Posted on 08/29/2016 6:20:29 AM PDT by usafa92
I also think it’s very unlikely the libertarian candidate will garner as much as these polls show, and the majority of those votes will go to Trump.
Not showing a “I’m with Hillary” landslide. Must be an alt-right wingnut crazy organization...
I also saw several AmishPAC billboards for Trump. I suspect that’s a voter group that doesn’t often vote.
The Rust Belt HATES NAFTA, GATT and TPP.
What do the elites NOT get about this???
Do you have the party breakdown of that new 855000 voters? How do we know it isn’t mostly transplanted Puerto Ricans that have flooded our state? These people are welfare loving dems and will never vote Trump. I’m hopeful that this isn’t the case and that the majority of the new registered voters are trump leaners, but we can’t take anything for granted. Trump is up against the media/dem/rhino establishment. That’s a tough wall to climb.
Turnpike is through mostly rural PA, so Republican always have support there.. How you win PA as a D is pretty much you have to win the Philly area HUGE... to overwhelm the rest of the state.. Harrisburg and Pitt also go D, but the populations are far less and don’t do so by such large margins..
Philly is the key to a D win in PA... and while I am not the ground there, what has been getting back to me is Hillary is not showing remotely the kind of support there that she needs to win... Add this to the enthusiasm throughout the rest of the state to vote Trump.. and I really don’t see how she has a chance in hell here...
I witnessed the lowevering of support for Obama in 12, but I missed that Romney was actually getting lower support that McCain... Had Romney just managed to get the voters to show up that McCain did 4 years earlier, the entire race would have been different.
What if you want to read the tea leaves in PA, its Philly to watch... Trump will get very solid support across the rest of the state with a LOT of enthusiasm... If Hillary isn’t carrying the PHilly area huge, and since there is absolutely ZERO enthusiasm for her anywhere, I am hard pressed to believe she will carry PA... and I don’t think it will be a nailbiter in PA either, but a very solid Trump win.
More evidence this race is wide open, with a good possibility of a route. Polls, even when correct, are only snap shots. We can suspect that Trump will do well with undecideds and with the voters who peel-off from Gary Johnson. I also appreciate the argument that turnout, if different from 2012, will favor Trump. We might be talking about a mandate for change, not merely dodging a bullet.
I find no real support for Hillary anywhere in PA or OH... granted its just anecdotal, but when I talk to groups that should be right up Hillary’s wheelhouse... Retirement aged women who have voted Democrat their entire lives... I haven’t found any that are motivated supporters for her..... none... many just won’t vote for her at all..
Trump is appealing very well to the blue collar dems base... he won’t steal all of it away, but he is going to get a lot of support from it in the rust belt in particular.
If we lose Va., we must make it up in Pa., Mi, Wisc.Minn, part of NH.
Yep, Hillary’s desperate, no telling what she’s capable of. Trump needs to stay on the economy. Everyone wants a better economy.
Also, its only been in the last week or two that Trump ads have really started to play in PA at least, not sure about OHIO.
There were a few just touchy feely ones running maybe a month ago, but just the last few weeks have seen Trump really take to the airways.
Hillary has dropped 100 Million or more in PA, OH, FL etc.... and hasn’t broken out and can’t... she’s tapped out there is nothing left for her to get...
“Anecdotally speaking....”
Oh, you’re not the only one to notice:
http://nypost.com/2016/08/22/stumped-by-trumps-success-take-a-drive-outside-us-cities/
The Florida primary back in March was a shocker to the pundits. That was to have been a "Trump firewall" as both Marco Rubio was still running (Jeb Bush had dropped out by then) and surely Trump was not going to beat Rubio in his home state. But he did and it wasn't even close. Trump won every single country except Miami-Dade (that went to Rubio).
For all practical purposes, Marco Rubio was finished that night and he suspended his campaign immediately.
Rubio was done in by the "monster vote" that nobody saw coming.
Trump will speak in front of the NAACP soon. All the media will say they shamed him into doing it and say it won’t matter in the least because he’s still David Duke’s favorite candidate.
Excuse me. I'm polling unseen monsters. Are you an unseen monster?
And are you voting for Hillary or that mean, evil repuglican, racist, with bad hair Donald Trump?
Did I mention he's a racist?
I remember Philly being an issue in the last few elections (IIRC it was some precincts in Philly that voted 100% or more for Obama in 2008 and/or 2012).
What about Pittsburgh - hasn’t that typically voted Dim? I think there are some (many?) blue collar workers there that might go Trump instead of Hillary, but would appreciate your thoughts.
TIA
John Anderson was the Independent candidate in 1980 election. In July of 1980 he had as high as 24% of the vote and Carter about tied with Reagan. Reagan was able to pull in 2/3 of Anderson’s vote in the last couple of months leaving Anderson with 7% and Reagan with a 10 point landslide over Carter. Anderson was a Republican turned Independent and he ended up being a placeholder for Reagan voters and key to his huge victory.
That's no reason to be complacent however. Trump should run the campaign like he's 10 points behind. However we have much reason to be optimistic and to feel good about our prospects.
“This is still doable, despite the entrenched white female opposition against him if he can continue to stay on Teleprompter message.”
I think this is a media generated lie, jumped started by Hillary Clinton supporter and Fox resident feminist Megyn Kelly. I have been to two Trump rallies and both had more women than men, and most were with their children. Women love Donald Trump. He’s seen as a strong leader and a real man, not a wimp. There is also no way HRC is leading in the polls when she comes out of her bunker every couple weeks for a 15 minute speech then heads right back to the bunker. All media generated nonsense to try and make people believe Trump has no chance.
Early on a lot of Dems switched party’s simply to vote for who they thought would be the worst candidate for the Republicans. I think early dems laughed at Trump. Now they are all running scared.
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