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A true blowout is now possible
RealClearPolitics ^ | 6 October 2006 | Suart Rothenberg

Posted on 10/08/2006 11:26:23 AM PDT by YaYa123

After looking at the news for the past 10 days or so, I have to wonder how Democrats can possibly fail in their efforts to take both the House and the Senate.

The national atmospherics don’t merely favor Democrats; they set the stage for a blowout of cosmic proportions next month.

No, that’s not a prediction, since Republicans still have a month to “localize” enough races to hold onto one or both chambers of Congress. But you don’t have to be Teddy White or V.O. Key to know that the GOP is now flirting with disaster.

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: election; nov7; prediction
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Ok folks, this is the worst casing it I've seen, but Rothenberg is seen, heard, and respected all round. We might as well deposit it in our memory banks for 8 November.
1 posted on 10/08/2006 11:26:24 AM PDT by YaYa123
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To: YaYa123

The R's need to attack.


2 posted on 10/08/2006 11:27:58 AM PDT by kinoxi (.)
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To: YaYa123
People have to actually get out of bed and go vote.

Advantage Republicans.
3 posted on 10/08/2006 11:28:15 AM PDT by msnimje (Democratic Leftists are nothing like LIBERAL. They are intolerant and intellectual cowards.)
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To: msnimje

Not necessarily, the dead don't have to go to the polls!


4 posted on 10/08/2006 11:30:27 AM PDT by sibb1213
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To: msnimje

Yeah, but the other side will get 'em out of the grave to vote.


5 posted on 10/08/2006 11:30:51 AM PDT by bleach
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To: sibb1213

You beat me to the thought.


6 posted on 10/08/2006 11:32:02 AM PDT by bleach
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To: YaYa123

They are still unwilling to focus on the truth that most people are reluctant to vote THEIR congressman out of office without a good reason. When the GOP campaigned on the "Contract with America" in 1994, they offered voters a reason to vote for them. "We hate Bush" is not a reason for people in many GOP districts, nor is Mark Foley. The reason it took the GOP so long to take the House in 1994 was because incumbency is so safe and the Contract with America was years in the making before it worked. What the media won't realize is that not all 'Rat districts are safe either as evidenced by the Murtha race.


7 posted on 10/08/2006 11:32:34 AM PDT by wagglebee ("We are ready for the greatest achievements in the history of freedom." -- President Bush, 1/20/05)
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To: YaYa123

bs


8 posted on 10/08/2006 11:33:51 AM PDT by shield (A wise man's heart is at his RIGHT hand; but a fool's heart at his LEFT. Ecc 10:2)
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To: wagglebee

Explain Santorum.


9 posted on 10/08/2006 11:34:13 AM PDT by MineralMan (Non-evangelical Atheist)
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To: wagglebee

"What the media won't realize is that not all 'Rat districts are safe either as evidenced by the Murtha race.
"

You have poll numbers on the Murtha race? I haven't seen any. I'm thinking Murtha's going to win, despite himself.


10 posted on 10/08/2006 11:35:16 AM PDT by MineralMan (Non-evangelical Atheist)
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To: MineralMan

I think the only real explanation for Santorum is that he is too conservative for PA.


11 posted on 10/08/2006 11:35:33 AM PDT by wagglebee ("We are ready for the greatest achievements in the history of freedom." -- President Bush, 1/20/05)
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To: YaYa123

So Stu's been watching the "news"?

Hey Stu, WE DID NOT ELECT THE "NEWS" TO RUN THIS COUNTRY.


12 posted on 10/08/2006 11:36:08 AM PDT by roses of sharon
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To: YaYa123

Come Hell or High Water, I know I'm
voting straight Republican, regardless
of WHAT the Dems do to besmirch my party!


13 posted on 10/08/2006 11:37:32 AM PDT by Grendel9
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To: MineralMan

This is the latest I can find and it has Irey within ten points, but the margin is getting smaller.

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1713109/posts


14 posted on 10/08/2006 11:37:54 AM PDT by wagglebee ("We are ready for the greatest achievements in the history of freedom." -- President Bush, 1/20/05)
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To: wagglebee

Perhaps he is. Yet, he's been elected there before. It certainly appears that he will not win this one, though. My point is that incumbency is not a guarantee any longer.

Folks are not happy right now. They're not happy about a lot of things, and I'm including folks from both sides of the political spectrum.

I don't know how things will go on Nov. 7. I'm working for my own state's candidates. But I'm not liking what I'm seeing all that much. I guess we'll all find out in about a month.


15 posted on 10/08/2006 11:39:12 AM PDT by MineralMan (Non-evangelical Atheist)
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To: YaYa123

After looking at the news for the past 10 days or so,.......... Who is writing the news stewie ?


16 posted on 10/08/2006 11:40:39 AM PDT by UB355 (Slower traffic keep right)
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To: kinoxi
The R's need to attack.

That's the problem, people like Reynolds apologizing. instead of coming out saying "Has anyone ever heard of Gerry L. Studs?"

17 posted on 10/08/2006 11:43:06 AM PDT by montag813
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To: wagglebee

Correct. Everyone "hates" congress but "likes" their own congressman.


18 posted on 10/08/2006 11:44:25 AM PDT by monkeyshine
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To: MineralMan

Santorum is a pretty conservative guy in a blue state that seems to be growing 'bluer'.


19 posted on 10/08/2006 11:45:42 AM PDT by ilgipper
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To: wagglebee

Bill Kristol this morning said voters around the country aren't going to base their vote on what some creep congressman in Florida did. And Laura Ingraham said voters want their congressmen to fight back, to get off defense.

I have good days and bad...and I've figured out the more TV I watch, the worse I feel, that constant MSNBC/democrat drumbeat foretelling our defeat IS depressing. But hopefully, it's what will get us to the polls.


20 posted on 10/08/2006 11:45:44 AM PDT by YaYa123
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