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Election 2012: Ohio President: Obama 49%, Romney 49%
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 2 November 2012 | Scott Rasmussen

Posted on 11/02/2012 11:47:47 AM PDT by ScottinVA

With four days to go, President Obama and Mitt Romney are tied in the critical battleground state of Ohio.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters finds Obama and Romney each with 49% support. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, while one percent (1%) is undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Ohio remains one of eight Toss-Up states in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections. Obama won the Buckeye State in 2008 by a 52% to 47% margin.

At the beginning of the week, Romney held a slight 50% to 48% advantage. It was the first time Romney has taken even a modest lead in the race of Ohio's 18 Electoral College votes since late May, but the two candidates have been within two percentage points of one another since then.

Forty percent (40%) of Ohio voters say they have already cast their ballots, and among these voters, the president has a comfortable 56% to 41% lead.

Both candidates earn better than 90% support from voters in their respective parties. The president is ahead 50% to 41% among voters not affiliated with either major political party.

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Ohio
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; battleground; elections; melissaharrisperry; msnbc; ohio; partisanmediashill; partisanmediashills; romney
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To: MEG33

Could someone post the internals for this poll?


101 posted on 11/02/2012 12:31:18 PM PDT by mrs9x
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To: JediJones

Or Mitt knows he’s a lock in Ohio and he’s in PA to runup the score and divide Obama’s resources.


102 posted on 11/02/2012 12:31:18 PM PDT by GOPGuide
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To: comebacknewt
The primary concern for Independents is the economy and Romney wins that going away.

Independents will break for Romney.

103 posted on 11/02/2012 12:32:10 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: fortheDeclaration

BTW if you read Rasmussens synopsis ROmney does better on the economy, jobs and even favorability. And ties Obama on foreign policy etc. Weird shit in the polls this cycle.


104 posted on 11/02/2012 12:32:31 PM PDT by jwalsh07
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To: JediJones
He isn't going to lose Ohio.

And PA is icing on the cake, not a hail mary.

105 posted on 11/02/2012 12:33:43 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: fortheDeclaration

I think he had a Walker win his last poll. RCP had a Walker win as well from all the poll averages. This was the last few days before the election.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/governor/wi/wisconsin_governor_recall_election_walker_vs_barrett-3056.html

This notion that keeps being repeated here that all the polls were off on the Walker recall is just not true. At least not the last week of polls before the recall.


106 posted on 11/02/2012 12:33:47 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: ScottinVA

I find all the hand wringing about Romney being “desperate” by going to PA hilarious. Do you guys have access to Romney’s internals?

If there’s anything that’s for certain, is that Mitt Romney is going to going to do everything he can to make himself the 45th President. He’s no loser like McCain.


107 posted on 11/02/2012 12:33:50 PM PDT by Shadow44
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To: JediJones
He should be using WI, CO and NH to make up for losing OH.

Don't you think they would have thought of that? :) They certainly have access to data unavailable to us mere mortals, and if it showed him losing Ohio, he'd be ignoring Pennsylvania and living in Wisconsin.

GOP candidates in Ohio always outperform their national poll percentages by one to three percent. Always. Even if Rasmussen is accurate in showing the race tied, I'm still convinced Romney wins here, and I'll stick to my original 51-49 prediction.

108 posted on 11/02/2012 12:34:03 PM PDT by TonyInOhio (O-H-I-O, Barry - misspell our name and we kick you out!)
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To: fortheDeclaration

Almost every other poll, even PPP and Quinipiac, have Romney taking Ohio independents. Rasmussen is a liar.


109 posted on 11/02/2012 12:34:06 PM PDT by GOPGuide
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To: JediJones
PA is a Hail Mary by any measure. He should be using WI, CO and NH to make up for losing OH.

Get some air, neighbor. There is nothing wrong with reaching out to PA. And 'losing OH' come on, the vote hasn't happend yet, don't go giving it away till the votes are all counted. OH is going to be close and it is going to be bloody. A good rain storm on Weds is all we need to make it a firm Romney win.
110 posted on 11/02/2012 12:34:14 PM PDT by HenryArmitage (it was not meant that we should voyage far.)
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To: mrs9x

That’s above my pay grade..Prayers for our nation


111 posted on 11/02/2012 12:34:20 PM PDT by MEG33 (O Lord, Guide Our Nation)
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To: jwalsh07
'Of course they did miss President Dewey."

As has been documented, Gallup determined a flaw in the polling methods after that election. They've been pretty accurate since.

112 posted on 11/02/2012 12:34:20 PM PDT by CatOwner
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To: ScottinVA
The president is ahead 50% to 41% among voters not affiliated with either major political party.

Perhaps Rasmussen meant to say that Romney has the independent lead. That would match these:

Romney lead among independents in NPR national poll: 51-39 Romney lead among independents in CBS/New York Times national poll: 51-39 Romney lead among independents in Pew national poll: 48-40 Romney lead among independents in Fox News national poll: 46-39

113 posted on 11/02/2012 12:34:32 PM PDT by Siegfried X
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To: fortheDeclaration

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_governor_elections/wisconsin/wisconsin_recall_election_walker_50_barrett_45


114 posted on 11/02/2012 12:35:16 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: comebacknewt
I really think Chris Christie murdered the Romney campaign.

I don't think he murdered Romney. But he certainly hurt them badly at a particularly crucial time (when Romney was ready to close the deal on a consistent 3-4 point national lead).

I still say Obama is in a bad place for an incumbent, at 47-48% with 3 days to go. Romney still has the fundamentals and historical trends on his side.

Christie, I believe, is finished in the GOP. The anger with him is red hot. He threw his country under the bus to get some quick cash, when that money would have been provided, photo op or not.
115 posted on 11/02/2012 12:35:46 PM PDT by nhwingut (Get out & Vote as if your life was on the line. Because it is.)
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To: nhwingut; tatown; SoftwareEngineer; LS

In 2008, per CNN the final exits were

D+8 (39/31/30)

For Obama, Dem 89-10 Rep 8-92 and Ind 52-44. If this poll is be believed, Obama is in trouble.


116 posted on 11/02/2012 12:36:23 PM PDT by Perdogg (Vote like the US Constitution depends on it - it does!!)
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To: TonyInOhio

Sorry I don’t have that EV source, but I know it’s been posted on here, possibly repeatedly.

But if that 56-41 lead is true (some say it’s not) and about 1.5 million early votes have been cast, then the difference is 15% of 1.5 million, which is 225,000 and that’s not remotely good news.

It sounds fishy that Bonzo could be up THAT much.


117 posted on 11/02/2012 12:36:53 PM PDT by PermaRag (If Trayvon had a father, he'd look just like Obama)
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To: CatOwner

Oh I agree. They’ve got an excellent likely voter screen. Gallups numbers in 2008 had me convinced McCain was done a week before the election despite all the protests to the contrary. I anxiously await their new poll. But I suspect it will tighten from where they had it because the independent numbers are trending away from ROmney a bit. Hopefully not too much.


118 posted on 11/02/2012 12:38:04 PM PDT by jwalsh07
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To: CatOwner

Why Romney will win

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2953878/posts


119 posted on 11/02/2012 12:38:09 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: ScottinVA

Now, wait a minute. Bill Cunningham was on Hannity’s show yesterday and said that Romney was going to win Ohio, and he cited several reasons why. As a native Ohioan, I know what he was talking about. Haven’t lived there in about 30 years, but I still have relatives there. His reasons sound plausible, so I’m not about to go drown my sorrows in chocolate cake yet.


120 posted on 11/02/2012 12:38:09 PM PDT by Purrcival (Romney/Ryan 2012 -- let's do this!!)
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