse is headed down toward the waterfalls or when your horse is...

Cornfields have turned from summer green to wispy stalks of beige. Only a few melons remain in their bins. But in the Farm Belt of northwest Ohio unlike much of the state the election has yet to ripen for harvest. (snip) It's no surprise that Kerry, a Democrat, draws cheering crowds in the Industrial Heartland of Northeast Ohio, nor that Bush owns the reliably Republican Southland of southwest Ohio. But the president also is outpolling Kerry in the state's growing Exurbia, central Ohio, and in the hills of Appalachia. That leaves the 21 Farm Belt counties typically conservative but independent...

Jennifer Loven is the AP reporter responsible for the over-the-top biased article "Bush, Kerry Twisting Each Other's Words" filed today. As noted in that thread, she is also author of a hit piece back in June pretending that the Bush Administration was being damaged by Richard (Yellowcake Fraud) Clarke: "Bush not able to dispel questions"HEREWhat is not known is that she has NO BUSINESS covering the Presidential campaign or the Presidency in general for the following reasons (hat tip to PowerLine Blog): 1. Her husband, Roger Ballentine, has donated over $7000 to various Democrat candidates and the DNC in the...

what does this mean for Bush? 58 percent say they want major changes, compared with only 9 percent who say they want his second term to look a lot like his first term.

Bush/Kerry animated short - it is hilarious! However, let me warn you, the size of the clip is 3.7 megabites, so it takes time to download (depending on the speed of your connection). You need Macromedia Flash Player http://www.jibjab.com/

I propose that this forum post the best and worst photos of the candidates today. Those of you that have any to post, post your favorites. I never tire seeing the photos of George Bush throwing a football at an NFL camp, or a strike from the mound at Yanke Stadium. I enjoy also those photos of Kerry catching a football with his eyes closed, throwing a football like a ballet dancer, ejecting a cartridge from his shotgun with his eyes closed etc. In photos we see the clear makeup and differences between these men. Nick

UNTIL President Bush began his speech on the final night of the Republican National Convention, the goal of the United States' anti-terror policy was perceived by a largely supportive public as a bid to assure safety. With a rhetorical flourish worthy of the great speeches of all time, George W. Bush has transformed the war into a battle for liberty. In a speech that was at once eloquent and substantive, sensitive and dynamic, profound and familiar, Bush has risen to a level few presidents have ever reached. Sometimes a strategist just has to sit back and gasp. Occasionally, a seasoned...

September 3, 2004 -- THE world will little note nor long remem ber George W. Bush's speech last night. It wasn't his finest hour by a long shot, though it did feature a remarkably moving account of the sacrifices of the families of veterans who have fought for freedom since 9/11. "I am awed," he said, "that so many have used those meetings to say that I am in their prayers — to offer encouragement to me. Where does strength like that come from? How can people so burdened with sorrow also feel such pride? It is because they know...

John Kerry and George W. Bush remain tied in the race for president both among Americans registered to vote and among likely voters according to a nationwide survey from the American Research Group, Inc. In the ballot preference between Kerry and Bush among registered voters, 48% say they would vote for Kerry and 46% say they would vote for Bush. When Ralph Nader is added to the ballot, 46% of registered voters say they would vote for Kerry, 45% say they would vote for Bush, and 3% say they would vote for Nader. Among registered voters considered likely to vote...

The latest Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll shows President George W. Bush with 49% of the vote and Senator John Kerry with 45%. This is the first time that Bush has reached the 49% mark in the Tracking Poll since Kerry wrapped up the Democratic nomination on Super Tuesday (March 2). It's also the first time Bush has been up by four points since April 26. Kerry reached 49% a few times following his convention but neither candidate has yet reached the 50% mark. Today, at 3:00 p.m. Eastern, we will release favorable/unfavorable ratings for Bush, Kerry, McCain, Schwarzenegger, and...

ALBUQUERQUE, N.M. (AP) - President Bush on Wednesday pushed back against John Kerry's criticism of his handling of Iraq, saying, ``I know what I'm doing when it comes to winning this war.'' Bush used a re-election rally to sharply reject Democratic challenger John Kerry's proposal to begin to withdraw troops from Iraq within six months of taking office. ``We all want the mission to be completed as quickly as possible. But we want the mission completed,'' the president said. ``The mission is not going to be completed as quickly as possible if the enemy thinks we will be removing a...

August 2, 2004 Jewish Republicans "Stacking" Bush-Kerry Internet Poll In this edition of NJDC's News Digest: The Forward reports today, "The director of Jewish outreach for Bush-Cheney '04, Michael Lebovitz, is trying to stack an online presidential poll at the Jewish Telegraphic Agency's Web site, according to an e-mail message from him that is making the rounds." At the time of this e-mail, JTA's unscientific Internet poll shows Bush/Cheney leading Kerry/Edwards by a margin of 53 percent to 38 percent, respectively. For purposes of comparison, a Gallup Organization report in May determined that "the data reviewed in this report continue...

At Catholics Against Kerry, we encourage Catholics to consider several questions when they vote: 1) Are Senator Kerry’s political positions, campaign themes, and voting records Catholic positions, themes, and records? 2) Should Catholic charities and hospitals be forced to provide contraceptives and abortions? California and New York both require Catholic Charities to provide contraceptive insurance coverage. Now the people behind these bills want to force Catholic hospitals to provide abortions. Kerry states that he “supports requiring insurance plans to cover contraception” and he cosponsored a bill requiring all Catholic employers to provide all forms of birth control, including the abortifacient...

Which one do you trust?

March 1, 2004--The Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll today shows George W. Bush at 49%, John F. Kerry at 45%, and "some other candidate" at 3%. For the past seven days, the President's support has ranged from 47% to 49%. The Senator from Massachusetts has been steady at 45% on six of those seven days. The President's campaign team will begin television advertising on Thursday. This is likely to have an impact on the polling data over the next several weeks. Bush Job Approval: 55% Bush Job Approval Strongly Approve 35% Somewhat Approve 20% Somewhat Disapprove 14% Strongly Disapprove 31%...