Posted on 11/04/2004 12:11:46 PM PST by golch1979
Polling firm Zogby International accurately predicted President Bush's Ohio victory, as well as the defeat of Senate Minority Leader Tom Daschle in South Dakota, and accurately forecast the outcome of every Senate race in our final battleground poll, conducted October 29 through November 1, 2004. The margin of error was +/- 4.1 percentage points.
PRESIDENTIAL VOTE -2004
STATE BUSH KERRY
CO-Actual 53% 46% CO-Zogby 49% 47%
FL-Actual 52% 47% FL-Zogby 48% 48%
IA-Actual 50% 49% IA-Zogby 45% 50%
MI-Actual 48% 51% MI-Zogby 46% 52%
MN-Actual 48% 51% MN-Zogby 45% 51%
NV-Actual 51% 48% NV-Zogby 50% 45%
NM-Actual 50% 49% NM-Zogby 48% 51%
OH-Actual 51% 49% OH-Zogby 49% 43%
PA-Actual 49% 51% PA-Zogby 46% 50%
WI-Actual 49% 50% WI-Zogby 45% 51%
** Zogby FINAL Oct. 29-Nov. 1, MOE +/- 4.1
SENATE RACES
DASCHLE THUNE SD-Actual 49% 51% SD-Zogby 46% 48% Oct 25-26 MOE +/- 3.5
SALAZAR COORS CO-Actual 51% 47% CO-Zogby 52% 44% Oct 29-Nov 1 MOE +/- 4.1
MARTINEZ CASTOR FL-Actual 50% 48% FL-Zogby 48% 43% Oct 29-Nov 1 MOE +/- 4.1
GRASSLEY SMALL IA-Actual 70% 28% IA-Zogby 69% 20% Oct 29-Nov 1 MOE +/- 4.1
REID ZISER NV-Actual 61% 35% NV-Zogby 57% 34% Oct 29-Nov 1 MOE +/- 4.1
VOINOVICH FINGERHUT OH-Actual 64% 36% OH-Zogby 56% 32% Oct 29-Nov 1 MOE +/- 4.1
SPECTER HOEFFEL PA-Actual 53% 42% PA-Zogby 53% 32% Oct 29-Nov 1 MOE +/- 4.1
FEINGOLD MICHELS WI-Actual 56% 44% WI-Zogby 58% 38% Oct 29-Nov 1 MOE +/- 4.1
Excellent. But where Jason Blair just gave leftist media bosses what they wanted to hear, Zogby has a more specific purpose:
Zogby exists to make Democrat election theft look plausible.
Zogby is really delusional.
If you look at his prez state numbers, he consitently understated the President's support by about 3-5% ... I have not run the numbers, and may not get the chance to, but he really blew the states.
That photo actually looks real. If the shoe fits...
I guess I must have been having hallucinations from drinking too much special sauce when I saw Zogman post his 5:00 pm prediction of a Kerry win!
Zogs is toast. He stole the exit poll data and repackaged them in his 5:00 pm "call" so's he could claim to be most accurate in 2004. But it blew up on him bigger than a Pali suicide belt.
I don't see many calls for his predicting services after this "projection". HA
ZOGBY is a muzzy you know.. biding time waiting for 72 virgins.. all muslims are timebombs..
Zog needs another job after one realizes what a liar and front man for the rats he has been while posing as a pollster.
So he would be perfect to be America's Baghdad Zog to defend the Islamofascists, their American political party the Rats, and other enemies of America.
Zogby is trying to have his cake and eat it too. His published numbers were as accurate as he could make them, but starting the Saturday before the election, he started giving interviews interpreting the data and saying that he was detecting a shift toward Kerry and that Kerry would probably win big, etc. But he never changed the individual numbers, because he thinks that his credibility is based on those numbers alone.
He cannot deny, however, that he stood up on Election Day and predicted a big Kerry win in the Electoral College.
My view is that Zogby has been building up political capital in the United States for decades by calling them as well as he could. He acted almost like a sleeper agent, toiling away to position himself to have the greatest possible effect at the critical moment. On Tuesday, he cashed in all of his chips in an attempt to influence this one election. This one was the all-or-nothing battle that he had been working toward for years.
But in the end, it wasn't enough. Now he is trying to pick up the pieces. We must not let him do so. We must not forget what Zogby tried to do here.
Zogby ... as one 'Rat to another ... here's your kool-aid!
This is nothing more than spin by Zogby, and it is a feeble attempt at that.
"Zogby has lost all credibility except for democrats who want to be filled with bogus information."
There will always be a market for that!
We will remember!
Sadly enough I saw Pat Robertson's program on the day before the election and he was about to introduce Zogby.
I immediately changed the channel.
Two delusional people who seemingly deserve each other.
"But it blew up on him bigger than a Pali suicide belt."
That's a good one. You should send it to Dan Rather to explain why their projections were wrong on election night.
Thanks. Is Dan still refusing to call Ohio?
I only have time for a short post, but here's what I've seen... (Z's Prez state polls):
He understated the Prez's strength by an average of 2.9% in these states. EVERY state, he understated it.
He understated the DIFFERENCE in the strength of the Prez vs sKerry support by 2.5%.
His special sauce ended up skewing his figures by about 3% in favor of the Demodog, on average, it appears ... and I have no more time to look further now. Whether intentional or not, it was a systematic error because there was not even a hint of scatter in these underestimates of the president's strength.
----
Thanks! Just another reason why Zog should find another job and forget about his polling gig.
The spin I am STILL hearing from the left was that Kerry opted not to "put the country through a repeat of the 2000 election". They think he COULD HAVE won if he had gone to the courts. They are delusional. There is no way that he would have gotten the necessary votes.
At least they now agree with us that he is a p***y.
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