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Major Climate Change Occurred 5,200 Years ago: Evidence Suggests That History May Repeat Itself
Ohio State University ^ | 12-24-2004 | Ohio State University

Posted on 12/28/2004 3:08:55 PM PST by blam

Source: Ohio State University

Date: 2004-12-24

Major Climate Change Occurred 5,200 Years Ago: Evidence Suggests That History Could Repeat Itself

COLUMBUS, Ohio -- Glaciologist Lonnie Thompson worries that he may have found clues that show history repeating itself, and if he is right, the result could have important implications to modern society.

Thompson has spent his career trekking to the far corners of the world to find remote ice fields and then bring back cores drilled from their centers. Within those cores are the records of ancient climate from across the globe.

From the mountains of data drawn by analyzing countless ice cores, and a meticulous review of sometimes obscure historic records, Thompson and his research team at Ohio State University are convinced that the global climate has changed dramatically.

But more importantly, they believe it has happened at least once before, and the results were nearly catastrophic to emerging cultures at the time. He outlined his interpretations and fears today at the annual meeting of the American Geophysical Union in San Francisco.

A professor of geological sciences at Ohio State and a researcher with the Byrd Polar Research Center, Thompson points to markers in numerous records suggesting that the climate was altered suddenly some 5,200 years ago with severe impacts.

He points to perfectly preserved plants he discovered that recently emerged from the Quelccaya ice cap in the Peruvian Andes as that glacier retreats. This monstrous glacier, some 551 feet (168 meters) deep, has shown an exponentially increasing rate of retreat since his first observations in 1963.

The plants were carbon-dated to determine their age and tests indicated they had been buried by the ice for perhaps 5,200 years. That suggests that somehow, the climate had shifted suddenly and severely to capture the plants and preserve them until now.

In 1991, hikers found the preserved body of a man trapped in an Alpine glacier and freed as it retreated. Later tests showed that the human – dubbed Oetzi – became trapped and died around 5,200 years ago.

Thompson points to a study of tree rings from Ireland and England that span a period of 7,000 years. The point in that record when the tree rings were narrowest – suggesting the driest period experienced by the trees – was approximately 5,200 years ago.

He points to ice core records showing the ratio of two oxygen isotopes retrieved from the ice fields atop Africa’s Mount Kilimanjaro. A proxy for atmospheric temperature at the time snow fell, the records are at their lowest 5,200 years before now.

He lists the shift by the Sahara Desert from a habitable region to a barren desert; major changes in plant pollen uncovered from lakebed cores in South America, and the record lowest levels of methane retrieved from ice cores from Greenland and Antarctica and all occurred at the same time – 5,200 years ago.

“Something happened back at this time and it was monumental,” Thompson said. “But it didn’t seem monumental to humans then because there were only approximately 250 million people occupying the planet, compared to the 6.4 billion we now have.

“The evidence clearly points back to this point in history and to some event that occurred. It also points to similar changes occurring in today’s climate as well,” he said.

“To me, these are things we really need to be concerned about.” The impact of a climate change of that magnitude on a modern world would be tremendous, he said. Seventy percent of the population lives in the world’s tropics and major climate changes would directly impact most of them.

Thompson believes that the 5,200-year old event may have been caused by a dramatic fluctuation in solar energy reaching the earth. Scientists know that a historic global cooling called the Little Ice Age, from 1450 to 1850 A.D., coincided with two periods of decreased solar activity.

Evidence shows that around 5,200 years ago, solar output first dropped precipitously and then surged over a short period. It is this huge solar energy oscillation that Thompson believes may have triggered the climate change he sees in all those records.

“The climate system is remarkably sensitive to natural variability,” he said. “It’s likely that it is equally sensitive to effects brought on by human activity, changes like increased greenhouse gases, altered land-use policies and fossil-fuel dependence.

“Any prudent person would agree that we don’t yet understand the complexities with the climate system and, since we don’t, we should be extremely cautious in how much we ‘tweak’ the system,” he said.

“The evidence is clear that a major climate change is underway.”

Editor's Note: The original news release can be found here.


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 5000; ago; archaeology; change; climate; climatechange; evidence; ggg; godsgravesglyphs; history; itself; major; occured; repeat; suggests; years
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I have tree-ring incidents at: 3195BC, 2354BC,1628BC,1159BC, and 540AD. There are two smaller events recorded at 44BC and 207BC.

I think his ice core data is incorrectly dated. If anything had occurred worldwide, the trees would have recorded it.

1 posted on 12/28/2004 3:08:56 PM PST by blam
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To: SunkenCiv; RightWhale

GGG Ping.


2 posted on 12/28/2004 3:09:31 PM PST by blam
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To: blam

Paleo-Halliburton.


3 posted on 12/28/2004 3:10:21 PM PST by MeanWestTexan
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To: blam

Bush's fault.


4 posted on 12/28/2004 3:10:28 PM PST by Slings and Arrows (Am Yisrael Chai!)
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To: blam

Proof that time travel is possible and Bush was sent back to raise Cain.


5 posted on 12/28/2004 3:10:41 PM PST by Fitzcarraldo
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To: Slings and Arrows

Go-Bucks-and-don't-forget-your-mittens-PING


6 posted on 12/28/2004 3:14:21 PM PST by get'emall (Whatever happened to Preparations A through G?)
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To: blam
I have tree-ring incidents at: 3195BC...

Plus 2004 equals approximately 5200 years ago. Yes?

7 posted on 12/28/2004 3:14:46 PM PST by raybbr
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To: blam
If anything had occurred worldwide, the trees would have recorded it.

WHEW! Thanks, I was starting to worry.

8 posted on 12/28/2004 3:14:47 PM PST by Mister Baredog (PLEASE be sure you have a flag up on your FReeper homepage.!!!)
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To: blam

3195 B.C. is the same as 5,200 years ago (plus or minus 5 years).


9 posted on 12/28/2004 3:16:15 PM PST by Lokibob (All typos and spelling errors are mine and copyrighted!!!!)
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To: blam
The Earth's angle of inclination changed about 2 degrees. That cooled down the Sahara with the result that the monsoons no longer came in and watered the place.

German researchers have proposed that if we could heat up the Sahara by propagating hardy broadleafed plant species, we might well be able to pull the monsoons back in and create a new pluvial period.

It wasn't insolation that changed, but rather the capacity of the environment to absorb and keep heat.

(Yes, plant cover makes an area warmer because it will trap water vapor, a powerful greenhouse gas. Gee, maybe apparant global warming has to do with expanded irrigation. Whadda' ya' think, eh?!)

10 posted on 12/28/2004 3:16:32 PM PST by muawiyah
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To: blam

It was all those damned SUV's back then that did it.


11 posted on 12/28/2004 3:17:10 PM PST by Outland (Creative and witty new tag line pending.)
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Comment #12 Removed by Moderator

To: blam

Its pretty freaky! I watched the movie "Day after tomorrow", the night before this Tsunami hit.....freaky!
I am ready Lord, lets do this!


13 posted on 12/28/2004 3:17:41 PM PST by TheGunny
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To: Slings and Arrows

No, no, no....what the article means is that it :::gasp::: (look of incredulity) really *isn't* Bush's fault!


14 posted on 12/28/2004 3:17:45 PM PST by dansangel (Thank you Veterans past and present!)
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To: blam

similar:

Major Climate Change Occurred 5,200 Years Ago:
Evidence Suggests That History Could Repeat Itself
Space and Earth Science News ^ | December 16, 2004
Posted on 12/17/2004 10:57:17 PM PST by snarks_when_bored
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/1304010/posts


15 posted on 12/28/2004 3:18:44 PM PST by SunkenCiv (It's a big planet. We're willing to share. They're not. Out they go.)
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To: blam

The ice thawed in my back yard and I found this really big dog. It ate my mother-in-law so I think I'll keep it.

16 posted on 12/28/2004 3:19:40 PM PST by isthisnickcool (Free Scott Peterson!!! In Iraq. Wearing an "Allah is the Devil" tee shirt.)
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To: blam

I guess we'd better begin a massive effort to cap the world's volcanoes.


17 posted on 12/28/2004 3:20:11 PM PST by randog (What the....?!)
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To: blam

I thought thought the earth had perfectly constant temperatures until the SUV was invented.


18 posted on 12/28/2004 3:20:32 PM PST by Always Right
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To: blam
Little Ice Age, from 1450 to 1850 A.D.

Moderately interesting that coincides with the breakout of Europe into the Renaissance, with Copernicus, Columbus, Galileo, Newton, Pascal, and the whole gang discovering science again.

19 posted on 12/28/2004 3:20:32 PM PST by RightWhale (Destroy the dark; restore the light)
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Thanks Blam.
Please FREEPMAIL me if you want on, off, or alter the "Gods, Graves, Glyphs" PING list --
Archaeology/Anthropology/Ancient Cultures/Artifacts/Antiquities, etc.
The GGG Digest
-- Gods, Graves, Glyphs (alpha order)

20 posted on 12/28/2004 3:20:36 PM PST by SunkenCiv (It's a big planet. We're willing to share. They're not. Out they go.)
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