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Scientists pull an about face on global warming
calgaryherald.com ^ | Sept. 19, 2009 | Lorne Gunter

Posted on 09/21/2009 5:48:54 PM PDT by Free ThinkerNY

Imagine if Pope Benedict gave a speech saying the Catholic Church has had it wrong all these centuries; there is no reason priests shouldn't marry. That might generate the odd headline, no?

Or if Don Cherry claimed suddenly to like European hockey players who wear visors and float around the ice, never bodychecking opponents.

Or Jack Layton insisted that unions are ruining the economy by distorting wages and protecting unproductive workers.

Or Stephen Harper began arguing that it makes good economic sense for Ottawa to own a car company. (Oh, wait, that one happened.) But at least, the Tories-buy-GM aberration made all the papers and newscasts.

When a leading proponent for one point of view suddenly starts batting for the other side, it's usually newsworthy.

So why was a speech last week by Prof. Mojib Latif of Germany's Leibniz Institute not given more prominence?

Latif is one of the leading climate modellers in the world. He is the recipient of several international climate-study prizes and a lead author for the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). He has contributed significantly to the IPCC's last two five-year reports that have stated unequivocally that man-made greenhouse emissions are causing the planet to warm dangerously.

Yet last week in Geneva, at the UN's World Climate Conference--an annual gathering of the so-called "scientific consensus" on man-made climate change --Latif conceded the Earth has not warmed for nearly a decade and that we are likely entering "one or even two decades during which temperatures cool."

The global warming theory has been based all along on the idea that the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans would absorb much of the greenhouse warming caused by a rise in man-made carbon dioxide, then they would let off that heat and warm the atmosphere and the land.

But as Latif pointed out, the Atlantic, and particularly the North Atlantic, has been cooling instead. And it looks set to continue a cooling phase for 10 to 20 more years.

"How much?" he wondered before the assembled delegates. "The jury is still out."

But it is increasingly clear that global warming is on hiatus for the time being. And that is not what the UN, the alarmist scientists or environmentalists predicted. For the past dozen years, since the Kyoto accords were signed in 1997, it has been beaten into our heads with the force and repetition of the rowing drum on a slave galley that the Earth is warming and will continue to warm rapidly through this century until we reach deadly temperatures around 2100.

While they deny it now, the facts to the contrary are staring them in the face: None of the alarmist drummers ever predicted anything like a 30-year pause in their apocalyptic scenario.

Latif says he expects warming to resume in 2020 or 2030.

In the past year, two other groups of scientists--one in Germany, the second in the United States--have come to the same conclusion: Warming is on hold, likely because of a cooling of the Earth's upper oceans, but it will resume.

But how is that knowable? How can Latif and the others state with certainty that after this long and unforeseen cooling, dangerous man-made heating will resume? They failed to observe the current cooling for years after it had begun, how then can their predictions for the resumption of dangerous warming be trusted?

My point is they cannot. It's true the supercomputer models Latif and other modellers rely on for their dire predictions are becoming more accurate. But getting the future correct is far trickier. Chances are some unforeseen future changes will throw the current predictions out of whack long before the forecast resumption of warming.


TOPICS: Science
KEYWORDS: catastrophism; science

1 posted on 09/21/2009 5:48:54 PM PDT by Free ThinkerNY
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To: Free ThinkerNY

Somebody should tell Al.


2 posted on 09/21/2009 5:53:45 PM PDT by Westlander (Unleash the Neutron Bomb)
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To: Westlander
Somebody should tell Al.

Yes...and I think it should be in the form of a class-action law-suit for perpetrating a hoax on the gullible people of the world.

3 posted on 09/21/2009 5:59:40 PM PDT by Mogollon (Resistance to tyrants is obedience to God. -- Thomas Jefferson)
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To: Free ThinkerNY; All

This should help put a few more nails in the Cap-Add-Tax coffin.

http://climaterealists.com/index.php


4 posted on 09/21/2009 6:00:00 PM PDT by katiekins1 (: ))
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To: Free ThinkerNY
A major limitation to plant growth is the dearth of carbon dioxide.

We had the coolest summer ever here in Amishland. Cool misty mornings and only two hot days all summer.

I'm sending God a thank you for the low air conditioning bills and all the beautiful flowers that did not wilt in the GLOBAL WARMING that it seems everyone else had.

5 posted on 09/21/2009 6:03:30 PM PDT by Battle Axe (Repent, for the coming of the Lord is nigh.)
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To: Westlander

Do you think he will then give back all the dough he’s raked in based on global warming alarmism?


6 posted on 09/21/2009 6:06:14 PM PDT by brytlea (Jesus loves me, this I know.)
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To: Free ThinkerNY
Latif says he expects warming to resume in 2020 or 2030.

Well, duh. That's the way it works--in cycles. Has for billions of years.

7 posted on 09/21/2009 6:09:51 PM PDT by randog (Tap into America!)
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To: katiekins1

“Global warming” is trick to extend government control of everything from freon to light bulbs. It is the greatest lie since “The earth is flat” advocates punished the round earth folks with DEATH!!. AND THEY KNOW IT!! You have seen them try to switch to “Climate Change” !!! WTH?? WE need oil!! We have oil with two huge find in the Bakken under zone in North Dakota and the British Petroleum massive discovery in the Gulf of Mexico. These two find come after the greatest natural gas discovery in history on British Columbia and in the Central US. WE could liquefy natural gas and make millions of barrels of gasoline!! STOMP OUT THIS GLOBAL WARMING LIE!!! and give me a big damned SUV!!!


8 posted on 09/21/2009 6:14:46 PM PDT by londonfog
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To: Free ThinkerNY

Anyone want to buy some carbon credits. Going cheap. Sale ends September 25, 2029!!


9 posted on 09/21/2009 6:14:57 PM PDT by bjc (Check the data!!)
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To: Westlander

AlGore made his money ... he don’t care.

Wonder what his next Flim Flam will be?


10 posted on 09/21/2009 6:21:58 PM PDT by K-oneTexas (I'm not a judge and there ain't enough of me to be a jury. (Zell Miller, A National Party No More))
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To: londonfog; All

The earth is flat?

So are my feet! NG Sky Rocketed 60% over Labor Day weekend. The Fed’s tax thirst will be endless! Wait and see.


11 posted on 09/21/2009 6:36:31 PM PDT by katiekins1 (: ()
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To: londonfog; All

What will be cleaned up first? Orbital space junk, or the plastic apocalypse in the Pacific Ocean! Jeeze!

http://www.wired.com/dangerroom/2009/09/pentagon-wants-space-junk-cleaner/


12 posted on 09/21/2009 6:48:35 PM PDT by katiekins1 (: ()
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To: Free ThinkerNY

It is good to see scientists waking up. It should for those who have ability to self reflect be a wake up call for them. The reason scientists are more liberal than the general population isn’t because they are smarter it is because they are like everyone else products of their environment and peers. It is particularly tempting for those of above average intelligence and possibly below average character to rely on intimidation “because they are so smart” or “because they have such and such degree” rather than taking the time to prove their point or accept constructive criticism of their theories and research methodologies.

Global Warming is just one big contradiction.

But scientists like all of us are human even if they wish to see themselves as above it all.
http://www.physorg.com/news162795064.html


13 posted on 09/21/2009 7:10:16 PM PDT by Maelstorm (Party like it's 1776!)
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To: Free ThinkerNY
Wow how bazaar. Has all of the CO2 spewing suddenly stopped? Well, no! curious how the reactions caused buy CO2 could take a break. LOL
14 posted on 09/21/2009 7:22:55 PM PDT by WHBates
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To: Rurudyne; steelyourfaith; Tolerance Sucks Rocks; xcamel; 75thOVI; aimhigh; Alice in Wonderland; ...
 
Catastrophism
 
· join · view topics · view or post blog · bookmark · post new topic · subscribe ·
 

15 posted on 09/21/2009 8:47:23 PM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/__Since Jan 3, 2004__Profile updated Monday, January 12, 2009)
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To: SunkenCiv; Free ThinkerNY; Little Bill; IrishCatholic; Normandy; According2RecentPollsAirIsGood; ...
Thanx SunkenCiv !

 


Beam me to Planet Gore !

16 posted on 09/22/2009 1:41:53 AM PDT by steelyourfaith ("Power is not alluring to pure minds." - Thomas Jefferson)
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To: Free ThinkerNY; OKSooner; honolulugal; Killing Time; Beowulf; Mr. Peabody; RW_Whacko; ...
Image and video hosting by TinyPic

FReepmail me to get on or off

Ping me if you find one I've missed.



17 posted on 09/22/2009 3:43:50 AM PDT by xcamel (The urge to save humanity is always a false front for the urge to rule it. - H. L. Mencken)
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