Posted on 08/29/2016 6:20:29 AM PDT by usafa92
To say that someone has a lead who never gives policy speaches BECAUSE SHE’S A DEMOCRAT WOMAN, and no other reason, is also being delusional. The new Manmouth poll came out today showing Clinton leading Trump by 7 points. That’s the big story. The headlines no media, including Fox, is reporting is this same poll had her leading by 13 pts 3 weeks ago. She lost 4, he gained 2. Trump is gaining on her sorry ass and will eventually take the lead and never look back.
Yes, Trump is in very good shape and hasn’t even started his own ad’s yet.
800 voters? That is ludicrous in today’s nation. Somebody looked up how to poll in their father’s Poly Sci textbook from 1968.
That’s an interesting point you made about the hoards of Puerto Ricans who have recently moved to Florida. Quite frankly, I had not considered that as a factor.
I don’t know the party breakdown of the new voters in Florida. It’s not 855,000 new voters. That number.....855,000 registered voters....is roughly 250,000 additional voters from four years ago, so it’s 250,000 new voters who never voted before. It’s not the State of Florida as a whole; that figure.....855,000 registered voters....is just for the central portion of The Sunshine State.
There’s is another group of voters in central Florida who haven’t voted in years, but they are registering in large numbers. This is in addition to the 250,000 “never voted before” voters.
From the anecdotal stories I’ve heard since the primaries began, I still believe there are huge numbers of Trump supporters across the country, including in Florida, that are intending to vote for Trump but are keeping their preferences to themselves because of the way Trump and his supporters are being treated by the left.
There was a story during the primaries of a woman in her nineties who never voted before in her life, but she finally registered to vote in order to vote for Trump.
Let’s hope the “Monster Vote” comes through in November.
Sigh? Really?
First, that is actually the case - he ran his first ads this past week (since the convention). Second, the campaign has indicated that there will be an ad blitz in some battleground states starting very soon. Why spend in the summer, during the Olympics especially, when nobody is paying attention.
Illary has spent about $200 million on ads, and that combined with her “convention bump” and 98% media compliance has given her a lead of a few points at most - and that skewed her way by using the voting patterns of the past couple of election cycles (which is incredibly dubious).
Trump is NOT Bush 41, Dole, McCain or Romney. He is no milquetoast, and will bring the battle to Illary’s territory.
Trump is NOT Bush 41, Dole, McCain or Romney. He is no milquetoast, and will bring the battle to Illary’s territory.
***
Minor correction:
He is no milquetoast, and ALREADY HAS BROUGHT the battle to Illary’s territory.
Trump doesn’t need MI, WI, or certainly MN (although the more the merrier if he can get them). VA looks increasingly unlikely, but that’s not a necessity either. I think Trump’s most likely paths to the presidency at the moment if he keeps Romney’s states are:
-FL, OH, and PA
-FL, OH, NV, IA, and NH
The latter will only get him to a tie but he would most likely win the vote in the Republican controlled House. He could win outright with that last scenario if he also adds the 1 electoral vote from Maine’s Congressional District 2. PA and NH will be the most challenging states out of those two scenarios, but this poll shows he’s still very much in contention in PA and last month even Nate Silver was saying that Trump would win NH. Trump’s lost support in NH since then, but it shouldn’t be that hard to get them to come back to the fold.
(If he could win MI, it would make up for PA or OH if he loses either of those, but I think a win in PA and OH would be more likely. MI+WI or MI+two of the small swing states (NV, IA, or NH) would make up for a FL loss if he gets PA and OH, but I think he’s much more likely to win FL than MI.)
(Broken record)...those favorable / unfavorable numbers being at parity is a result of the lack of a media campaign. Hillary’s strategy is to make herself the “least disliked” candidate. She is running unopposed in the air war and that is likely what is making the difference. It isn’t exactly a tall order to overtake Hillary’s abysmal favorability ratings...yet it isn’t being done.
I saw this news story about how people in prison can vote in Maine (and Vermont). I wish the Governor would have done something about this in 2011 when he had the State House.
They had this B from the NAACP who’s dedicated her life to helping jailbirds vote (she got teary when mentioning her friend stop talking to her after the friend’s daughter was murdered) going to a Maine Penitentiary and talking to a group of scum.
There were 9 of them, mostly murderers, it’s a White state but only 3 were white. 7 said they were voting for Hillary (1 of them said he wanted to hear more from the other candidates) 2 for Trump, 1 White Guy and 1 Black guy who was reluctant to raise his hand.
One murderer expressed concern about kids “talking like Trump”.
Agree, Trump is in very good shape.
New OHIO is just out!!!
Aug. 26-Sep. 1 IPSOS Trump 46% Clinton 43%
The last IPSOS poll for Ohio had Clinton up by 5%.
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