Posted on 09/15/2016 7:03:23 AM PDT by TheRef
That puts Trump at 266, which means Trump only needs one more pickup for the win.
Possible pickups:
Colorado
Wisconsin
Michigan
Pennsylvania
Virginia
New Hampshire
The Remainder of Maine
New Mexico
Oregon
He is now ahead in Colorado which is 9 so that locks it up; but I’ve seen polls showing him +3 in Wisconsin + 4 in New Mexico And that’s now- she is fading he is surging.
Yep Colorado is the one I am focused on too. That is the most likely tipping point state.
My theory is that Colorado is not nearly as liberal as the last couple of elections have led us to believe. My theory is the pot initiatives skewed those elections to the Democrats which supported legalization.
Pot wont be on the ballot this time, and no one is threatening to make it illegal again that’s running.
The Conservative TreeHouse has been providing analysis in the primaries and since pointing to the obvious trend lines of Trump’s ascent where he blew out “the best field of Republican candidates” ever and the declining vote for Hillary Clinton.
She looks to be fading with the electorate equal or worse to her unknown health woes. Trump’s clear surge is obvious to many for his team’s superb speeches speaking to everyday Americans. No one has heard a Presidential candidate lay out problems and solutions like this since Reagan. See Trump’s speech in Canton, Ohio for yourself. (CTH has both transcript and video).
The momentum from sheer ear to the ground and feet on the ground Trump is showing at every stop he makes contrasts with Hillary Clinton’s they’re all a bunch of “deplorables” speech. She’s had to retreat since she uttered it Friday, ironically a day she is said to have been diagnosed with pneumonia. Who sends a candidate out with penumonia?
Trump’s momentum won’t be stopped until the debate which will be the next marker in the road. People are tuning out media and deciding more for themselves. Nothing will illustrate that more than the debate. The media has already reached a feverish pitch for Clinton but it doesn’t appear to be helping. It appears the American public is tuning them out.
In the rear view mirror, the Hillary Media will pontificate about the decline of the usual Democrat base and how it was clear a different paradigm needed to be recognized and engaged.
Much of it will point to the woes of youth votes lost. What they won’t say is that these people were taken by the media hope and change bandwagon and there was no way they’d ever get on board with Hillary Clinton.
I’m telling you New Hampshire is coming home. Live Free or Die!
Sabato is a greasy snake.
And he lives under a rock. He’s a nasty one.
One of the better missives posted at FR of late. You have NAILED IT!
Larry “The Asshat” Sabato.
If yesterdays Colby poll is to be believed, Trump’s down by 3% statewide. That’s about 21,000 votes based on 2012. A good ground game= a win.
Trump will take PA, MI, WI, OH and IA.. Basically he will have the entire Rust belt sans MN and IL...
And honestly, because of the mess Rahm has made in Chicago, combined with the complete Apathy toward Clinton... you may even see IL flip... if Turnout winds up depressed in Chicago area, and it doesn’t bring out enough to overwhelm the rest of the state. I am not saying that this is what will happen, I am just saying I would not be completely gobsmacked if IL did wind up surprising.
Trump will win in the biggest landslide in modern American history.
Maybe New Mexico will go for its former governor, Gary Aleppo Johnson.
Rock on brother! They have no clue how pissed off the ‘regular’ Americans are this year, we have simply had it, enough is enough with all the lying and corruption. This is a revolution election...
They need to consider themselves lucky that we are too law abiding and decent to do what an old revolution would look like, they would all be tarred and feathered tied to the lamp posts of DC and NYC for 5 square blocks...
This guy is a loser. I NEVER believe ANYTHING this idiot says. GET OFF MY TV! (and computer) (and radio)
You guys need to let Virginia go. They are too far along.
Big government and their employees are just too big. And they are not going to vote against themselves.
But Colorado and Wisconsin I think still has a chance.
I never have understood how Wisconsin got taken over by the Left.
He does have other options other than PA, but that one would put it away!
This really is his last door before his complete independence. It's such a relief knowing his future is promising, insert collective exhale here.
“On election eve, if PA, Ohio, and Florida get called for Trump, we can pretty-much go to bed.”
What? And miss the entire evening of talking heads exploding on the news broadcasts? Miss the videos of Hillary supports weeping and wailing? Miss the chance to see William Kristol and Karl Rove stuff their fat faces with greasy crow?
I’ll be up all night watching and laughing and celebrating. I’ll roll out of bed at 9:00 the next morning for the express purpose of listening to that moron Glen Beck.
I have a hard time seeing Virginia going for Trump either unless it’s a landslide. In which case he wouldn’t even have needed Virginia.
I think AZ is locked up too, so 266.
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