[ScottinVA]

I think there is at a MINIMUM a 5 point Bradley effect in play. Combine that with the hyper-broken glass points and we are in good shape.

The SAME exact hopes were expressed in 2008... almost verbatim. If anything, the final gap exceed most polls. There was no "Bradley Effect" then and there isn't now. Placing hope in that mirage will meet with disappointment. The only unknown is R vs D turnout.

[MrDem]

There was no "Bradley Effect" then and there isn't now. There was a huge reverse "Bradley Effect" then. Now there are many who realized what a disaster that was but are not willing to publicly admit it, bit they will stay home or pull the lever for Romney and fix their "mistake".

[JPG]

Obama is not doing as well this time around with many groups who overwhelmingly supported him in 2008. How many are telling pollsters they are voting for Zero but may not even turn out to vote? Enthusiasm will be big factor.

[Shamrock498]

Of the 23 major surveys conducted in the final days of the 2008 campaign, 17 overstated obama’s victory margin. 4 understated and 2 were spot on.

http://blog.chron.com/txpotomac/2008/11/the-list-which-presidential-polls-were-most-accurate/

[Theodore R.]

I agree; the Bradley effect is long forgotten if it ever existed. People who like Obama are the ones who will climb over broken class to keep him there.