Posted on 02/05/2016 5:58:07 AM PST by justlittleoleme
A new NBC/Marist poll finds Donald Trump with a 13-point lead in New Hampshire, down 6 points from the middle of January. With the state voting Tuesday, Trump has 30 percent support, followed by Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) with 17 percent and Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX)with 15 percent.
Trump’s support is unchanged from two earlier NBC polls of the Granite State, going back to the beginning of January. Trump’s lead has shrunk as both Rubio and Cruz have gained support in the past two weeks.
Rubio has gained 6 points since mid-January, while Cruz has gone up 3 points. Rubio’s support is still fluid, however, as 13 percent of his supporters say they could still change their mind. Only 6 percent of Trump and Cruz supporters say they might change their mind.
-snip-
Trump leads among “moderates” and “somewhat conservative” voters, who together make-up 60 percent of the Republican electorate. Cruz leads among “very conservative” voters by 22 points. These voters, however, make up just 20 percent of the total.
Trump’s lead is strongest among male voters, voters under 30, those earning less than $50,000 a year and those with a high school education or less. These are among the toughest voters to turn out in an election. Getting them to the polls will be a high priority for the Trump campaign.
The good news for Trump in the poll is that his support is very solid at 30 percent. Almost 80 percent of his supporters say they are definitely voting for him. The bad news, though, is he seems to have little opportunity to grow his support.
Trump is the second choice for only 10 percent of voters, far less than either Rubio or Cruz. In fact, when first and second choices are combined, the race between Trump and Rubio is essentially tied.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
Curious to see the effect that any media traction had on Cruz’s “questionable” tactics in Iowa....
I think this may be why Trump is saying that he is no longer interested in complaining about how Cruz won Iowa. It wasn’t moving the needle enough.
A vote for Trump is a vote for deal-making, malleable betrayal with the Democrats.
The bigger question is how will the voters view Trump’s Sore Loserman tantrum.
Trump blew through several political norms - against acting like a sore loser, against making ridiculously unfounded allegations, and, as always, against juvenile name-calling - by lashing out at Cruz for allegedly stealing the Iowa caucuses in the political crime of the century...
The cheating charge is typical Trump. In this case, it's hard to know where the line is between political calculation (regaining control of the media narrative, driving a wedge between Cruz and Carson, etc.) and the elemental desire for revenge against a competitor who bested him.
- today's NY Post editorial
What I want to know is why Trump is spending all his time attacking Cruz and letting amnesty Rubio skate if Trump is really so opposed to amnesty.
“I think this may be why Trump is saying that he is no longer interested in complaining about how Cruz won Iowa. It wasn’t moving the needle enough.”
It is ok to point out your opponents weaknesses, but at some point you have to give the voters a reason to vote for you, and explain why you would be better.
A person will more likely get out and vote for somebody they like than as a protest vote against somebody they don’t like.
That is one of a multitude of reasons why Romney and McCain lost the presidential elections.
[The bigger question is how will the voters view Trump’s Sore Loserman tantrum.]
I would guess the same way they viewed his:
1) John NcCain is not a war hero
2) Megyn Kelly is a menstruating bimbo
3) His alleged “mock” of a media report
4) Barrage on Dr Ben Carson’s questionable past
...and everything else that was supposed to sink him.
[What I want to know is why Trump is spending all his time attacking Cruz and letting amnesty Rubio skate if Trump is really so opposed to amnesty]
Because he knows Christie and Bush will be double teaming Rubio at this next debate. They already hinted to it.
Plus he needs to finish off Cruz for good and limit it to a two-man race.
But see http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3393178/posts
Yet another example of why polls are useless.
“A vote for Trump is a vote for deal-making, malleable betrayal with the Democrats.”
I see you are still grinding away with the malleable crap started by your new mentor, Bubba Carter.
Looks like you are still avoiding my challenge to you to explain away the votes Cruz made that demonstrated just how very MALLEABLE he is when he has to stop his rhetoric and actually show where he stands by actually voting -— his vote for TPA and the Corker bill, etc., votes that warm the hearts of globalists like Jimmah Carter, Paul Ryan, and the rest of the uniparty members.
-Jimmah says "malleable"
Today’s UMass Lowell NH “daily” rolling poll has Trump up 21 points over Rubio
http://www.lowellsun.com/todaysheadlines/ci_29479779/umass-lowell-poll-has-rubio-rise-granite-state
At some point, either one of his verbal flops will sink him, or the weight of them all may do it... or maybe his supporters will vote for him even if he kills someone on camera. However, Iowa seems to have shown that even when he pulls in record crowds, they don’t always vote for him. Cruz got more Iowa GOP Caucus votes than anyone, ever, while polling in second. Trump gets people off their butts and into the arena, but once there, they are apparently voting for more than a great media personality.
His cult followers will follow him all the way off the cliff. Trump has a 30% following among Republicans, which means about 10% of the electorate. He has heavy negatives among the general population reaching around 70%.
The more he acts like a spoiled rich kid and throws tantrums and makes insults, the more the negatives will cement.
I used to think Trump could win the election hands down, but I see cracks in the dike. Eventually he is going to say something that will sink him.
If Cruz is knocked out of the race (which seems to be Trump’s goal, then I predict that most of the support that Cruz has will go to the Rubio or other candidates.
Ultimately I think this race may end up in a three way tie for delegates which means that it will be decided at the convention. Trump will lose and cry and probably go third party just to spite the Republican party.
If you look at this election in an objective way, I think that you could conclude that Trump is not in it to win it, but he is in it to destroy the GOP.
Polls are all over the place. Quinnipiac: Trump And Rubio Up, Cruz Down http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3393178/posts
Yet Mc Cain says Cruz is dangerous nothing against Trump
So throw the Mc Cain quote up.
think this may be why Trump is saying that he is no longer interested in complaining about how Cruz won Iowa. It wasn’t moving the needle enough
Or just maybe somebody pointed out to him that no Republican can win the Prez without the conservative vote. They can win the primary (Dole, McCain, Romney etc) but that ends it. The conservatives do not vote for them.
Early on, I would have voted for either Trump or Cruz. Now I will not vote for Trump. A lot of other conservatives feel that way too.
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