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Scientists: Volcano Could Swamp U.S. with Mega-Tsunami
China Daily ^ | 3/29/2005 | Staff Writers

Posted on 03/29/2005 3:41:11 PM PST by ex-Texan

A wall of water up to 55 yards high crashing into the Atlantic seaboard of the United States, flattening everything in its path -- not a Hollywood movie but a dire prophecy by some British and U.S. academics.

As the international community struggles to aid victims of last month's devastating tsunami in southern Asia, scientists warn an eruption of a volcano in Spain's Canary Islands could unleash a "mega-tsunami" larger than any in recorded history.

Hammocks almost buried at the beach of Pajara district in Fuerteventura island (Canary Island), southern Spain. Countries all around the Atlantic rim could be hit by killer tsunamis at any time between now and the next 10,000 years, the British government's chief scientific adviser said.[AFP/file]

According to their controversial study, an explosion of the Cumbre Vieja volcano on the island of La Palma could send a chunk of rock twice the size of the Isle of Wight into the Atlantic at up to 220 miles an hour.

Many experts believe the risk of "mega-tsunamis" from such a massive landslide on La Palma has been hugely overstated.

But in the study's scenario, energy released would equal the electricity consumption of the United States for six months, sending gigantic tidal waves across the Atlantic at the speed of a jet plane.

Devastation in the United States would reach trillions of dollars with tens of millions of lives at risk. Spain, Portugal, Britain, France, Brazil, the Caribbean and West Africa would also be swamped by giant waves.

"It may occur in the next eruption, which could be next year, or ... it may be 10 eruptions down the line," said Bill McGuire of Britain's Benfield Hazard Research Center.

Cumbre Vieja, which last exploded in 1971, typically erupts at intervals of between 20 and 200 years.

"We just don't know when it will happen, but are people prepared to take the risk after the Indian Ocean events?" McGuire said, calling for a program to monitor the slide in Cumbre Vieja's flank.

"We need to get people out in advance of the collapse itself. Once the collapse has happened, the Caribbean would have 9 hours, the U.S. 6 to 12 hours to evacuate tens of millions of people," he said.

SCAREMONGERING?

Other experts say such predictions about La Palma or the Hawaiian volcano of Kilauea are grossly exaggerated.

The Tsunami Society, an international association of experts, dismisses such theories as "scaremongering." It argues Cumbre Vieja would not collapse in a single block and the wave generated would be much smaller.

"We are talking about thousands of years in the future. Anything could happen. An asteroid could also fall on earth," George Pararas-Carayannis, founder of the Tsunami Society, said.

Many wave experts believe tsunami from abrupt landslides dissipate more quickly than those generated by powerful earthquakes, like the Dec. 26 quake off Indonesia which stretched thousands of miles along the ocean floor.

Charles Mader, editor of the Science of Tsunami Hazards journal and an expert on wave modeling, predicts that even in the event of a massive landslide on La Palma the tsunami reaching North America would be no more than 1 meter high.

But McGuire stands by the wave modeling for the La Palma tsunami, carried out by Steven Ward of the University of California.

As the world reels from the Indian Ocean disaster, which killed more than 150,000 people, oceanographers and geologists agree the threat of tsunamis has been underestimated.

"It would not surprise me at all if tomorrow we saw another tsunami like this," said Pararas-Carayannis, pointing to faults off Portugal, Puerto Rico and Peru as possible risks.

For McGuire, a warning system in the Indian Ocean could have completely prevented loss of life in Sri Lanka and India from south Asian tsunami, as in most cases people would only have had to travel 1 kilometer inland to avoid the waves.

He ranks tsunami risk as second only to global warming in the hazards facing the planet.

"With coastlines massively built up now, particularly in developing countries, tsunami are a big problem because, unlike earthquakes, they transmit death and destruction across entire oceans," he said.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Foreign Affairs; Front Page News; Government
KEYWORDS: alaska; archaeology; bermudaevidence; california; callingartbell; canaryislands; cascadia; catastrophism; cumbrevieja; earthquake; ggg; godsgravesglyphs; hawaii; history; lapalma; megatsunami; megatsunamis; oregon; pacific; pugetsound; theendisnigh; tsunami; tsunamis; ustsunamithreat; volcano; washington
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To: ex-Texan
Sheesh. I thought I had problems.


21 posted on 03/29/2005 3:50:21 PM PST by glock rocks (For the love of all that's good and decent, don't try this at home.)
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To: ex-Texan

So the Eastern seaboard could be wiped clean by an act of God? I thought He said He wouldn't do that again?
What a shame /sarcasm


22 posted on 03/29/2005 3:52:04 PM PST by kjvail (Judica me Deus, et discerne causam meam de gente non sancta)
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To: ex-Texan

Notice the source.....

Scientists: Volcano Could Swamp U.S. with Mega-Tsunami
China Daily ^

SCHADENFREUDE !! (.. and who's gonna buy all your crap then ??)


23 posted on 03/29/2005 3:52:17 PM PST by traumer
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To: kalee

That would be here:

http://www.jpost.com/servlet/Satellite?pagename=JPost/JPArticle/Printer&cid=1111980180248


24 posted on 03/29/2005 3:53:58 PM PST by seowulf
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To: kjvail
So the Eastern seaboard could be wiped clean by an act of God? I thought He said He wouldn't do that again?

Some say that a nation that would deny a mother giving her dying daughter water deserves it.
25 posted on 03/29/2005 3:54:33 PM PST by 76834
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To: ex-Texan

Ah, from China. We're all gonna die, we're all gonna die! I think I'll have another Martini. Yep, that's what I'll do, I'll have another Martini. I just wonder if it'll hit Minnesota, and how hard. Now where is that Vermouth?


26 posted on 03/29/2005 3:55:10 PM PST by timydnuc (I'll die on my feet before I'll live on my knees.)
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To: seowulf

Thank you!


27 posted on 03/29/2005 3:55:14 PM PST by kalee
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To: 76834

Some say that a nation that would deny a mother giving her dying daughter water deserves it.

You can count me among their number.


28 posted on 03/29/2005 3:55:18 PM PST by kjvail (Judica me Deus, et discerne causam meam de gente non sancta)
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To: ex-Texan

Since the volcano is such a big deal why don't we have Congress come up with a pork barrel project to safely level it and prevent the possible tsunami?

$300 billion to bulldoze it ought to be enough.

Or we could just use the Peaceful Atom to level it.

Or we could just laugh it off and stop worrying about bulls*it.


29 posted on 03/29/2005 3:56:27 PM PST by PeterFinn (The Holocaust was perfectly legal.)
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To: Brad's Gramma
Oh NO! ANYTHING but the robots! FLEEEEE!!!!!!!!!!!!

I heard something about a smart talking chimp from outer space who unites all of the monkeys and apes and then....

(now stop me if you've heard this one before)
30 posted on 03/29/2005 3:57:14 PM PST by ARCADIA (Abuse of power comes as no surprise)
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To: ARCADIA
Well, after reading THIS!!!! NOTHING will surprise me anymore.
31 posted on 03/29/2005 3:58:29 PM PST by Brad’s Gramma (aitch tee tee pea colon 2 slashes dubya dubya dubya dot proud patriots dot org)
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To: ex-Texan

Wot abowt thet icebirg up yonda in Elasky?


32 posted on 03/29/2005 3:58:31 PM PST by sodpoodle (sparrows are underrated)
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To: AntiGuv
Maybe in the year 2100 the big angst will be about when the robots will rise up and enslave us all..

A bit late to worry about it then. It's already happened. Those automated telephone menu devices are a sort of robot you know.

Man I hate those things.

33 posted on 03/29/2005 3:58:46 PM PST by El Gato (Activist Judges can twist the Constitution into anything they want ... or so they think.)
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To: rightgrafix

I went to that sight and LINDA MOULTON HOWE jumped right out at me . I think she is an Art Bell regular. I saw one of her shows on The History Channel or Discovery Channel. Someone to be wary of. She makes her living with this kind of thing. But, this could still happen. I'm in Colorado and all FReepers are welcome-everyone else stay where you are.


34 posted on 03/29/2005 3:58:54 PM PST by unkus
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To: ex-Texan

Mostly blue states or the blue part of red states ... OK, bring it on!


35 posted on 03/29/2005 3:59:15 PM PST by HoustonCurmudgeon (Redneck from a red city, in a red county, in a red state, and a former Army Red Leg.)
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To: Go Gordon

The lava this volcano has is thicker than taffy, much like what Mt St Helens is producing.
Drilling may introduce water or other fluids into contact with the lava.
When water meets magma in a volcano, it flashes to steam and blows up.
Usually called a phreatic explosion in a volcano.
If lava particles come with it, it's a phreatomagmatic explosion.

Seems like a good idea, but it would likely create more problems than it would fix.


36 posted on 03/29/2005 3:59:26 PM PST by Darksheare ("Do you believe I'm worth coming home to?")
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To: traumer

The editors at China Daily must have read the Moslem scholar's claim that the Koran predicts it will happen. ;)


37 posted on 03/29/2005 3:59:28 PM PST by kalee
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To: Darksheare
Link to a topographical relief map of said volcano.

I looked at your relief map and, I'm going to be very honest with you, it didn't give me any relief. I'm still so scared I could SH*T!

38 posted on 03/29/2005 4:00:26 PM PST by layman (Card Carrying Infidel)
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To: unkus
I'm in Colorado and all FReepers are welcome-everyone else stay where you are.

Thanks, but just a tad too close to the Yellowstone Caldera.
I think I will just stay right where I am....
39 posted on 03/29/2005 4:00:50 PM PST by 76834
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To: glock rocks

Rut-Ro.

ROFLMAO! Thanks, I needed that today.

40 posted on 03/29/2005 4:01:48 PM PST by El Gato (Activist Judges can twist the Constitution into anything they want ... or so they think.)
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