Posted on 01/31/2016 7:31:08 AM PST by nwrep
Predictions for Iowa Caucus: 2016 Presidential Elections
Please put your predictions on this thread.
Latest Poll:
R: Trump-Cruz-Tubio: 28-23-15 D: Clinton-Sanders: 45-42
I have heard from more than one campaign that this new Microsoft system is quite good. We need to get the Santorum/Romney debacle of 4 years ago behind us.
Iowa GOP caucus rules have changed for this election. Monday night will be a secret-ballot primary in all but name, absolutely binding 27 national delegate votes to the presidential preference results.
Normal caucus business will take place after the presidential preference vote.
This is good to know. The Paul folks tries to hijack the delegates at the convention.
I think you misunderstand me. I said in the nicest way I know how that I don’t think Ivanka is presidential material. I never said she wasn’t nice or smart. She is both. Just because somebody’s dad runs for President is a poor reason to suddenly start projecting them for President. You have no foundation for it. The girl has so far done nothing in life that would lead anyone to believe she is capable of being President. Shes’s like 32 years old and as far as I know has not evidenced any desire for politics.
Trump 31, Cruz 22, Rubio 21.
I didn’t bring her up. Another poster did, and projected it forward 12 years.
She’s helping to run her dad’s empire right now, and that’s already more top level private sector experience than Ted has.
I don’t care if she runs or not. I don’t advocate for it. I simply state she’s no light weight and could easily fill that bill > IMO.
Who knows, it may be Ivanka vs Chelsea the way Democrats operate.
At this point can we agree that we have exhausted all interest in discussing Ivanka for President? :-)
I’m not the one that jumped on the idea with both feet.
Is that the same set of rule for Democrats ? If it is Clinton v. Sanders on a secret ballot I would give the edge to Hillary.
I’m going out on a limb and adding a big +factor for Trump and for Sanders. I don’t think people realize how big of a zeitgeist has gotten behind either of them.
Trump 43% Cruz 23%
Sand 51% Clinton 38%
Trump 29, Cruz 24, Rubio 19, Carson 10.
I wanna see who is the best Freeper Forecaster. ; )
After the Cruz mailing, that could happen.
But, the Iowa ethanol issue is what might actually push his numbers as high as you are saying.
It is people’s jobs. And every one of them have fathers, mothers, siblings, cousins, etc. And they say at New Year’s get together, “it’s my job if they screw this up.”
So, it’s not just the one man’s job. It’s all the family united to protect him.
On the D side, Bernie's peeps are way under polled. Bernie is going to win by a substantial margin.
Democrats Bernie 52%, Hillary 45%, O'Malley 2%, and uncommitted will have a percent
Republicans Cruz 32%, Trump 30%, Rubio 12%, Carson 8%, Paul 8% (the only ones above 5%)
I have my nose to the ground here on this stuff. I'm just not seeing the interest of a massive turnout to attend the caucuses.
My prediction:
More bickering at FR
We’ll get over it.
Trump, Cruz, Rubio, the rest of the Pubbie field;
I concur, Sanders over Hitlery, her internal polling can’t be showing such a long lead over Sanders that she’d be saying the stuff about Iowa (and gun confiscation) that she’s been saying during her east coast swing. Either she’s too drunk to care, or she’s behind and can’t quite catch up.
Nice touch.
I think you are right. Cruz in 3rd
Iowa Democrats have completely different set of rules. They retain the caucus format, where supporters must pick a candidate that meets a threshold (15%, I think) to qualify for a delegate to the next level. I believe Dems also have an odd formula for allocating votes.
How the Iowa caucus works â and why it’s different from New Hampshire’s primary
Jan. 30, 2016 at 1:04 PM
Eun Kyung Kim
http://www.today.com/news/how-iowa-caucus-works-why-it-s-different-new-hampshire-t69301
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.