Posted on 02/05/2016 5:58:07 AM PST by justlittleoleme
A new NBC/Marist poll finds Donald Trump with a 13-point lead in New Hampshire, down 6 points from the middle of January. With the state voting Tuesday, Trump has 30 percent support, followed by Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) with 17 percent and Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX)with 15 percent.
Trump’s support is unchanged from two earlier NBC polls of the Granite State, going back to the beginning of January. Trump’s lead has shrunk as both Rubio and Cruz have gained support in the past two weeks.
Rubio has gained 6 points since mid-January, while Cruz has gone up 3 points. Rubio’s support is still fluid, however, as 13 percent of his supporters say they could still change their mind. Only 6 percent of Trump and Cruz supporters say they might change their mind.
-snip-
Trump leads among “moderates” and “somewhat conservative” voters, who together make-up 60 percent of the Republican electorate. Cruz leads among “very conservative” voters by 22 points. These voters, however, make up just 20 percent of the total.
Trump’s lead is strongest among male voters, voters under 30, those earning less than $50,000 a year and those with a high school education or less. These are among the toughest voters to turn out in an election. Getting them to the polls will be a high priority for the Trump campaign.
The good news for Trump in the poll is that his support is very solid at 30 percent. Almost 80 percent of his supporters say they are definitely voting for him. The bad news, though, is he seems to have little opportunity to grow his support.
Trump is the second choice for only 10 percent of voters, far less than either Rubio or Cruz. In fact, when first and second choices are combined, the race between Trump and Rubio is essentially tied.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
At this point, I fear the progressives more than the Democrats. Give the Democrats a good reason to cross over from their broken party and I bet they ll be willing to move a bit right in the process.
They re not going to move much righter than Trump though and a full fledged preaching conservative isn't going to win.
Ted Cruz coming on strong...go TED!
I’m expecting some Trump tweets about Rubio soon.
Rubio & Cruz cant win working class voters the same way Trump can.
Cruz is too thinktankish.
Rubio is just a piece of trash.
Ted Cruz fake-Christian act is straight from Jimmy Carter playbook.
The stuff about Rubio will come soon enough. I mean who bills the whole family’s trip to yhe reunion on the RPOF credit card? He got a lot of attention and sucess before he was mature enough to deal with it the right way.
Cruz got a little surge of enthusiasm after Iowa which quickly faded after the Carson thing came out. Just like in the nightly Free Republic Caucus when Cruz surges Trump drops and when Trump surges Cruz drops. This implies that there are people who continue to vacillate between Trump and Cruz. The two camps are fighting over many of the same voters.
It is not a good idea for either one of them to alienate these vacillating people. That is why Trump has laid off Cruz even if he still feels like Cruz is playing dirty. Cruz has hired the best experts in the business to help him win. They also are aware that to keep Rubio from overtaking him and becoming a formidable foe that they need to cool it. There are a lot of people who haven't got the memo. Getting them to stop battling is like trying to get your dog to stop barking at the mail man.
Santorum and Gingrich both got 9.4 percent in NH primary in 2012, both with just over 20,000 votes. So Cruz may run slightly ahead of Santorum. Romney got 40 percent, 98,000 votes. Will Trump match Romney?
Is Cruz constitutionally eligible to be president? or do we care?
In New Hampshire, Saturdayâs debate showdown could swing GOP race
Trump is at 30 , and the competition has come to 1/2 of Trump’s number, and they say Donald is Flat when he is up 15 points with 1 day left?
Man , the poll analysis actually shows how much the little lefty number crunchers and weeny light weight reporters hate Trump... “ he flat!’ Buahahahahahahahaha !
I hope Trump wins New Hampshire coming and going.
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