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Rasmussen Reports (O48 R45) bounce over?
rasmussen ^ | 9/11/12 | rasmussen

Posted on 09/11/2012 6:21:19 AM PDT by Ravi

see above

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: polls; romney; romney2012; stillnodeathstar
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To: Ravi
Tuesday. Just released. The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows President Obama attracting support from 48% of voters nationwide, while Mitt Romney earns 45% of the vote. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided.
21 posted on 09/11/2012 6:37:09 AM PDT by InterceptPoint (.)
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To: GlockThe Vote

Yeah maybe we could. But he’s running and I can’t take the pay cut. Just deal with the hand we are dealt.


22 posted on 09/11/2012 6:37:56 AM PDT by Ravi
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To: GlockThe Vote
3 plus for obama is still a mess.

To me the main issue is how horrible Romney is campaigning.

^ THIS ^

With less than two months left remaining, Mittens has yet to close the deal with an immense (and electorally crucial) swath of the electorate -- against the most fiscally ruinous incumbent President in all of recorded American history, mind.

At some point, has yet to inevitably curdles into has NOT.

This place was full of pop-eyed, red-faced Mittens partisans monotonously booming that -- the very nano-second he'd accepted his nomination at this year's convention, and thus could legally do so -- he'd be unleashing (to use the term employed by dozens and dozens of 'em) the "Death Star" of a powerful, aggressive, ball-out-and-hellfire killer advertising blitzkrieg against The Won.

Talk is cheap.

23 posted on 09/11/2012 6:38:04 AM PDT by KentTrappedInLiberalSeattle ("If you're not fiscally AND socially conservative, you're not conservative!" - Jim Robinson, 9-1-10)
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To: lonestar

I think the last few days was the Clinton bounce and not the Obama bounce. As others have mentioned the bounce seems to be happening from heavily blue states. The swing states have not seen the bounce.

Romney needs to get his game going though and Republicans have to start “worrying” in public and go on offense.


24 posted on 09/11/2012 6:39:11 AM PDT by Wright Wing
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To: Ravi
Say what you want.... America has reached a critical mass. Many, and rightly, see themselves as forced to think of nothing beyond the immediate preservation of their very lives and livelihood.

“O” is going to lose this race.

25 posted on 09/11/2012 6:40:18 AM PDT by SMARTY ("The man who has no inner-life is a slave to his surroundings. "Henri Frederic Amiel)
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To: scbison

I believe the Bradley eect is dead and it’s just something we tell ourselves to keep our spirits up.

If you have some info to the contrary I’d love to see it.

This election will swing on turnout. The dems were +7 in 2008. No way that happens again. At most it’ll be dems +3.


26 posted on 09/11/2012 6:40:30 AM PDT by Jake8898
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To: scbison
Everybody forgets there is a bradley affect.. It wasn’t talked about much but the polls in 2008 polls

Actually, it was talked about ad nauseum on FR in the runup to the 2008 elections. Many FReepers placed desperate hopes that it would materialize... it didn't, and it won't now. The "Bradley Effect" is a mirage.

27 posted on 09/11/2012 6:42:18 AM PDT by ScottinVA (If Obama is reelected, America will deserve every mockery that follows.)
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To: InterceptPoint

The main point in the rassmuten poll is that “O” is back below 50%....he cannot win if that is the case!!!


28 posted on 09/11/2012 6:43:02 AM PDT by ontap
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To: KentTrappedInLiberalSeattle

I agree that the campaign needs to get aggressive against Obama. We need to tie Obama’s policies to the state of the economy.

I suspect that what is happening is that Romney and Ryan are waiting until the after the convention bounce subsides to start pounding. Wait until the numbers are about even, then go full barrel.

We have seen how fickle these moderate voters are - they have a very short attention span.


29 posted on 09/11/2012 6:43:11 AM PDT by mrs9x
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To: MrDem

There was no Bradley in 2008, in fact we had opposite Bradley in 2008.

Myth needs to be up by 4-5 to win this IMHO


30 posted on 09/11/2012 6:43:54 AM PDT by GlockThe Vote (The Obama Adminstration: 2nd wave of attacks on America after 9/11)
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To: InterceptPoint
The main point in the Rasmussen poll is that “O” is back below 50%....he cannot win if that is the case!!!
31 posted on 09/11/2012 6:43:57 AM PDT by ontap
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To: Jake8898

“I believe the Bradley eect is dead and it’s just something we tell ourselves to keep our spirits up.”

Exactly. It was a one-time phenomenon.


32 posted on 09/11/2012 6:45:39 AM PDT by ScottinVA (If Obama is reelected, America will deserve every mockery that follows.)
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To: ontap

Obama will probably lose another point or two in the next few days. By my calculation, Obama had a few really good days - Friday, Saturday, and Sunday. As those days roll off the average, this race will be back to even.


33 posted on 09/11/2012 6:45:55 AM PDT by mrs9x
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To: Jake8898
I believe the Bradley eect is dead and it’s just something we tell ourselves to keep our spirits up.

Just four short years ago, this place was jam-packed with posters braying that "The Bradley Effect" wasn't being properly taken into account, re: McCain's increasingly dire polling numbers versus The One, and that the old man would therefore end up winning the whole thing in a walk. (One such poster repeatedly insisted that "a 47-state sweep" was the absolute barest minimum we could expect, thanks to -- you guessed it -- said "Bradley Effect.")

Uh-huh.

34 posted on 09/11/2012 6:46:52 AM PDT by KentTrappedInLiberalSeattle ("If you're not fiscally AND socially conservative, you're not conservative!" - Jim Robinson, 9-1-10)
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To: rwfromkansas

My problem w Romney is not really Romneys’ fault at all, but he is really out of touch And not remotely connected to what the rest of us in this horrible economy are feeling and dread if obama gets four more years.

Romney lacks that visceral passion for the horrible effects of obama’s policies. Romney is not facing survival if Obama is re-elected like the rest of us are.

Its not his fault and I applaud his success, but he does not come across as connected to just how bad obama is on many levels. Romney is not a street fighter and has zero survival instincts when faced with a communist threat like obama.

To beat Obama , Romney needs to get in the gutter and duke it out on obamas terms and beat him at it.

So far Romney has not done so and played panzie and its not working.

Romney should be up by 5 at least at this point.


35 posted on 09/11/2012 6:49:47 AM PDT by GlockThe Vote (The Obama Adminstration: 2nd wave of attacks on America after 9/11)
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To: GlockThe Vote
There was no Bradley in 2008, in fact we had opposite Bradley in 2008.

And this election that goes the OPPOSITE way. 2008 it was cool and exciting and historic to vote for the "first black" POTUS. In 2012, many don't want to publicly admit they were fools and are now reversing and NOT voting for the "black" POTUS.

36 posted on 09/11/2012 6:50:08 AM PDT by MrDem (Founder: Democrats for Cheney/Palin 2012)
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To: InterceptPoint

Nationwide. What’s going on in the swing states is what’s important and Romney is holding his own there.


37 posted on 09/11/2012 6:50:08 AM PDT by randita
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To: MrDem
I think there is at a MINIMUM a 5 point Bradley effect in play. Combine that with the hyper-broken glass points and we are in good shape.

The SAME exact hopes were expressed in 2008... almost verbatim. If anything, the final gap exceed most polls. There was no "Bradley Effect" then and there isn't now. Placing hope in that mirage will meet with disappointment. The only unknown is R vs D turnout.

38 posted on 09/11/2012 6:50:18 AM PDT by ScottinVA (If Obama is reelected, America will deserve every mockery that follows.)
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To: GeronL
With this economy and everything else this should have been a landslide cakewalk for the GOP

Yeah. The U.S. has too many people feeding from the public troth. There are more people voting for everyone elses money than people working to earn it. They don't care if the nation falls as long as they think they can steal another dollar a month from a neighbor.

I think America started it's decline the day the politicians learned they could take one persons paycheck and simply hand it over to another in exchange for a vote. Somehow, they've managed to turn their political thievery into a "Constitutional right."

39 posted on 09/11/2012 6:51:21 AM PDT by concerned about politics ("Get thee behind me, Liberal")
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To: mrs9x

The other point to consider is the effect of the Romney ad spend due to the large amount of cash that came available to him after the nomination!!!


40 posted on 09/11/2012 6:51:21 AM PDT by ontap
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