Don't you think they would have thought of that? :) They certainly have access to data unavailable to us mere mortals, and if it showed him losing Ohio, he'd be ignoring Pennsylvania and living in Wisconsin.
GOP candidates in Ohio always outperform their national poll percentages by one to three percent. Always. Even if Rasmussen is accurate in showing the race tied, I'm still convinced Romney wins here, and I'll stick to my original 51-49 prediction.
It makes no sense how Obama could be ahead 9 with intdependents and this poll be tied. Ras would have had to have something like a +9 Republican sample and I don’t think he’s ever done that