Posted on 06/22/2020 2:08:09 PM PDT by sodpoodle
1- Basic auto repair shops will disappear. Read on to know why.
2- A gas/diesel engine has 20,000 individual parts. An electrical motor has only 20 parts. Electric cars are sold with lifetime guarantees and are repaired only by dealers. It takes only 10 minutes to remove and replace an electric motor.
3- Faulty electric motors are not repaired in the dealership but are sent to a regional repair shop that repairs them with robots
4- Your electric motor malfunction light goes on, so you drive up to what looks like a car wash, and your car is towed through while you have a cup of coffee and out comes your car with a new electric motor!
5- Gas pumps will go away.
6- Street corners will have meters that dispense electricity. Companies will install electrical recharging stations; in fact, they’ve already started in the developed world.
7- Smart major auto manufacturers have already designated money to start building new plants that build only electric cars.
8-Coal industries will go away. Gasoline/oil companies will go away. Drilling for oil will stop. Say goodbye to OPEC! The middle east is in trouble.
9- Homes will produce and store more electrical energy during the day and than they use, and will sell it back to the grid. The grid stores it and dispense it to industries that are high electricity users. Has anybody seen the Tesla roof?
10- A baby of today will see personal cars only in museums. The FUTURE is approaching faster than most of us can handle.
11- In 1998, Kodak had 170,000 employees and sold 85% of all photo paper worldwide. Within just a few years, their business model disappeared and they went bankrupt. Who would have thought of that ever happening?
12- What happened to Kodak and Polaroid will happen in a lot of industries in the next 5-10 years ... and most of us don't see it coming.
13- Did you think in 1998 that 3 years later you'd NEVER take pictures on film again? With today’s smartphones, who even has a camera these days?
14- Yet digital cameras were invented in 1975. The first ones only had 10,000 pixels, but followed Moore's law – that technological capacity will DOUBLE every year. So as with all exponential technologies, it was a disappointment for a time, before it became 'way superior and became mainstream in only a few short years.
15- It will now happen again (but much faster) with Artificial Intelligence (AI), health, autonomous and electric cars, education, 3D printing, agriculture and jobs.
16- Forget the book, “Future Shock”, welcome to the 4 th Industrial Revolution.
17- Software has disrupted and will continue to disrupt most traditional industries in the next 5-10 years.
18- UBER is just a software tool, they don't own any cars, and are now the biggest taxi company in the world! Ask any taxi driver if they saw that coming.
19- Airbnb is now the biggest hotel company in the world, although they don't own any properties. Ask Hilton Hotels if they saw that coming.
20- Artificial Intelligence: Computers become exponentially better in understanding the world. This year, a computer beat the best Go player in the world, 10 years earlier than expected.
21- In the USA, young lawyers already don't get jobs. Because of computers, you can get legal advice (so far for right now, the basic stuff) within seconds, with 90% accuracy – compared with 70% accuracy when done by humans. So, if you study law, stop immediately. There will be 90% fewer lawyers in the future, (what a thought!) only omniscient specialists will remain.
22- Computer programs already help nurses diagnosing cancer, and the programs are 4 times more accurate than human nurses.
23- Facebook now has a pattern recognition software that can recognize faces better than humans. In 2030, computers will become more intelligent than humans...
24- Autonomous cars: In 2018 the first self-driving cars are already here. In the next 2 years, the entire industry will start to be disrupted. You won’t WANT to own a car anymore as you will call a car with your phone, it will show up at your location and drive you to your destination
25- You will not need to park it. You will pay only for the driven distance and you can be productive while driving The very young children of today will never get a driver's license and will never own a car.
26- This will change our cities because we will need 90-95% fewer cars. We can transform former parking lots into green parks.
27- About 1.2 million people die each year in car accidents worldwide including distracted or drunk driving. We now have one accident every 60,000 miles. With autonomous driving that will drop to 1 accident in 6 million miles. That will save more than a million lives worldwide each year.
28- Some traditional car companies will doubtless become bankrupt. They will try the evolutionary approach and just build a better car, while tech companies (Tesla, Apple, Google) will do the revolutionary approach and build a computer on wheels.
29- Look at what Volvo is doing right now; no more internal combustion engines in their vehicles starting this year – with the 2019 models using all-electric or hybrid only, with the intent of phasing out the hybrid models.
30- Many engineers from Volkswagen and Audi are completely terrified of Tesla – and they should be. Look at all the companies offering all-electric vehicles. That was unheard of only a few years ago.
31- Insurance companies will have massive trouble because, without accidents, the costs will become cheaper. Their auto insurance business model will disappear.
32- Real estate will change. If you can work from home (or from literally anywhere), people will abandon their towers to move far away to more beautiful affordable locations ...
33- Electric cars will become mainstream about 2030. Cities will be less noisy because all new cars will run on electricity.
34- Cities will have much cleaner air as well.
35- Electricity will become incredibly cheap and clean.
36- Solar production has been on an exponential curve for 30 years, but you can now see the burgeoning impact. And it’s just getting ramped up.
37- Fossil energy companies are desperately trying to limit access to the grid to prevent competition from home solar installations, but that simply cannot continue - technology will take care of that strategy.
38- Health: The "Tricorder X" will be announced this year. There are companies who will build a medical device (called the Tricorder from Star Trek) that works with your phone – taking your retina scan, your blood sample, and you breathe into it. It then analyses 54 bio-markers that will identify nearly any disease. There are dozens of phone apps out right now for health.
WELCOME TO TOMORROW! – some of these actually arrived already.
One word... Theranos.
“..like the goobermint will let you go more than 50 miles....”
Bingo.
Antifa won’t let you either.
Of course they will likely merge soon anyway.
Come with a 2,000 mile long extension cord for your cross country vacation drive.
I'm still waiting for a jet pack.
There is a Charles Addams cartoon from the 1930s with businessman leaning out an office window with a science fiction-looking rifle plugged into a wall outlet and the quote, "death ray, fiddlesticks, it didn't even slow them up."
Face it each election has very little energy and transferring them to a storage medium is not fast, not IMO can it never be fast because the heat generated would melt down the wiring!!!
Will you have to drop it into the toilet?
Unicorn farts and fairy dust.
AOC won’t allow families to travel that far. In fact she may outlaw families.
ping
Maybe not electric cars but this may open the door a real plasma rifle in the 40 Watt range.
Yeah. The future I see is the homeless plugging into electric charging stations and running stolen TVs and microwaves off of inverters.
BALONEY!
#1: Millions of cars and trucks that will need servicing for decades to come exist already.
#2: It takes a lot more than 10 minutes to change out a BELT, let alone the entire motor.
#3: See #2
#4: See #1
#5: Perhaps, but they will be replaced by another liquid fuel dispensing device.
#6: So the electric cars are going to block intersections while charging? Nonsense.
#7: They don’t make half & halfs (El Camino/Ranchero) anymore either... It’s called evolution of demand
#8: Same-old same-old. This has been the “promise” since the ‘70’s.
#9: That Tesla roof costs more to install (plus the cost of the roof itself) than the total value of electricity it produces in its lifetime is worth.
#10: Pure baseless speculation. People have had personal vehicles since before the industrial revolution.
#11: Business models do change, sometimes radically and quickly. Nothing unusual here.
#12,
#13,
#14: Padding Same point as #11
#15,
#16,
#17,
#18,
#19: All the same idea, just padding again. Things change, and the businesses mentioned are still doing just fine.
#20,
#22: So we build better tools. Isn’t that the whole point?
#21: Where is this from? I see the law schools are still pretty full. Omniscient? Sounds like scientism to me!
#23: I for one welcome our omniscient computer overlords.
#24: For some specific applications, maybe. Tort law reform has to happen first though (see #21)
#25 through to #33: See #10
#34: Only if they get rid of public buses, the most polluting vehicles in ANY city.
#35: HOW? You have increased demand and removed the most efficient production methods! Unicorn farts and pixie dust?
#36: That’s why they are shutting down several of the larger solar installations.
#37: Nonsense and hyperbole. Give an example from the last 3 years.
#38: See #22.
WOW! So much misinformation and bald faced speculation in one email. I thought my animal rights freinds were good at stretching truth. They got nothing on your friend! ;-)
I wanna go back to yesterday!
This is fine - except the number of people with the required IQ to develop and maintain such a world is dwindling every year. The technologies may quickly emerge - and die just as quickly under the blows of BLM baseball bats.
If even half these predictions are accurate, I predict that the leading cause of death in 2050 will be boredom.
Many times Chicago to Carbondale IL and back.
Many more times Carbondale IL to Champaign IL.
Reno to Salt Lake City. Including the infamous water stop next to the Mustang Ranch.
Rail in general is the stepson of our transportation system. It won't improve until there is a definite advantage, like cars partitioned like the ones used in Europe.
Loading and unloading cars? The current system is not designed to handle cars. With proper station re-design it would be fast and easy.
That's another instance of the tunnel vision I mentioned in a previous post.
The latest Tesla has an EPA rated range of 402 miles (https://www.tesla.com/blog/model-s-long-range-plus-building-first-400-mile-electric-vehicle). And their V3 Supercharge stations allow up to 75 miles of charge in 5 minutes (https://www.tesla.com/blog/introducing-v3-supercharging). Not quite as quick as gas yet, but getting there. And how often do most people actually drive over 400 miles in a day anyway? The cheaper Model 3 has a 250 mile range and costs $38,000.
It doesn’t meet every need, but I think it meets the needs of most people. And other manufacturers aren’t sitting down just watching all this go on. I fully expect Ford and others to come up with very competitive options to push the ranges higher and the costs lower in the next few years.
The author is full of Obama. There are not 20k parts in a typical engine. There is no such thing as fossil fuel.I’d bet he owns a full auto Glock with a hi capacity clip holding many boolits.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.
