Skip to comments.Election 2012: Ohio President: Obama 49%, Romney 49%
Posted on 11/02/2012 11:47:47 AM PDT by ScottinVA
With four days to go, President Obama and Mitt Romney are tied in the critical battleground state of Ohio.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters finds Obama and Romney each with 49% support. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, while one percent (1%) is undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
Ohio remains one of eight Toss-Up states in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections. Obama won the Buckeye State in 2008 by a 52% to 47% margin.
At the beginning of the week, Romney held a slight 50% to 48% advantage. It was the first time Romney has taken even a modest lead in the race of Ohio's 18 Electoral College votes since late May, but the two candidates have been within two percentage points of one another since then.
Forty percent (40%) of Ohio voters say they have already cast their ballots, and among these voters, the president has a comfortable 56% to 41% lead.
Both candidates earn better than 90% support from voters in their respective parties. The president is ahead 50% to 41% among voters not affiliated with either major political party.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
Could someone post the internals for this poll?
Or Mitt knows he’s a lock in Ohio and he’s in PA to runup the score and divide Obama’s resources.
Independents will break for Romney.
BTW if you read Rasmussens synopsis ROmney does better on the economy, jobs and even favorability. And ties Obama on foreign policy etc. Weird shit in the polls this cycle.
And PA is icing on the cake, not a hail mary.
I think he had a Walker win his last poll. RCP had a Walker win as well from all the poll averages. This was the last few days before the election.
This notion that keeps being repeated here that all the polls were off on the Walker recall is just not true. At least not the last week of polls before the recall.
I find all the hand wringing about Romney being “desperate” by going to PA hilarious. Do you guys have access to Romney’s internals?
If there’s anything that’s for certain, is that Mitt Romney is going to going to do everything he can to make himself the 45th President. He’s no loser like McCain.
Don't you think they would have thought of that? :) They certainly have access to data unavailable to us mere mortals, and if it showed him losing Ohio, he'd be ignoring Pennsylvania and living in Wisconsin.
GOP candidates in Ohio always outperform their national poll percentages by one to three percent. Always. Even if Rasmussen is accurate in showing the race tied, I'm still convinced Romney wins here, and I'll stick to my original 51-49 prediction.
Almost every other poll, even PPP and Quinipiac, have Romney taking Ohio independents. Rasmussen is a liar.
That’s above my pay grade..Prayers for our nation
As has been documented, Gallup determined a flaw in the polling methods after that election. They've been pretty accurate since.
Perhaps Rasmussen meant to say that Romney has the independent lead. That would match these:
Romney lead among independents in NPR national poll: 51-39 Romney lead among independents in CBS/New York Times national poll: 51-39 Romney lead among independents in Pew national poll: 48-40 Romney lead among independents in Fox News national poll: 46-39
In 2008, per CNN the final exits were
For Obama, Dem 89-10 Rep 8-92 and Ind 52-44. If this poll is be believed, Obama is in trouble.
Sorry I don’t have that EV source, but I know it’s been posted on here, possibly repeatedly.
But if that 56-41 lead is true (some say it’s not) and about 1.5 million early votes have been cast, then the difference is 15% of 1.5 million, which is 225,000 and that’s not remotely good news.
It sounds fishy that Bonzo could be up THAT much.
Oh I agree. They’ve got an excellent likely voter screen. Gallups numbers in 2008 had me convinced McCain was done a week before the election despite all the protests to the contrary. I anxiously await their new poll. But I suspect it will tighten from where they had it because the independent numbers are trending away from ROmney a bit. Hopefully not too much.
Why Romney will win
Now, wait a minute. Bill Cunningham was on Hannity’s show yesterday and said that Romney was going to win Ohio, and he cited several reasons why. As a native Ohioan, I know what he was talking about. Haven’t lived there in about 30 years, but I still have relatives there. His reasons sound plausible, so I’m not about to go drown my sorrows in chocolate cake yet.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.