Skip to comments.Election 2012: Ohio President: Obama 49%, Romney 49%
Posted on 11/02/2012 11:47:47 AM PDT by ScottinVA
With four days to go, President Obama and Mitt Romney are tied in the critical battleground state of Ohio.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters finds Obama and Romney each with 49% support. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, while one percent (1%) is undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
Ohio remains one of eight Toss-Up states in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections. Obama won the Buckeye State in 2008 by a 52% to 47% margin.
At the beginning of the week, Romney held a slight 50% to 48% advantage. It was the first time Romney has taken even a modest lead in the race of Ohio's 18 Electoral College votes since late May, but the two candidates have been within two percentage points of one another since then.
Forty percent (40%) of Ohio voters say they have already cast their ballots, and among these voters, the president has a comfortable 56% to 41% lead.
Both candidates earn better than 90% support from voters in their respective parties. The president is ahead 50% to 41% among voters not affiliated with either major political party.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
Yeah, I know, it’s why I always use the caveat word “if” when commenting on polls. The polls have been all over the map and are right now coalescing around a tie everywhere. Except for Gallup before it stopped polling. Gallup has an exemplary track record in presidential elections for the past 80 years or so so I put a lot of cred in their last weeks numbers. Of course they did miss President Dewey.
Where is LS with his OH early voting data when we need him? :)
I got a pretty good source for that one.
I call baloney
I really think Chris Christie murdered the Romney campaign.
I am not giving up hope, but he gave the Kenyan the cover he desperately needed to appear moderate which allowed him to win back the Indie voters.
I hope he never wins another race as long as he lives. Even John Roberts’ betrayal wasn’t as bad as Christie’s.
Notice that they, the Pollsters, never get around to saying how many telephonees told them to get the bleep off their phone and their preference is none of the pollster’s business.. And there is no honest mathematical way to compensate for either those or the people who simply can’t be reached by phone——especially during elections. God bless caller ID.
The fact is Ohio is going GOP like the rest of the nation, it always follows the national trend.
Did Ras have a blowout win for Walker in WI?
He had it as a tie.
Wow!! What a bunch of hand-wringers.
It’s a tie ball game. Romney was predicted to lose this state going away a few weeks back. And here we are with 3 days to go, and it’s deadlocked.
Romney up about 5 on the two issues related to the economy.
Calm down, people. Romney has a great opportunity to close this deal. And that’s what he does best.
John Kasich - OH’s governor says Romney will win!
If he really thought it wasn’t true, he wouldn’t stick his neck out.
And the Romney rally in OH draws big crowds; the Obama rally drew piddling crowds.
If that’s a measure of how the race is going, Romney is in good shape!
I think Rasmussen’s numbers don’t reflect the reality on the ground in OH. I don’t trust his numbers here.
In 2010, he called the special election in MA for Martha Coakley. We all know how that one went!
Bottom line? I am confident Romney will win. The data in this poll is garbage.
PA is a Hail Mary by any measure. He should be using WI, CO and NH to make up for losing OH.
Clearly, they are oversampling Democrats but not listing it.
I think you need to reconsider that statement. If Christie's endorsement were that big a deal, he will be the next president. And if Roberts had not betrayed us (or come out of the libtard closet), this election would not be as important as it is.
Romney would be ahead by at least 3 if Rasmussen has more Rs in his Ohio model than Ds and he shows Romney tied with Obama among Indys. Rasmussen can’t show Romney putting away Ohio so he’s fudging the independent vote.
Actually they are usually a point or so +R compared to the national vote as they were in 2008. But the indie numbers here are a tad bothersome. Of course if the indie sample size is low the MOE is high but still....
Whoops, you got me there - I was working off of a premlimary version of that page. My apologies for the error.
I sure wish I could find a reference to Obama's big lead in early voting - everything I've found shows a slim lead, but nothing like the large margins he had in 2008. If Romney can limit Obama's lead in early voting to less than 100,000 or so, he'll win.
That is what it could be, but I just do not know what is wrong with voters.
I see a country in shambles- am I wrong?
How any thinking person could vote for 4 more years of O amazes me!
Have these soccer moms not shopped for groceries in 4 years?
If Ohio and America votes for Obama...we are doomed.
Take your loser mentality somewhere else, I am sure the DU would love you over there.