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Released: November 08, 2004 Mea Culpa: I am a Pollster, Not a Predictor By John Zogby Okay, I got it wrong. And I got it right. Last May, I did indeed say that John Kerry would win and, if he didn’t, it would be his fault. Please understand that I wasn’t saying this as a partisan but as a historian of elections. I did not have a horse in this race. For those of you so kind to point out that my brother is on the executive committee of the Democratic National Committee, you need to understand that he was...

Statement from John Zogby on 2004 Presidential Election Results: “We feel strongly that our pre-election polls were accurate on virtually every state. Our predictions on many of the key battleground states like Ohio and Florida were within the margin of error. I thought we captured a trend, but apparently that result didn’t materialize. “We always saw a close race, and a close race is what we’ve got. I’ve called this the Armageddon Election for some time—a closely-divided electorate with high partisan intensity on each side." (more from Zogby coming soon…) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Zogby International Finds: Bush at 49.4%, Kerry at 49.1%...

Polling firm Zogby International accurately predicted President Bush's Ohio victory, as well as the defeat of Senate Minority Leader Tom Daschle in South Dakota, and accurately forecast the outcome of every Senate race in our final battleground poll, conducted October 29 through November 1, 2004. The margin of error was +/- 4.1 percentage points. PRESIDENTIAL VOTE -2004 STATE BUSH KERRY CO-Actual 53% 46% CO-Zogby 49% 47% FL-Actual 52% 47% FL-Zogby 48% 48% IA-Actual 50% 49% IA-Zogby 45% 50% MI-Actual 48% 51% MI-Zogby 46% 52% MN-Actual 48% 51% MN-Zogby 45% 51% NV-Actual 51% 48% NV-Zogby 50% 45% NM-Actual 50% 49% NM-Zogby...

Released: November 02, 2004 Our CallZogby International's 2004 Predictions(as of Nov. 2, 2004 5:00pm) 2004 Presidential Election Electoral Votes: Bush 213 Kerry 311 To Close To Call Nevada (5) To Close To Call Colorado (9) Zogby International Finds: Bush at 49.4%, Kerry at 49.1% The telephone poll of 955 likely voters was conducted (November 1-2, 2004). The MOE is +/- 3.2 Here's how we got there... 2004: Repeat of 2000 Figures: George Bush (Electoral Vote) UT 5 KS 6 WY 3 MS 6 ID 4 SC 8 AK 3 IN 11 NE 5 KY 8 ND 3 AL 9 MT...