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ZOGBY's DELUSIONS
Zogby ^

Posted on 11/04/2004 12:11:46 PM PST by golch1979

Polling firm Zogby International accurately predicted President Bush's Ohio victory, as well as the defeat of Senate Minority Leader Tom Daschle in South Dakota, and accurately forecast the outcome of every Senate race in our final battleground poll, conducted October 29 through November 1, 2004. The margin of error was +/- 4.1 percentage points.

PRESIDENTIAL VOTE -2004

STATE BUSH KERRY

CO-Actual 53% 46% CO-Zogby 49% 47%

FL-Actual 52% 47% FL-Zogby 48% 48%

IA-Actual 50% 49% IA-Zogby 45% 50%

MI-Actual 48% 51% MI-Zogby 46% 52%

MN-Actual 48% 51% MN-Zogby 45% 51%

NV-Actual 51% 48% NV-Zogby 50% 45%

NM-Actual 50% 49% NM-Zogby 48% 51%

OH-Actual 51% 49% OH-Zogby 49% 43%

PA-Actual 49% 51% PA-Zogby 46% 50%

WI-Actual 49% 50% WI-Zogby 45% 51%

** Zogby FINAL Oct. 29-Nov. 1, MOE +/- 4.1

SENATE RACES

DASCHLE THUNE SD-Actual 49% 51% SD-Zogby 46% 48% Oct 25-26 MOE +/- 3.5

SALAZAR COORS CO-Actual 51% 47% CO-Zogby 52% 44% Oct 29-Nov 1 MOE +/- 4.1

MARTINEZ CASTOR FL-Actual 50% 48% FL-Zogby 48% 43% Oct 29-Nov 1 MOE +/- 4.1

GRASSLEY SMALL IA-Actual 70% 28% IA-Zogby 69% 20% Oct 29-Nov 1 MOE +/- 4.1

REID ZISER NV-Actual 61% 35% NV-Zogby 57% 34% Oct 29-Nov 1 MOE +/- 4.1

VOINOVICH FINGERHUT OH-Actual 64% 36% OH-Zogby 56% 32% Oct 29-Nov 1 MOE +/- 4.1

SPECTER HOEFFEL PA-Actual 53% 42% PA-Zogby 53% 32% Oct 29-Nov 1 MOE +/- 4.1

FEINGOLD MICHELS WI-Actual 56% 44% WI-Zogby 58% 38% Oct 29-Nov 1 MOE +/- 4.1


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2004electionbias; ashheapofhistory; bushvictory; cya; electiondaybias; electionnightbias; exposedasafool; final2004polls; finalzogbypolls; lyingliar; mediabias; poll; pollfigures; specialsauce; statistics; zogby; zogbybias; zogbyism; zogbypoll; zogbysauce
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To: AFPhys

The overstated polls probably got some 'undecideds' to vote sKerry so that they could vote "for the winner" (also deferring judgment to "whoever" must be the better candidate).

The overstated polls had another effect as well though (especially when the media's Zogbyism became apparent night after night). It drove conservative voters to the polls in record numbers. People stood up and said HELL NO, WE WANT BUSH!


41 posted on 11/04/2004 12:58:30 PM PST by weegee (Zogbyism will forever more be the term for a leftist media snowjob designed to sway public opinion.)
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zogby went out of his way to give kerry a lead everywhere he could.
even when he says he accurately predicted the daschle/thune race, he's giving a 'nuanced' answer. he predicted daschle would win, but his prediction was within the =/- 4% of the margin of error of his poll, so since the final thune win was still within 4% of his expected daschle win, he's claiming he was accurate in his predictions. this is another examplpe of how facts and statistics can be 'massaged' to say whatever you want to say....90% of the people sitting home could have had a 100% prediction rate with a +/- 4% spread simply by looking at an average of the polls.
zogby will be looking for the best spin possible so he can say he was 'accurate' in the polling for this election....what a joke
42 posted on 11/04/2004 1:08:43 PM PST by jer2911tx (john kerry doesn't like rice, or as he calls it 'weapons of ass destruction')
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To: weegee

I like it, I like it!


43 posted on 11/04/2004 1:09:47 PM PST by JoeV1 (The Democrats-The unlawful and corrupt leading the uneducated and blind)
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To: golch1979

I think I have the answer for all the bogus polls and exit polls. The media was setting us up for the RAT lawsuits that never happened. They were going to go with the eletion 2000 game plan that even if Bush won they were going to tarnish the win and hope that the goons in the RAT party rioted making Bush look bad again.


44 posted on 11/04/2004 1:15:15 PM PST by John Lenin
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To: HockeyPop

bump for later


45 posted on 11/04/2004 1:44:35 PM PST by woodb01 (Take out the 'dnC'BS "news" trash... SEE ---> http://www.noDNC.com)
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To: Grampa Dave
Trust me, I'm a great pollster!"

We have all learned that as soon as one says "Trust Me" we know we can not. It is not different with John-boy!

46 posted on 11/04/2004 3:03:48 PM PST by rundy
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To: rundy

Hopefully Dick Morris and some others will force an investigation of the Exit Poll Scam to electronically coup the election for Kerry.

It appears that Zog the Great set the stage for this bs the night before the election with his last so called poll.

FNC/ABCNNBCBS were part of this attempted electronical coup. They bought it or pushed it gleefully to discourage us from voting. It didn't work.

The vile odor of this can probably be traced back to the DNC and Komrade Kerry's Kamp.


47 posted on 11/04/2004 3:14:09 PM PST by Grampa Dave (FNC/ABCNNBCBS & the MSM fishwraps are the Rathering Fraudcasters of America!)
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To: Grampa Dave

They forgot the rule, that when crooks cook the books, they should always keep a LEGIT record so they know just how much it is off.


48 posted on 11/04/2004 3:28:23 PM PST by weegee (Zogbyism will forever more be the term for a leftist media snowjob designed to sway public opinion.)
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To: weegee

Also, the Zog and other liars forget how we save things on the internet.

Zog should ask Blather and c BS about what happens when one tries to Rather America with Free Republic watching.


49 posted on 11/04/2004 3:37:17 PM PST by Grampa Dave (FNC/ABCNNBCBS & the MSM fishwraps are the Rathering Fraudcasters of America!)
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