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Sabato's Crystal Ball (Larry Predicts a 2nd Term for Obama)
Center for Politics ^ | November 5, 2012 | Larry Sabato

Posted on 11/05/2012 8:01:38 AM PST by Livin_large

With a slight, unexpected lift provided by Hurricane Sandy, Mother Nature’s October surprise, President Barack Obama appears poised to win his second term tomorrow. Our final Electoral College projection has the president winning the key swing states of Colorado, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, Ohio and Wisconsin and topping Mitt Romney, with 290 electoral votes.

This has been a roller-coaster campaign, though very tight ever since Romney dramatically outshone Obama in the first debate in Denver on Oct. 3. Yet for a challenger to defeat an incumbent, the fates must be with the challenger again and again. Who could have imagined that a Frankenstorm would act as a circuit-breaker on the Republican’s campaign, blowing Romney off center stage for three critical days in the campaign’s last week, while enabling Obama to dominate as presidential comforter-in-chief, assisted by his new bipartisan best friend, Gov. Chris Christie (R)?

(Excerpt) Read more at centerforpolitics.org ...


TOPICS: Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: election; poll; romney; sabato
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I am not a fear monger, nor do I want to spread doom and gloom among my fellow Freepers. I do like to look at all information, even if I don't agree with it, so look this over and take it for what it's worth...hopefully nothing!

Regardless of what any poll say's, I've been waiting feverishly for four years to vote against Obama...again! and tomorrow I'll do just that!

Pray for our nation!

1 posted on 11/05/2012 8:01:39 AM PST by Livin_large
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To: Livin_large

Fox News will drop Larry from their talking head rotation after tomorrow - if they are smart!


2 posted on 11/05/2012 8:04:42 AM PST by Red_Devil 232 (VietVet - USMC All Ready On The Right? All Ready On The Left? All Ready On The Firing Line!)
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To: Livin_large

Larry, as usual, is full of a couple things. Himself for one. Everyone knows the other.


3 posted on 11/05/2012 8:05:30 AM PST by John W (Viva Cristo Rey!)
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To: Livin_large

Sebato is an idiot. He wanted an Obama win from the start. I’ll take the prediction of an expert like Barone over some teachers lounge chuckle head.


4 posted on 11/05/2012 8:05:49 AM PST by Viennacon
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To: Livin_large

Sobato basically believes there is going to be clean sweep of all the remaining swing states, that’s a pipe dream and goes against most of the prevailing data. Romney is not likely to lose NH, CO, OH, IA, and WI. Even if he loses, he’ll win a couple of those.


5 posted on 11/05/2012 8:06:13 AM PST by ilgipper (Obama supporters are comprised of the uninformed & the ill-informed)
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To: ilgipper

Sabato was one of the reasons Virginia went for the Kenyan in 2008.


6 posted on 11/05/2012 8:09:16 AM PST by NKP_Vet
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To: ilgipper

Sadly......Sebato has always been an Obamabot!!! Without going into detail, Sebato is dead wrong on many counts. Nice fellow....but his mind is cloude by
Obama “bias”, always has been!!! Romney wins in a landslide!!!


7 posted on 11/05/2012 8:11:38 AM PST by JLAGRAYFOX ( My only objective is to defeat and destroy Obama & his Democrat Party, politically!!!)
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To: Livin_large

8 posted on 11/05/2012 8:12:29 AM PST by frankenMonkey
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To: ilgipper

Sadly......Sebato has always been an Obamabot!!! Without going into detail, Sebato is dead wrong on many counts. Nice fellow....but his mind is clouded by
Obama “bias”, always has been!!! Romney wins in a landslide!!!


9 posted on 11/05/2012 8:12:35 AM PST by JLAGRAYFOX ( My only objective is to defeat and destroy Obama & his Democrat Party, politically!!!)
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To: Livin_large
It's an opinion. Opinions are like noses...
As others have said on this board, if our nation is so full of voters that would ignore the incredibly destructive effects this socialist wannabe administration has had on our economy and nation, then we have more to worry about than this election. Having said that, I'm absolutely done with Christie. He could have played this much, much better.
10 posted on 11/05/2012 8:13:05 AM PST by pieceofthepuzzle
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To: Livin_large

Sabato slithers out from under his rock at the 11th hour and unburdens himself of his fondest wishes.

Too bad faculty positions aren’t performance-based.

(And to think Mrs. Bears is a UVA grad.)


11 posted on 11/05/2012 8:13:41 AM PST by Arm_Bears (Be cheerful, be confident, and VOTE!!)
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To: NKP_Vet

He has earned the moniker Larry ‘Sabotage’.


12 posted on 11/05/2012 8:16:37 AM PST by MissMagnolia (Being powerful is like being a lady. If you have to tell people you are, you aren't. (M.Thatcher))
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To: JLAGRAYFOX

Hopefully it will be a landslide! These building reports of voting machines switching votes is having me worried!!!


13 posted on 11/05/2012 8:16:56 AM PST by ObozoMustGo2012
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To: Livin_large

Larry’s crystal ball is like a old black & white TV with very bad, fuzzy reception.


14 posted on 11/05/2012 8:16:58 AM PST by DarthVader (Politicians govern out of self interest, Statesmen govern for a Vision greater than themselves)
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To: Livin_large; All
*KOOL-AID DRINKER ALERT*

15 posted on 11/05/2012 8:18:59 AM PST by skinkinthegrass (Anger a Conservative by telling a lie; Anger a Liberal by telling the truth. - RWR 8-)
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To: Livin_large

Pulled together a conservative scenario (R=272, O=266) with Ohio going to Obama and no wild Rust Belt surprises like PA, MN or MI. Also, no optimism for Romney in either NV or NM.

Factored in a 3-Obama and 1-Romney split in Maine as provided in their EC charter. This scenario assumes wins in NH and WI, which are looking good for Romney and places these leaners; FL, NC and VA in the Romney column as well.


16 posted on 11/05/2012 8:20:09 AM PST by CreviceTool ( Obama is standing above the country above - above the world, he is sort of a God = Evan Thomas)
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To: CreviceTool

Sorry, Larry, but the news out of both Colorado (positive early and absentee vote Republican as is expected Election Day turnout) and New Hampshire (Romney winning independents) draw Obama down to 278 from your total of 290. Wisconsin could be the linchpin; if Romney wins it, it takes Obama down to 268 and Romney at 270.


17 posted on 11/05/2012 8:25:45 AM PST by laconic
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To: CreviceTool

yup this is my map too. It’s going to be tight.


18 posted on 11/05/2012 8:30:16 AM PST by HenryArmitage (it was not meant that we should voyage far.)
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To: Livin_large

Sabato predicted a John Kerry victory.


19 posted on 11/05/2012 8:30:42 AM PST by bjcoop
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To: Livin_large
The numbers & pundits try to forecast--
.....Then they show up on TV to tell us about the authoritative aggregate voice of "We The People..." in these elections....

*************

12_1106RFRNDM_5

*************

On Tuesday evening --- "We The People..." will have had our say...
... At last... ONLY ONE POLL REALLY COUNTS!

*********

Personally...

I think God will also have His say in this matter...
... There will be some wonderfully special results that we don't yet see or expect....
... I believe America will see His heart and His strong hands

Over the last two years....
The concert of prayer has grown from tearful whispers into a bold outcry...

We'll soon see and know...

20 posted on 11/05/2012 8:31:18 AM PST by Wings-n-Wind (The main things are the plain things!)
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