Posted on 09/11/2012 6:21:19 AM PDT by Ravi
see above
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
Yeah maybe we could. But he’s running and I can’t take the pay cut. Just deal with the hand we are dealt.
To me the main issue is how horrible Romney is campaigning.
^ THIS ^
With less than two months left remaining, Mittens has yet to close the deal with an immense (and electorally crucial) swath of the electorate -- against the most fiscally ruinous incumbent President in all of recorded American history, mind.
At some point, has yet to inevitably curdles into has NOT.
This place was full of pop-eyed, red-faced Mittens partisans monotonously booming that -- the very nano-second he'd accepted his nomination at this year's convention, and thus could legally do so -- he'd be unleashing (to use the term employed by dozens and dozens of 'em) the "Death Star" of a powerful, aggressive, ball-out-and-hellfire killer advertising blitzkrieg against The Won.
Talk is cheap.
I think the last few days was the Clinton bounce and not the Obama bounce. As others have mentioned the bounce seems to be happening from heavily blue states. The swing states have not seen the bounce.
Romney needs to get his game going though and Republicans have to start “worrying” in public and go on offense.
“O” is going to lose this race.
I believe the Bradley eect is dead and it’s just something we tell ourselves to keep our spirits up.
If you have some info to the contrary I’d love to see it.
This election will swing on turnout. The dems were +7 in 2008. No way that happens again. At most it’ll be dems +3.
Actually, it was talked about ad nauseum on FR in the runup to the 2008 elections. Many FReepers placed desperate hopes that it would materialize... it didn't, and it won't now. The "Bradley Effect" is a mirage.
The main point in the rassmuten poll is that “O” is back below 50%....he cannot win if that is the case!!!
I agree that the campaign needs to get aggressive against Obama. We need to tie Obama’s policies to the state of the economy.
I suspect that what is happening is that Romney and Ryan are waiting until the after the convention bounce subsides to start pounding. Wait until the numbers are about even, then go full barrel.
We have seen how fickle these moderate voters are - they have a very short attention span.
There was no Bradley in 2008, in fact we had opposite Bradley in 2008.
Myth needs to be up by 4-5 to win this IMHO
“I believe the Bradley eect is dead and its just something we tell ourselves to keep our spirits up.”
Exactly. It was a one-time phenomenon.
Obama will probably lose another point or two in the next few days. By my calculation, Obama had a few really good days - Friday, Saturday, and Sunday. As those days roll off the average, this race will be back to even.
Just four short years ago, this place was jam-packed with posters braying that "The Bradley Effect" wasn't being properly taken into account, re: McCain's increasingly dire polling numbers versus The One, and that the old man would therefore end up winning the whole thing in a walk. (One such poster repeatedly insisted that "a 47-state sweep" was the absolute barest minimum we could expect, thanks to -- you guessed it -- said "Bradley Effect.")
Uh-huh.
My problem w Romney is not really Romneys’ fault at all, but he is really out of touch And not remotely connected to what the rest of us in this horrible economy are feeling and dread if obama gets four more years.
Romney lacks that visceral passion for the horrible effects of obama’s policies. Romney is not facing survival if Obama is re-elected like the rest of us are.
Its not his fault and I applaud his success, but he does not come across as connected to just how bad obama is on many levels. Romney is not a street fighter and has zero survival instincts when faced with a communist threat like obama.
To beat Obama , Romney needs to get in the gutter and duke it out on obamas terms and beat him at it.
So far Romney has not done so and played panzie and its not working.
Romney should be up by 5 at least at this point.
And this election that goes the OPPOSITE way. 2008 it was cool and exciting and historic to vote for the "first black" POTUS. In 2012, many don't want to publicly admit they were fools and are now reversing and NOT voting for the "black" POTUS.
Nationwide. What’s going on in the swing states is what’s important and Romney is holding his own there.
The SAME exact hopes were expressed in 2008... almost verbatim. If anything, the final gap exceed most polls. There was no "Bradley Effect" then and there isn't now. Placing hope in that mirage will meet with disappointment. The only unknown is R vs D turnout.
Yeah. The U.S. has too many people feeding from the public troth. There are more people voting for everyone elses money than people working to earn it. They don't care if the nation falls as long as they think they can steal another dollar a month from a neighbor.
I think America started it's decline the day the politicians learned they could take one persons paycheck and simply hand it over to another in exchange for a vote. Somehow, they've managed to turn their political thievery into a "Constitutional right."
The other point to consider is the effect of the Romney ad spend due to the large amount of cash that came available to him after the nomination!!!
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