Skip to comments.Rasmussen Reports (O48 R45) bounce over?
Posted on 09/11/2012 6:21:19 AM PDT by Ravi
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
still 3 points for O
down from 5
3 plus for obama is still a mess.
To me the main issue is how horrible Romney is campaigning.
Are you FNG kidding me? This is the biggest election of our lifetime and we have a milquetoast p$%^y who can’t fight his way out of paper bag going against communists hell bent on collapsing this nation.
RR better change course fast or we are in big trouble.
TAKE THAT ONE TO THE BANK!
The dolt laden samples from late last week and the weekend are starting to roll off or are being mixed with much more accurate samples early week. Will be tied, or RR up by late week.
Heaven help us all!
tell me how you really feel. no worries mate, I think we should win in spite of Mitt’s lack of aggression.
Everybody forgets there is a bradley affect.. It wasn’t talked about much but the polls in 2008 polls had alot more whites voting for O than the actual votes results.
They have gone after Obama plenty. He is fighting much harder than McCain in my view. If he doesn’t go after Obama pretty strong at the debates, I will agree with you. But for now, I don’t have complaints really. He has stated plenty the damage Obama has done.
Unless people are lying to Rasmussen this country is finished.
bounce not over...but winding down.
Since the Dem convention honestly have been down. Cant watTh TV, I have hardly read FR. Romney campaign called me yesterday for money and I gave them an earfull! The media is in full metal jacket, this is going to be a tough 2 months.
I always say what i feel, but I just see Romney mailing it in.
I can’t believe how tepid his campaign is.
He has been running for 6 years and this is the best he has got?
Come on. You and i could do better against the obamunist.
I think there is at a MINIMUM a 5 point Bradley effect in play. Combine that with the hyper-broken glass points and we are in good shape.
was there a real bounce?
Come out from the bunker. Sun is shining through.
With this economy and everything else this should have been a landslide cakewalk for the GOP
Add the poor job numbers released last week and the stupidity becomes even more evident.
Yeah maybe we could. But he’s running and I can’t take the pay cut. Just deal with the hand we are dealt.
To me the main issue is how horrible Romney is campaigning.
^ THIS ^
With less than two months left remaining, Mittens has yet to close the deal with an immense (and electorally crucial) swath of the electorate -- against the most fiscally ruinous incumbent President in all of recorded American history, mind.
At some point, has yet to inevitably curdles into has NOT.
This place was full of pop-eyed, red-faced Mittens partisans monotonously booming that -- the very nano-second he'd accepted his nomination at this year's convention, and thus could legally do so -- he'd be unleashing (to use the term employed by dozens and dozens of 'em) the "Death Star" of a powerful, aggressive, ball-out-and-hellfire killer advertising blitzkrieg against The Won.
Talk is cheap.
I think the last few days was the Clinton bounce and not the Obama bounce. As others have mentioned the bounce seems to be happening from heavily blue states. The swing states have not seen the bounce.
Romney needs to get his game going though and Republicans have to start “worrying” in public and go on offense.
“O” is going to lose this race.
I believe the Bradley eect is dead and it’s just something we tell ourselves to keep our spirits up.
If you have some info to the contrary I’d love to see it.
This election will swing on turnout. The dems were +7 in 2008. No way that happens again. At most it’ll be dems +3.
Actually, it was talked about ad nauseum on FR in the runup to the 2008 elections. Many FReepers placed desperate hopes that it would materialize... it didn't, and it won't now. The "Bradley Effect" is a mirage.
The main point in the rassmuten poll is that “O” is back below 50%....he cannot win if that is the case!!!
I agree that the campaign needs to get aggressive against Obama. We need to tie Obama’s policies to the state of the economy.
I suspect that what is happening is that Romney and Ryan are waiting until the after the convention bounce subsides to start pounding. Wait until the numbers are about even, then go full barrel.
We have seen how fickle these moderate voters are - they have a very short attention span.
There was no Bradley in 2008, in fact we had opposite Bradley in 2008.
Myth needs to be up by 4-5 to win this IMHO
“I believe the Bradley eect is dead and its just something we tell ourselves to keep our spirits up.”
Exactly. It was a one-time phenomenon.
Obama will probably lose another point or two in the next few days. By my calculation, Obama had a few really good days - Friday, Saturday, and Sunday. As those days roll off the average, this race will be back to even.
Just four short years ago, this place was jam-packed with posters braying that "The Bradley Effect" wasn't being properly taken into account, re: McCain's increasingly dire polling numbers versus The One, and that the old man would therefore end up winning the whole thing in a walk. (One such poster repeatedly insisted that "a 47-state sweep" was the absolute barest minimum we could expect, thanks to -- you guessed it -- said "Bradley Effect.")
My problem w Romney is not really Romneys’ fault at all, but he is really out of touch And not remotely connected to what the rest of us in this horrible economy are feeling and dread if obama gets four more years.
Romney lacks that visceral passion for the horrible effects of obama’s policies. Romney is not facing survival if Obama is re-elected like the rest of us are.
Its not his fault and I applaud his success, but he does not come across as connected to just how bad obama is on many levels. Romney is not a street fighter and has zero survival instincts when faced with a communist threat like obama.
To beat Obama , Romney needs to get in the gutter and duke it out on obamas terms and beat him at it.
So far Romney has not done so and played panzie and its not working.
Romney should be up by 5 at least at this point.
And this election that goes the OPPOSITE way. 2008 it was cool and exciting and historic to vote for the "first black" POTUS. In 2012, many don't want to publicly admit they were fools and are now reversing and NOT voting for the "black" POTUS.
Nationwide. What’s going on in the swing states is what’s important and Romney is holding his own there.
The SAME exact hopes were expressed in 2008... almost verbatim. If anything, the final gap exceed most polls. There was no "Bradley Effect" then and there isn't now. Placing hope in that mirage will meet with disappointment. The only unknown is R vs D turnout.
Yeah. The U.S. has too many people feeding from the public troth. There are more people voting for everyone elses money than people working to earn it. They don't care if the nation falls as long as they think they can steal another dollar a month from a neighbor.
I think America started it's decline the day the politicians learned they could take one persons paycheck and simply hand it over to another in exchange for a vote. Somehow, they've managed to turn their political thievery into a "Constitutional right."
The other point to consider is the effect of the Romney ad spend due to the large amount of cash that came available to him after the nomination!!!
Me thinks the pollsters are getting a little nervous that the American public are wising up to their ‘juicing the numbers’ scams.
Thank you, “El Rushbo”
Are you seriously suggesting that Bammy is going to have the same black turnout as in 2008? Acorn got busted.
A fraction of that vote, maybe.
The “black vote” is irrelvent since it is concentrated in areas obama will win anyway by and large.
What i worry about are the throngs and masses of lib white women who are as energized as ever to put obama back in office.
I just keep remembering 2008 - FR was in denial to very end. The polls ain’t good. It remains to be seen whether or not they’re accurate.
Romney needs to grab the patriotic high ground and stomp Obama into the mud.
Really? A president that can’t break 50%.. not good. I also heard that Obama’s national numbers are skewed by wide margins in California and New York. In battleground state he is tied or behind.
About half those without a job, don't want a job as long as they have an unemployment check.
We've just had stories how in Cleveland and Wisconsin, hundreds of thousands of black registered voters have "disappeared". Phony ACORN voters going POOF!
Like you, I found the DNC Godless abortionpalooza very disturbing, and find even more disturbing how Obama’s numbers could possibly go up. It seems we may not be the same country as when the ‘68 and ‘72 Dem conventions turned people off to the leftist party in our country.
Well, Saturday and Sunday were horrible polling days for Romney, as might be expected the weekend after the Dem Convention.
This will even out over the next couple of days.
Obama does seem to be controlling the narrative at the moment with his stupid “tax cuts for your sex life” schtick. Of course he gets the usual support from the media. Romney needs to step it up.