Posted on 09/15/2016 7:03:23 AM PDT by TheRef
On Thursday, Sabato and company admitted that their normal model is possibly not as reliable in this election. The normal assumptions they make, he points out, are not necessarily holding up.
Throughout the article, while still holding to the prediction of a Clinton win, Sabato gives numerous reasons why he might be wrong and Trump may win . . .
(Excerpt) Read more at politicalref.com ...
That’s why I called them “dems”.....but maybe I should just call them “RATS”. although some of us would agree the more appropriate term should be traitors...but that doesn’t leave much room for conversion to the right if you make them so mad that the ones who still have hearing closedown, dig in, and get defensive....just saying.
They can say whatever they want.
They get paid to make guesses, not to be right.
That is why all of these polling outfits are still in business, even after making incorrect predictions.
They can just wax on about “unforeseen variables” and other statistical junk to give them cover.
Sabato is a hack working at a liberal university, whose paycheck is
cut by a liberal university. Need we know more?
Yep I got Trump one state away right now too.
Trump has got the following 5 locked up:
Florida
Iowa
Ohio
Florida
Maine (1)
Nevada
That puts Trump at 266, which means Trump only needs one more pickup for the win.
Possible pickups:
Colorado
Wisconsin
Michigan
Pennsylvania
Virginia
New Hampshire
The Remainder of Maine
New Mexico
Oregon
My son wanted to be a neurologist but decided to become an engineer. He didn't want to end up working for the government if O'bummer care became permanent. He's going to graduate this spring and just had first interviews for three of the four companies he applied to at his first job fair!
LOL!!!!!!!
....explains why he’s seeing stars......
actually the rest of Maine isn’t quite enough by itself, Trump would still be one EV short with that alone as the last pickup. But honestly there is no way Trump picks up the rest of Maine without picking up another of those possible pickups up too.
We are proud of her! Good back atcha! Glad to hear your son decided to do something useful with his life. After over three decades as a physician I can’t recommend it.
Or even just New Hampshire. He’s relying on conventional wisdom in a realignment year. Mistake.
yes, but he’s one of the guys who probably signed off on this latest projection, which is full of caveats. So they are crossing their fingers, no doubt.
I saw Larry on Fox last weekend.
He was pretty much “Hillary has it in the bag” as of then.
It must be worse than we think for him to flip so fast.
On election eve, if PA, Ohio, and Florida get called for Trump, we can pretty-much go to bed.
Not too long ago, Virginia was a reliable GOP state. That was before all the raging liberals from northeast states moved into the Washington DC area.
Now that the punk McAuliff is governor there is no way he will let Trump win Virginia.
The Clintons owe McAuliff a lot of money, he purchased the mansion for them in Chappauqua, NY. That is an investment that he will not give up on.
I agree wholeheartedly. I can’t bear to see him on Fox...but Fox is getting so lopsided against Trump it is difficult to watch any of their drivel anymore.
Sabato receives a second Soros check
and Karl Rove too. I can’t bear to see him on my television and when he pops up there with or without his whiteboard, I switch to animal planet or something...I would rather watch almost anything other than him
Great post!
Yep, ironically Virginia will be one of the hardest pickups of them all.
If Virginia and/or Pennsylvania are too close to call or go Trump... it’s over, Trump won.
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